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04-28-2017, 10:03 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Belmont Gap Analysis -- Morning Line 2/1's winless in last 12 on Dirt !!!
I have been starting to look at the gaps between wins for certain Morning Line Favorites and came across the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year
The Morning Line 2/1's have been 0 for their last 12 attempts on the Dirt at Belmont since October 22nd 2016
The streak is currently 12 races in a row with no wins
Let's see if that ends today with this Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt:
3rd race
#3 Tale of Silence
Let's see if the streak stops for opening day at Belmont!!!
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04-28-2017, 10:12 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
I have been starting to look at the gaps between wins for certain Morning Line Favorites and came across the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year
The Morning Line 2/1's have been 0 for their last 12 attempts on the Dirt at Belmont since October 22nd 2016
The streak is currently 12 races in a row with no wins
Let's see if that ends today with this Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt:
3rd race
#3 Tale of Silence
Let's see if the streak stops for opening day at Belmont!!!
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Well it just goes to show we can't be wrong all the time.
We finally got one right as #3 Tale of Silence won the 3rd race at Belmont today paying $13 across the board per $2 win place and show wager!!!
Hopefully a nice streak of wins will come next for the Morning Line 2/1's after going 0 for 12!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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04-29-2017, 01:46 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Well it just goes to show we can't be wrong all the time.
We finally got one right as #3 Tale of Silence won the 3rd race at Belmont today paying $13 across the board per $2 win place and show wager!!!
Hopefully a nice streak of wins will come next for the Morning Line 2/1's after going 0 for 12!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get a win streak going there are 2 listed today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!
3rd race
#5 Ackeret
5th race
#2 Hard Study
Let's see if one or both of these can get a win today at Belmont!!!
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04-29-2017, 08:40 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get a win streak going there are 2 listed today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!
3rd race
#5 Ackeret
5th race
#2 Hard Study
Let's see if one or both of these can get a win today at Belmont!!!
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Well we were only half right today but, as I always say, sometimes you just have to take what they give you
Since yesterday the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt have yielded a profit of 84% per $2 win wager
Although #5 Ackeret was off the board, #2 Hard Study came through for the win and paid $10.10 across the board!!!
I am looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 04-29-2017 at 08:47 PM.
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04-29-2017, 09:50 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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I have come across more gaps regarding the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year
The Morning Line 2/1's are 0 for their last 8 in Maiden races on the Dirt since October 10th 2016
Hopefully a nice streak of wins will emerge for the Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races
I will pay special attention to this situation especially when it comes to Maiden Claimers!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 04-29-2017 at 09:51 PM.
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04-30-2017, 11:36 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Well we were only half right today but, as I always say, sometimes you just have to take what they give you
Since yesterday the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt have yielded a profit of 84% per $2 win wager
Although #5 Ackeret was off the board, #2 Hard Study came through for the win and paid $10.10 across the board!!!
I am looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can keep it going today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!
There is a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race
1st race
#4 Diversify
Let's see if #4 Diversify can make it back to back wins for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt!!!
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04-30-2017, 09:37 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can keep it going today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!
There is a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race
1st race
#4 Diversify
Let's see if #4 Diversify can make it back to back wins for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt!!!
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Well we didn't get back to back wins which I was hoping to happen as #4 Diversify finished 2nd in the 1st race today at Belmont
This brings the return on the win profit down to 38% but I am hopeful that the next attempt will result in a win as the pattern has started to be a win in every other race
Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get the win in the next attempt on the Dirt at Belmont
I was looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts but now I don't think that will happen!!!
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05-01-2017, 01:35 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Well we didn't get back to back wins which I was hoping to happen as #4 Diversify finished 2nd in the 1st race today at Belmont
This brings the return on the win profit down to 38% but I am hopeful that the next attempt will result in a win as the pattern has started to be a win in every other race
Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get the win in the next attempt on the Dirt at Belmont
I was looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts but now I don't think that will happen!!!
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The 2 wins will have to combine for more than an $8 win payout within the 4 attempts per $2 win wager
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05-04-2017, 01:58 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
The 2 wins will have to combine for more than an $8 win payout within the 4 attempts per $2 win wager
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I missed posting these 2 Morning Line 2/1s today
Race 2
5
Kohlhase
Race 8
5
Gypsum Johnny
Let's see if one of these can get the win for today at Belmont!!!
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05-04-2017, 10:50 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
I missed posting these 2 Morning Line 2/1s today
Race 2
5
Kohlhase
Race 8
5
Gypsum Johnny
Let's see if one of these can get the win for today at Belmont!!!
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Well I was hoping for back to back wins today but that just wasn't the case as #5 Kohlhase finished 2nd in the 2nd race today at Belmont
However, #5 Gypsum Johnny came through with the win today and paid $11.40 across the board!!!
If you stuck with playing the Morning Line 2/1s since opening day on the Dirt you are getting a 37% return so far on your money per $2 win wager!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and was able to make a profit!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 05-04-2017 at 10:53 PM.
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05-05-2017, 01:36 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Well I was hoping for back to back wins today but that just wasn't the case as #5 Kohlhase finished 2nd in the 2nd race today at Belmont
However, #5 Gypsum Johnny came through with the win today and paid $11.40 across the board!!!
If you stuck with playing the Morning Line 2/1s since opening day on the Dirt you are getting a 37% return so far on your money per $2 win wager!!
Congratulations to those who saw the play and was able to make a profit!!!
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These Morning Line 2/1's are available on the Dirt after scratches today at Belmon
4th race
#6 Tickled Pink
6th race
#1 Bustin It
8th race
#2 Shes So Fine
Right now the across the board percentage for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt is right at 50% will jump off of the 2/1 train when the win place and show percentage starts to get near 30% then wait for another winless streak at around 4 to 5 in a row
Let's see what these do today!!!
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05-05-2017, 09:30 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
These Morning Line 2/1's are available on the Dirt after scratches today at Belmon
4th race
#6 Tickled Pink
6th race
#1 Bustin It
8th race
#2 Shes So Fine
Right now the across the board percentage for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt is right at 50% will jump off of the 2/1 train when the win place and show percentage starts to get near 30% then wait for another winless streak at around 4 to 5 in a row
Let's see what these do today!!!
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Well the only winner for the day was #1 Bustin It and with today's losses it really ate into the profits from opening day
However, I will still keep an eye on the Morning Line 2/1's since their win percentage is still over 30% once it falls below that it is time to move on to another streak
Unbelievable how #6 Tickled Pink lost in a 3 horse race
*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink
Congratulations to those who saw the #1 Bustin It play and were able to make a profit!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 05-05-2017 at 09:42 PM.
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05-05-2017, 10:10 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Prior to today the Morning Line 5/2's on the Dirt over a wet surface had been winless in 8 starts and I saw that the streak had extended to 9 losses in a row as of today's 8th race.
Finally, there was a break through in the 9th race with a win by #14 Vilma in the 9th race
I will watch the Morning Line 5/2's over the next few days as there has been substantial rain fall in the New York area.
Hopefully there will be win streaks coming through for the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation!!!
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05-06-2017, 12:21 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Prior to today the Morning Line 5/2's on the Dirt over a wet surface had been winless in 8 starts and I saw that the streak had extended to 9 losses in a row as of today's 8th race.
Finally, there was a break through in the 9th race with a win by #14 Vilma in the 9th race
I will watch the Morning Line 5/2's over the next few days as there has been substantial rain fall in the New York area.
Hopefully there will be win streaks coming through for the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation!!!
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Let's see if these Morning Line 5/2's will come through with some wins today as the track is listed as Muddy for Belmont
3rd race off Turf
#9 Broken Engagement
5th race
#6 Sweetrayofsunshine
8th race
#7 Lucky Lotto
9th race
#1 Beckers Galaxy
Let's see what happens!!!
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05-06-2017, 09:44 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Let's see if these Morning Line 5/2's will come through with some wins today as the track is listed as Muddy for Belmont
3rd race off Turf
#9 Broken Engagement
5th race
#6 Sweetrayofsunshine
8th race
#7 Lucky Lotto
9th race
#1 Beckers Galaxy
Let's see what happens!!!
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Well we had 2 wins and a place finish with the Morning Line 5/2's today on the Dirt
Both #9 Broken Engagement and #6 Sweetrayofsunshine won their respective races!!!
It would have been nice if #1 Beckers Galaxy could have also gotten a win but it was not the case today
You got a 58% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 5/2's over the wet surface today at Belmont not too shabby!!!
Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!
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