Saratoga Race Course #KICKOFF #Race1_Handicapping_Notes🐴🦉
Interesting 1st Race! (PICKS=726)
Saez will aggressively break forwardly with the
TIZ_No_Bluff. He should take them a long way..., #5FED_FEVER should accompany by pressing or leading...
You've got three Major PLAYERS
One 'Proven', and Two 'Potential'...
'Potential' always gets overbet/underlayed..
but hey, those 'potential' horses are 'fun'...
REAL_DAN is 'proven' to be a solid stalker/closer, and his recent paper form projects him as the winner. -If you buy the 'potential is always overbet' stuff -- then you throw $2 on Dan @>3/1 ... --
ARMAMENT comes in for high% Owner Mike Sisk. They have built such a nice operation "M and M Racing". (y)
ARMAMENT all business, racing as a 'first-time Gelding'... Has shown a nice stretch-run (which sets up nicely here), and improvement would not surprise.
#4HOLLYWOOD_HANDSOME comes in off a seven-month layoff, has back-class, a stretch-running style, and has *FLASHY!* works for a high% barn... -I'm rooting for him, but wary that he may not be competitive...-
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LONG-SHOTS=
aforementioned #6TIZZNBLUFF Morning-Line odds are too low, but has a 'puncher's chance' to grind out a win on the wrong lead, should the 724 fail to fire... 10/1?
#8CURLIN'S_NEW_MOON is in good form, and will hope to grind along a board spot, and be on the scene, should no one else 'seize' victory.
#3BLURRED_LINE seems to need a perfectly timed late-move, or bust..., can't fight-out a stretch-run. Danny Gargan is a good horseman, and they've been getting this 5yoG to change leads in the works. Tough read, but I'm against, in spite of a likely fair price.
#9AMERICANO has no shot on paper, but Rosario is one of the top jockeys....
#1POKER_GAME hopes to secure a minor award, at big odds, by saving ground near the pocket, and riding with the flow, staying out of the fray.-- (Maybe build a gimmick 10cent superfecta w/ POKER_GAME 4th ...