Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
When it comes to playing HK I do believe that the reason the 3-entry Win Dutch works so well is because of the larger fields.
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well, I do have to say that I'm quite surprised although shocked might be a better word
I looked at the results from 8 races at Happy Valley on 7/10/20 - (linked) - that date just happened to come up first in my google search - and:
all 8 races were won by the top 3 in the odds and dutching all 3 would have produced more than a 50% profit
although race 4 had 2 horses listed at 5.3/1 and one won it - I counted it but it's not a sure thing - a minor detail
I'm not a naive person so I'm well aware that this is way too small of a sample size to draw any conclusions from
still, again, it was very, very surprising
a possible explanation: Asian punters are longshot lovers causing the top 3 to go off at higher odds than what would be typical in the U.S.?
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/infor...se=HV&RaceNo=4
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