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06-27-2020, 04:15 AM
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#781
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#7 2000M C3 (10F)T
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1-2-5 W/ 3-12-7
@3mins to Post
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2-3-1-4 Dutch WIN 75% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $57.10 Quinella & $320.60 Triple BX
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06-27-2020, 04:32 AM
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#782
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….13-8-1 W/ 12-10-7……@3mins to Post
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….8-1-7 W/ 12-10-3……@3mins to Post #13 Late Scr
Last edited by Nitro; 06-27-2020 at 04:39 AM.
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06-27-2020, 04:50 AM
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#783
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D
.13-8-1 W/ 12-10-7
@3mins to Post
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D
.8-1-7 W/ 12-10-3
@3mins to Post #13 Late Scr
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8-10-6-3 Dutch WIN 74% Profit Margin PLAYED/ $119.60 Quinella w/Great Value
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06-27-2020, 05:11 AM
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#784
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T
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6-1-9 W/4-14-11
@3mins to Post
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06-27-2020, 05:20 AM
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#785
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T
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6-1-9 W/4-14-11
@3mins to Post
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12-14-13-11 Dutch LOSS 109% Profit Margin - PLAYED / No action on the LS Winner #12 @ 27/1
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06-27-2020, 05:43 AM
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#786
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
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8-10-13 W/ 3-2-5
.@3mins to Post
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06-27-2020, 05:57 AM
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#787
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
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8-10-13 W/ 3-2-5
.@3mins to Post
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12-4-14-2 Dutch LOSS 69% Profit Margin - PLAYED / No action on the LS Winner #12 @ 43/1
All in all it turned out to be a decent race card with some nice results. The Dutch Win bets produced a break even result of hitting 4 of 8 races.
There were quite a few decent Verticals with nice value:
Hitting 8 of the 10 Quinellas, 2 Triples (and even 1 Quartet)
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07-05-2020, 12:02 AM
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#788
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN- 7/5/20
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im wont be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 3 on Dirt.
Post Time Race #1 12:30 AM SUN EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis have come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, Ill be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if youre playing!
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07-05-2020, 12:27 AM
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#789
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T
.1-8-3 W/ 2-4
@4mins to Post
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07-05-2020, 12:38 AM
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#790
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T
.1-8-3 W/ 2-4
@4mins to Post
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1-3-2-8 Dutch WIN 11% Profit Margin - PASSED / $10.90 Quinella & $50.40 Triple BX ($121.20 Quartet Bx) All of that one!
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07-05-2020, 12:58 AM
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#791
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T
.7-6-1 W/ 11-10-9
@3mins to Post
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07-05-2020, 01:08 AM
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#792
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T
.7-6-1 W/ 11-10-9
@3mins to Post
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6-10-12-7 Dutch WIN 44% Profit Margin PASSED/ $35.10 Quinella w/Good Value/
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07-05-2020, 01:27 AM
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#793
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#32200M C5 (11F)T
.3-8-5 W/ 9-1-7
..@3 mins to Post
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07-05-2020, 01:38 AM
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#794
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#32200M C5 (11F)T
.3-8-5 W/ 9-1-7
..@3 mins to Post
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10-9-2-1 Dutch LOSS 109% Profit Margin - PLAYED / Not much action on the LS Winner #10
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07-05-2020, 02:04 AM
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#795
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
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R#4- 1000M C4 (5F)T
10-1-13 W/ 5-4-6
@3mins to Post
PA Server went down for 7 mins!
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