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Old 08-31-2020, 12:13 PM   #1
f2tornado
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Oaks

Swiss Skydiver 8-5
Tempers Rising 50-1
Donna Veloce 15-1
Speech 5-1
Gamine 1-1
Bayerness 50-1
Shedaresthedevil 20-1
Hopeful Growth 30-1
Dream Marie 50-1


Looks like a very chalky race but I always enjoy making Oaks/Derby doubles and Oaks/Turf/Derby P3 wagers. Those payoffs would be enhanced a bit if Gamine can be beat. She will be tough but stretching out against a classy Swiss and a game Speech.
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Old 08-31-2020, 12:33 PM   #2
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It's a great race.
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Old 09-01-2020, 01:50 AM   #3
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The forgotten Filly.
She was 2nd a neck in the BC Juvy Filly off of only one career start(a maiden sprint).
When last seen she blew by the Oaks third choice like she was tied to a tree.
FWIW.......could be the worst morning line ever[15-1].
I think she wins on Friday.
Her last work (exercise rider was a statue) and race:


https://www.xbtv.com/video/del-mar/d...ust-28th-2020/



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Old 09-01-2020, 08:28 AM   #4
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In this spot I prefer Swiss Skydiver to Gamine, but I have some doubt about both of them. Trying to make a case for Hopeful Growth isn't easy, but I have some faith she can improve off last, will take the added half furlong and might be able to capitalize somewhat if the pace gets crazy.
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Old 09-01-2020, 09:57 AM   #5
f2tornado
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It's not exciting but will box the / if it pays 5/2 or better. Those two might get out in front and never look back. If something is going boost the bottom of exacta or tri then the looks most interesting but that horse has been on the shelf for six months and gets a rider change. Certainly a shot to improve since March however. I can make a weak case for the or to hit the show pool.

Trifecta wagers probably look like this:
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//

Super:
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//:/

Will also use with a sprinkle of in the horizontal plays.
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Old 09-01-2020, 10:24 AM   #6
Hoops McCann
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race of the year
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Old 09-01-2020, 11:17 AM   #7
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its funny how things work out.

So the whole reason why Brian Hernandez is riding Swiss Skydiver is that they thought Mike was too aggressive in the Blue Grass, so what happens, they draw the 1. I suppose a gun and then pull, hope Gamine clears and they you slip outside. But I think Gamine is handy and then Johnny will just set a slow pace and Swiss Skydiver either has to make a middle type move to push her or its a flat out ride, dont push, and hope the other horse folds due to the distance.

I may bet speech.
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Old 09-01-2020, 02:31 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP View Post
its funny how things work out.

So the whole reason why Brian Hernandez is riding Swiss Skydiver is that they thought Mike was too aggressive in the Blue Grass, so what happens, they draw the 1. I suppose a gun and then pull, hope Gamine clears and they you slip outside. But I think Gamine is handy and then Johnny will just set a slow pace and Swiss Skydiver either has to make a middle type move to push her or its a flat out ride, dont push, and hope the other horse folds due to the distance.

I may bet speech.
Not sure how this will affect the Oaks assignment but Hernandez tested positive for Covid-19 and is off his mounts today:

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...e-for-covid-19

Article says he also tested positive for antibodies so not contagious but not sure when he’ll be cleared to ride.
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Old 09-01-2020, 05:20 PM   #9
Robert Fischer
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Trying to beat Swiss Skydiver in the exacta.

Gamine / Speech /
and Gamine / Speech, Donna Volace, Shedaresthedevil /

and a gimmick dime super / / / (30-1)
Clowns , The Kashier, and a rescue cat 'forever-home'

my picks start around 11:30 on video:
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-01-2020 at 05:25 PM.
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Old 09-04-2020, 01:45 PM   #10
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exacta /
WPS
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Old 09-04-2020, 05:38 PM   #11
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Old 09-04-2020, 07:30 PM   #12
f2tornado
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That one goes into the what the hell pile. Killed my multiday gimmicks. Geroux sure had the hot hand on Oaks card. Cappers were on to the winner early as the odds were solid underlay all day.
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