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Old 12-21-2022, 09:23 PM   #16
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My fondest memories of bowl season was running pools picking the games straight up decades ago at work and getting to hand the winner's purse to someone born south of the border who thought football was played with a round ball. I did that 10 straight years between two jobs. I was well ahead on the NFL in the same group, but never even took down 3rd place in the bowl ones.
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Old 12-22-2022, 02:26 PM   #17
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Embarrassing prediction yesterday so now my mark is 3-9 ATS and 4-8 o/u

Baylor -3.5 and the under 43.5

This is one of those games where if Baylor comes to play it is an easy cover, they should win by double digits. The worry is they lost their last three and is the motivation there. They should have beaten TCU a couple of weeks ago. Air Force really struggles to score and they can't pass the ball a lick. The academies do have a strong record of covering the spread over the past decade or so. Still, Baylor is the far superior team. If I knew Baylor was ready to play their best game this would easily be a $2000 bet, but I just don't know.

Baylor $200 and $50 under
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Old 12-22-2022, 03:59 PM   #18
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Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Baylor wins by 9.34 pts with 44 total points and a win% of 54.2% to 45.7%
SU Pick: Baylor
ATS Pick: Baylor-6.5
O/U Pick: Under 49.5

Records will be updated either tomorrow night or Saturday am
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Old 12-23-2022, 11:21 AM   #19
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Radiance Tech Independence Bowl
Houston wins by 5.75pts with 58 total points and a win% of 53.11% to 46.88%
SU Pick: Houston
ATS Pick: Lousiana+6.5
O/U Pick: Under 60.5

Union Home mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Wake Forest wins by 1.42pts with 57 total points and a win% of 50.64% to 49.35%
SU Pick: Wake Forest
ATS Pick: missouri+2.5
O/U Pick: Under 63
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Old 12-23-2022, 11:24 AM   #20
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3-10 ATS and 4-9 o/u

I knew three plays into the game last night that Air Force was going to win by double digits. You could just see that Baylor had no interest in playing that game. I feared that was coming. The announcer at the beginning of the 4th quarter said "it is hard to know which teams are going to show up for their bowl games."

Houston -7 and the over 56.5
Missouri +2.5 and the under 58.5

Here we go again! If Houston decides to play they will easily cover the seven point spread, they are by far the better team. Louisiana is horrible, they got buried to Rice. Houston scores a ton of points but also gives up a lot. I thought the o/u would be in the mid 60's. I won't be surprised if Houston lays an egg and loses by 10 or more. They had their goals set on playing in a NY6 game at the beginning of the year so I question their desire to be here.

Houston $200 and $200 on the over

Missouri won their bowl game last year so I am thinking they want to win again this year. The ACC is by far the worst conference of the P5 this year. Wake has the better offense but Missouri has the better defense as they played Georgia tough, beat South Carolina and ended the season beating Arkansas. Thinking they finish the year strong after a rocky start.

Missouri $200 and $100 under
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Old 12-23-2022, 12:06 PM   #21
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Today is the first of the "true" bowl games. In my eyes there are only 12, the six NY6 games obviously and then the Independence, Gator, Citrus, Sun, Holiday, and Liberty. These are the traditional ones although the Alamo and Las Vegas bowls are now 29 and 30 years old. I am considering making them traditional bowls next year now that they will have hit the 30 year mark. Sorry, but the ReliaQuest bowl is not a traditional bowl even though it was the Hall of Fame bowl starting in 1985 and then the Outback and has been around for over 30 years.
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Old 12-23-2022, 02:01 PM   #22
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Bowl season hasn't been the same for me since the demise of the Poulan Weedeater Bowl.
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Old 12-23-2022, 02:39 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rastajenk View Post
Bowl season hasn't been the same for me since the demise of the Poulan Weedeater Bowl.

Was that like in the 90's?
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Old 12-24-2022, 02:51 PM   #24
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Not a good day again yesterday! Houston got lucky to push, I knew when over/under was that low something was up. Houston totally changed their offense for the game.

ATS 3-11 and 5-10 o/u

San Diego St -6.5 and the under 47

Shitty game, then again the Hawaii bowl always is, I just don't like it. CUSA is having a bad bowl season. Middle Tennessee can't run the ball well and SDSU is strong against the run. The spread has moved three points in three weeks in SDSU favor as it opened at -3.5.

$50 on SDSU to cover and $300 on the game to go under.
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Old 12-24-2022, 03:03 PM   #25
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Easy Post Hawai'i Bowl
San Diego St wins by 6.16 pts with 43 total points and a win% of 53.8% to 46.1%
SU Pick: San Diego State
ATS Pick: middle Tennessee+6.5
O/U Pick: Under 49

Records will be updated after today's Bowl
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Old 12-25-2022, 12:57 PM   #26
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Updated records since 12/24

SU: 8-8
ATS: 8-8
O/U: 9-6-1

Honestly, every Bowl season no matter how much research or how much effort I put into this always ends up as a toss-up

Upsets and teams who you never thought can win can win or the teams who you thought could never lose can lose
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Old 12-26-2022, 04:23 AM   #27
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Quick Lane Bowl
Bowling Green wins by 1.62 pts with 48 total points and a win% of 51.2% to 48.7%
SU Pick: Bowling Green
ATS Pick: New Mexico State+2.5
O/U Pick: Under 47.5
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Old 12-26-2022, 09:39 AM   #28
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I can't buy a win. Now stand at 3-12 ATS and 5-11 O/U. Take out my only slam dunk, Fresno St, and I would be 2-12, ouch!

New Mexico St +3.5 and the under 48.5

This is by far the worst bowl game of the season. It is pretty much a guess. So it will be $50 and $25 on the under. Financially this would be a blood bath if Fresno had not covered. When it is all said and done I will come out ahead on the bowls money wise.
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Old 12-26-2022, 12:38 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20 View Post
I can't buy a win. Now stand at 3-12 ATS and 5-11 O/U. Take out my only slam dunk, Fresno St, and I would be 2-12, ouch!

New Mexico St +3.5 and the under 48.5

This is by far the worst bowl game of the season. It is pretty much a guess. So it will be $50 and $25 on the under. Financially this would be a blood bath if Fresno had not covered. When it is all said and done I will come out ahead on the bowls money wise.

Any time my long term sports betting friend and I have a strong agreement on a game and the line looks two good to be true we usually get our asses kicked. We always said the next time that happens we should switch sides and load up.



Kudos to you to admit you are getting lit up, hope things turn around soon.
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Old 12-26-2022, 08:43 PM   #30
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Camellia Bowl
Georgia Southern wins by 2.28pts with 69 total points and a win% of 51.5% to 48.4%
SU Pick: Georgia Southern
ATS Pick: Buffalo+3.5
O/U Pick: Over 67.5

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
Memphis wins by 9.67pts with 64 total points and a win% of 55.5% to 44.5%
SU Pick: Memphis
ATS Pick: memphis-7
O/U Pick: Over 62.5

TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl
East Carolina wins by 3.59pts with 63 total points and a win% of 52.0% to 47.9%
SU Pick: East Carolina
ATS Pick: Coastal Carolina+9.5
O/U Pick: Over 59.5

Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Wisconsin wins by 1.67pts with 50 total points and a win% of 50.7% to 49.2%
SU Pick: Wisconsin
ATS Pick: Oklahoma State
O/U Pick: Over 43.5

Lets turn around our luck on the Bowls here
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