Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 02-22-2019, 08:21 AM   #1
hopbet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 151
MAXIMUM SECURITY

This horse is 3 for 3 lifetime. XBTV has already mentioned this horse . According to their (XBTV) video, trainer Jason Servis is pointing this horse for the Florida Derby. Positive or negative comments from OUR group. Thanks for your time and reading.

HOPBET
hopbet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-22-2019, 09:38 AM   #2
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by hopbet View Post
This horse is 3 for 3 lifetime. XBTV has already mentioned this horse . According to their (XBTV) video, trainer Jason Servis is pointing this horse for the Florida Derby. Positive or negative comments from OUR group. Thanks for your time and reading.

HOPBET
Big jump in competition and distance usually spells doom for a horse like this, especially one that hasn't been particularly fast IMO.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-22-2019, 10:06 AM   #3
f2tornado
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
Pros:

The horse posted a 109 Equibase figure last out which bests either of Instagrand's starts.

Horse is a Mr. P top line and those have had no shortage of success on the Derby trail for the past few decades.

Horse is female family 1-n. Female family 1 has had tremendous success in the Derby.

Horse has excellent pilot assuming he stays up.

Cons:

Horse has beat nothing but did beat the hell out of the nothing.

Dosage profile doesn't scream sprinter however it's not very deep with 14 total points and none in the solid or professional position.

Horse has posted some blazing fractions but has yet to route. Is it pure speed or can it ration some going longer. Nine panels in the FL Derby is a quarter mile longer than he has run.

The three year old crop appears to be superior than previous couple years, at least the cream of the crop. He's going to face some stiff competition and will likely need to secure the place pool in FL Derby without a quick turnaround in the Lexington in order to secure a gate in Kentucky.

My take is the horse will do well up to 8.5F. I'm skeptical he's going to be a classic distance type.
f2tornado is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-22-2019, 11:51 AM   #4
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
Funny you mention Instagrand, F2. I have been waiting for that horse for a while now and my impression of both horses has been wait and see how they handle the extra distance. Both horses have shown the same high early and declining late speed. Can either one of them learn to ration it out better? Will they like the better competition?


Wait and see approach.
jay68802 is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:12 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.