Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
While I know you don't like being questioned, why would WANT a win streak of 2-1ML horses to start? Most of those horses that win end up paying about $3.20. Even if you believed these weren't just random streaks (which they but for some reason you think the ML has power to start win streaks). But why would you want a series of $3.20 horses? We make money when those horses lose, not when they win. Unless you know which ones are going to win in advance...which you don't.
|
Well well cast, it has been quite some time since I have heard from you
By all means feel free to ask any questions that you want of me I will be most happy to answer you
Believe me I am not opposed to being questioned
You ask why do I bother chasing the series of win payouts that amount to chump change i.e. $3.20, $4 etc.
For years I've spent an enormous amount of time trying to beat the favorite or sift out some big price by various methods of handicapping and it just never worked for me
Eventually I had to admit to myself that the amount of time and effort I put in, even when I won, did not result in a payback that was in line with the energy that I used to finally cash a ticket
So then I decided if I can't beat the favorites then why not just join them but then, the question became, how do I go about doing that
I decided to track the Morning Line Favorites since for me it was much easier to track than tracking the actual Favorites on a daily basis
What I eventually found was that in many instances there were consistencies in the number of wins and win payouts that resulted in profits based on certain Morning Line Favorites
I decided to try to see if I could take advantage of these instances as they occurred and in doing so I found that I have cashed more tickets now than I previously ever have in the past and at times I actually make a small profit
It also became a great way for me to document wins as well as profits and losses
So you are correct, I don't know when the next Morning Line Favorite will win.
The best I can do is to keep track of when they do win or lose and try to take advantage of instances where I believe it is best to play them
Instead of following the horse I now follow the situation
Also, stop it, I am very well aware that there is no mystical power surrounding the Morning Line Favorites it was just a phenomenon that I spotted and chose to share the results
especially on TURF
