R#7
Beyer-wise, it is a two horse race with one who could have an outside chance.
Paired up 95 tops last tow off a short freshening.
My rule of thumb is two and through, ala Point Given. But the short layoff might be a plus rather than a negative. My odds line says 1.6 is fair, but I want 5-2 minimum.
Show the second best figs at 6 and 7 furlongs, has been in routes and I love cut backs with competitive sprint numbers. TFUS pace figures for his last two routes have towering over this field. I'll take 3-1 even though my odds line say I need 5-1
A forging horse on the edge of the top two in figs.
Beyer of 66-70-72-83-89. Four or five points more is not out of the questions today. this will be faster race than he won last time. Odds line says 5-1
I actually bet Three rules in the FOY. His 94 in the Swale set him up to move ahead. His pace figures in the two routes confirm that he did and is now on a higher level.
I am not going to get my odds on Three Rules, so I will take
who is 7-1 right now. His big win last out followed by a trip here today is enough to make 7-1 look good. The jovk change is a good thing, too.
5W15P
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