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04-27-2008, 04:21 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Hatfield/Harleysville PA
Posts: 265
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Bridge Jumper Special Hollywood 15 MTP 1/5 shot
I'm not sure how much money is on him to show but his win odds are currently 1/5 and I have a feeling he will get a nice chunk of show dough. Just wanted to give you guys the heads up. *Edit* Looks like all big races today. Probably be more "Bridge Jumpers" in the later races also.
Last edited by kyle2227; 04-27-2008 at 04:24 PM.
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04-27-2008, 04:37 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Hatfield/Harleysville PA
Posts: 265
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Took a bad step but still managed to hold on for 3rd o well.
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04-27-2008, 04:41 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 532
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Never bet against short chalk to show.
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04-27-2008, 04:51 PM
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#4
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Away we go !!!
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 601
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle2227
I'm not sure how much money is on him to show but his win odds are currently 1/5 and I have a feeling he will get a nice chunk of show dough. Just wanted to give you guys the heads up. *Edit* Looks like all big races today. Probably be more "Bridge Jumpers" in the later races also.
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First three races at Hollywood, no show pool over $17,500
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04-27-2008, 04:54 PM
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#5
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
Posts: 7,706
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Has anyone ever calculated (or mentioned on the board) the overall $NET betting every other horse to show in a sample of bridge-jumper races (whatever percentage of the show pool you would use to define such a race)? (Undoubtedly negative, I would imagine, but I was just curious.)
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04-27-2008, 05:00 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 532
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Show bettors should concentrate on the races at MNR and CT where they pay a minimum of 2.20 to show, as opposed to the traditiional 2.10 that you get everywhre else. That is a huge gift. In other words, theoretically, you could bet 1 million dollars to show in West Va. and be guaranteed a profit of 100k. That to me is incredible.
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04-27-2008, 05:01 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Hatfield/Harleysville PA
Posts: 265
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sailwolf
First three races at Hollywood, no show pool over $17,500
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You are wrong my friend the 2 in race 3 had over $20,000 to show on him. I Consider anything over 15,000 to show a bridge jumper. You may not get the $20+ prices to show on horses but you can still get a nice $6 + on horses that figure to be in the money which end up paying more to show then place.
*edit* you may be right the racing channel showed $20 some thousand dollars to show on the 2 but youbet is only showing 17 but still you can get some good prices to show on horses. Look at race one for example. The 6 horse paid $4 to show thats not bad at all for a 2:1 shot that in my mind figured to win the race.
Last edited by kyle2227; 04-27-2008 at 05:06 PM.
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04-27-2008, 05:10 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,352
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Olmsted
Show bettors should concentrate on the races at MNR and CT where they pay a minimum of 2.20 to show, as opposed to the traditiional 2.10 that you get everywhre else. That is a huge gift.
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Perhaps, but I'm still waiting to see someone demonstrate that this is a viable longterm strategy. The "Bridgejumper Challenge" ( http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=45734) seems to have fizzled out because a couple people got tagged with early losses, and some people didn't quite grasp the concept.
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04-27-2008, 05:34 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 532
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I'm hoping for a $2.40 show return on KY BREW in the 7th at MNR tonight. Actually, there might be decent value to PLACE. I hesitate to bet it to win due to the MSW to MCL droppers in this race that may just pop a number.
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04-28-2008, 10:04 AM
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#10
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Sunny Daytona Beach
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Daytona Beach
Posts: 2,302
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Should I google bridgejumper to find out what I need to know about
Bridgejumper, which right now is nothing, but heck today is a new day and a
chance to learn something new, I'm game to learn about it. Any one wish to help
me learn or point me in the right direction. Thanks
I always thought Bridgejumpers were an english thing, guess not.
Patrick
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04-28-2008, 10:40 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: On The Bay
Posts: 9,857
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War Pass
Ran out of the money last out. Show prices were quite nice.
__________________
I wouldn't say I drink too much but my mother did tell me that my first words were" when does happy hour start"?
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04-28-2008, 12:03 PM
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#12
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DimeSupers Really Are!
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 2,095
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Olmsted
Show bettors should concentrate on the races at MNR and CT where they pay a minimum of 2.20 to show, as opposed to the traditiional 2.10 that you get everywhre else. That is a huge gift. In other words, theoretically, you could bet 1 million dollars to show in West Va. and be guaranteed a profit of 100k. That to me is incredible.
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Don't Forget Suffolk Downs, which opens Saturday.
Live Racing w/ $2.20 Show minimums..
..Like TPiR says; "C'mon down!"
I love bridgejumpers..
Everyone in "The Pool,The Pool"-D.W.
__________________
[/url]
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04-28-2008, 04:05 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pktruckdriver
I always thought Bridgejumpers were an english thing, guess not.
Patrick
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You're thinking of "show jumping", I bet.
"Bridge jumpers" refers, really, to a situation, rather than the actual bridge jumpers, who may or not be specific people. The situation is when one horse has a WHOLE LOT of money bet on it in the show pool -- say, tens of thousands, where the others have only a few hundred. The bridge jumper is the person who's imagined to have decided that the horse can't possibly finish out of the money, and puts down $20000 or so to make the 5-10% you're guarenteed to profit for any winning bet. The downside is, they might lose. And if they lose, they're gonna have to jump off a bridge...thus the name.
The opportunity for the rest of us is that if the horse does NOT finish ITM, the show payoffs are huge -- tens of dollars. That suggests this strategy, especially in a short field: bet $10 or so on every horse EXCEPT the bridge-jump horse, to show. The worst you can do is only win 2 of the show bets (but be careful that the bridgejump horse isn't a coupled entry first!) So in a 5-horse field, you'd bet the 4 other horses to show, and be guaranteed at least two of your 4 units come back winners (show-ers), with a few percent extra. You lose the other two. But if the bridgejump horse stumbles or something, you win big -- three times, because you get a huge payoff on each of the show-ers.
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04-28-2008, 04:22 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: On The Bay
Posts: 9,857
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Bridge probably wasn't close enough
Perfect example- 1997 Black Eyed Susan Stakes-
Blushing K D-odds on- 2 minutes to post -$500,000 placed to show- BKD runs out- show payouts are $70+ $80+ $90+
__________________
I wouldn't say I drink too much but my mother did tell me that my first words were" when does happy hour start"?
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