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Old 11-22-2021, 07:01 PM   #16
Beagle
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Originally Posted by soflant View Post
Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthony’s Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......
Look, I know I have less posts than even you but start your own thread.
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Old 11-22-2021, 07:32 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by soflant View Post
Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthony’s Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......
I bought this "formula" mainly because I used to buy EVERYTHING that was handicapping-related, and also because I thought its author was the "Dr. Robert Anthony" who had also written various self-improvement books, including the wrongly overlooked book Betting On Yourself. The "Professional Formula" isn't worth the paper it's printed on, and if it was indeed created by the aforementioned self-help author...then the good doctor should be ashamed of himself.
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Old 11-23-2021, 11:26 AM   #18
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here are the results of my 500 + race study
it shows a 1.14 to 1.15 return on the dollar
it also shows a win rate of 47 %
some of these races were posted on another thread in this forum

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File Type: gif 500 race plus a profit.GIF (125.5 KB, 37 views)
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Old 11-26-2021, 07:37 AM   #19
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1/(odds+1) is used to determine the booking percentage of any race or any other odds list.
Look at any results chart listing the all-track odds , sum 1/(odds+1). At a 15% takeout track the sum could be 1.176 or greater.
As shown in the table I posted in the 1st note. It helps me understand what is needed to at least break even.
Say your $1 return on a 2-1 shot at a 15% take-out track was 1.06
Based on my posted table to break even you need to be 117% better than the public.
1.06 x 117.65%= 125%.. that’s how much better you are than the public.
Not a small task. Way beyond my pay grade.


suggested reading: "Horse Sence" By Button Fabrican phd. while we never lunched together we did correspond (back in day via snail mail)
EXAMPLE OF NYRA WPS POOLS BOOKING % (BEAT IT IF YOU CAN)

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Old 11-26-2021, 09:40 PM   #20
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This ia an example of boxing all horses for the 1st race at ct this day. it excludes the favorite while using my bet sizes.. results are shown

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Old 11-26-2021, 11:03 PM   #21
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when the fav finishes 1st or finishes 2nd 55% of the time I win 45% of the time.
the min $1 return on my play must be >= 1/.45 = 2.22


ct this day. 8 races
won but 3 of the 8 rcace for 38%.
the 3 win $1 return were 2.81, 3.25 and 2.74, excellent

still produces a $1 for $1.10 for all 8 races.

this is a new project, using the same bet sizes.
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Old 11-27-2021, 09:37 AM   #22
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THIS RESULT IS A BEAUTY

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Old 11-27-2021, 10:47 AM   #23
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Old 11-27-2021, 11:12 AM   #24
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LIVE
RESULTS

CALCULATE THE 1/ALL EXACTA RETURN AND COMPARE IT T0 THE $1 WIN RETURN. NICE SURPRISE

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Last edited by formula_2002; 11-27-2021 at 11:22 AM.
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:20 PM   #25
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:29 PM   #26
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THE FAVORITE HAS GOT TO BE ALLOWED TO WIN SOME TIMES
AND SO IT DID IN THAT RACE AQU R4
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:39 PM   #27
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:43 PM   #28
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AND EVEN PLACE AS IT DID IN TB R3
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Old 11-27-2021, 01:48 PM   #29
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Old 11-27-2021, 02:13 PM   #30
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THAT RACE POINTED OUT AN ERROR IN THE TABULATION REPORTING. FORMULAS REMAIN UNCHANGED

NOTE HERE AGAIN, IF YOU LIKED THE WINNER #4 IT RETURNED $4.85 FOR A DOLLAR.
4 / ALL (EXCLUDING THE FAVORITE) RETURNED $7.24. THAT IS AN EDGE OF 1.49.

THERE IS AN ADJUSTEMENT TO BE FOR WHEN THE FAVORIITE PLACES ABOUT, 25% 0F THE TIME.


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