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01-09-2019, 11:30 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,032
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Interest Rate Direction. Your Thoughts
I have a couple CDs coming due later this month. What thoughts does the forum have as to the direction of interest rates? I'd appreciate hearing your thoughts/opinions.
__________________
Walt (Teach)
"Walt, make a 'mental bet' and lose your mind." R.N.S.
"The important thing is what I think of myself."
"David and Lisa" (1962)
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01-09-2019, 01:04 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Steady with a slight downward bias. The Fed turned dovish not long ago.
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01-09-2019, 05:30 PM
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#3
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 248
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach
I have a couple CDs coming due later this month. What thoughts does the forum have as to the direction of interest rates? I'd appreciate hearing your thoughts/opinions.
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just buy 3 month t bills getting 2.5%,if interest rates go up the rate will go up
when you rebuy.
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01-16-2019, 05:38 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sour grapes
just buy 3 month t bills getting 2.5%,if interest rates go up the rate will go up
when you rebuy.
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Just some food for thought...
You might consider a closed-end mutual fund selling at a deep discount to net asset value. One such fund is Aberdeen Asia-Pacific Income Fund, Inc. (FAX). Its net asset value is about $4.77 and you can buy it for about $4.07.
FAX is a bond fund that pays a monthly dividend. I have owned it on and off over the years. It is nice to receive a monthly check that is much greater than what a bank pays. Of course, you do risk your principle more than with a CD. But given that FAX sells at a about a 17% discount to NAV it is unlikely to go much lower, plus it should eventually correct itself so that it no longer trades at a discount.
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01-16-2019, 05:42 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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forget the cd's, but real money, GOLD
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01-16-2019, 09:21 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach
I have a couple CDs coming due later this month. What thoughts does the forum have as to the direction of interest rates? I'd appreciate hearing your thoughts/opinions.
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I would look at preferred stocks of strong, sound and growing companies. It's best to stick with companies with very long operating history such as banks and insurance companies.
You could get 5.25 per cent yields on preferreds such as Bank of America that will pay every quarter and you can sleep quite well at night.
Personally, I would stay clear of oil Exploration and Production companies and all types of REITS.
Also, never, ever pay more than $25 for the stock.
Good investing.
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07-12-2019, 03:23 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach
I have a couple CDs coming due later this month. What thoughts does the forum have as to the direction of interest rates? I'd appreciate hearing your thoughts/opinions.
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What did you ultimately decide to do?
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07-12-2019, 03:37 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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Quote:
Originally Posted by highnote
What did you ultimately decide to do?
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GOLD went up over 15% vs. the dollar and more vs. other currencies. i see no reason to sell it now either. i think it outperforms the equity markets by a mile plus you have insurance against the central bankers of the world.
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07-12-2019, 06:16 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ocala Mike
Steady with a slight downward bias. The Fed turned dovish not long ago.
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Didn't see the rally in gold coming, but got this right 6 months ago.
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07-18-2019, 05:34 AM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Wow, this guy Teach asked us for some thoughts and advice and 5 people posted to help him out yet we get no thanks, no acknowledgement, no nothing in return from him.
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07-18-2019, 03:29 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
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Quote:
Originally Posted by reckless
Wow, this guy Teach asked us for some thoughts and advice and 5 people posted to help him out yet we get no thanks, no acknowledgement, no nothing in return from him.
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Maybe he is dead?
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07-18-2019, 05:49 PM
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#12
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,537
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Quote:
Originally Posted by reckless
Wow, this guy Teach asked us for some thoughts and advice and 5 people posted to help him out yet we get no thanks, no acknowledgement, no nothing in return from him.
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He already wrote he would appreciate any help or opinions...so he's already given his appreciation...
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07-18-2019, 08:29 PM
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#13
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Quote:
Originally Posted by highnote
Maybe he is dead?
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No excuse. .... Just kidding.
I hope Teach that you are doing well.
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07-18-2019, 08:32 PM
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#14
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
He already wrote he would appreciate any help or opinions...so he's already given his appreciation...
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Ahhh... sorry Mike, I don't agree. Teach rec'd a few nice suggestions. A simple comment or two after we posted these suggestions would have been better than what he did by ignoring us. Not all posts needed a reply.
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07-18-2019, 08:33 PM
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#15
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Quote:
Originally Posted by highnote
And that you're still alive.
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I was alive until the last race at Spa, anyway.
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