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Old 06-29-2022, 01:44 PM   #16
Elkchester Road
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Originally Posted by Inner Dirt View Post
I find it shocking people blindly believe in a guy who changes his mind every time the wind blows a different direction. I always wondered how he used to come up with his daily Covid protocol. Was he using a magic 8 ball, Ouija board, or throwing darts? Face it, there is no such thing as a Covid expert.
Absolutely. And whether the Left likes it or not...it is becoming apparent.
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Old 06-29-2022, 02:26 PM   #17
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Myocarditis and Pericarditis are caused by a viral infection. Covid is a viral infection. In fact a person with Covid 19 is 16 times more likely to develop Myocarditis than some one who is not infected. And, there are a helluva lot of other ways a person with Covid can die.

The truth is, cases of myocarditis and Pericarditis associated with Covid vaccines are usually mild, short lived and result in no permanent damage.
Most of that has been shot down or called into question by more recent studies.
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Old 06-29-2022, 05:10 PM   #18
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Absolutely. And whether the Left likes it or not...it is becoming apparent.
Agree.

Interesting write up from Alex Berenson.

Alex Berenson Substack | 06-29-2022
On Covid, schools, and the death of the liberal expert class:
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/...th-of/comments

Quote:
The New Yorker just ran its second big negative piece on Ron DeSantis in a week, proof of how much the woke media fears the governor of Florida. (Yes, I read the New Yorker so you don’t have to.)

The article is nominally about DeSantis’s support for age-appropriate teaching of gender and sexuality in public schools. Or, as the Democrats like to call it, “Don’t Say Gay.” The wokesters have not figured out that label is not quite the devastating comeback they think.
Quote:
But I digress, briefly. As you would expect, the article treats DeSantis as a political opportunist. But, unlike most woke media reporters these days, the author actually took the time both to talk to conservatives who support DeSantis’s views and to try to understand why those views are gaining so much ground right now. (As opposed to just repeating Fox News misinformation racism misogyny America is the worst endlessly.)

The result was something close to the truth - and the best explanation I have seen for the way Covid continues to drive our politics, even if no one is talking about it anymore. I urge you to read these three paragraphs - especially the sentence I have bolded - closely:

When I asked Republican activists and operatives about the rise of the school issues, they told a very similar story, one that began with the pandemic, during which many parents came to believe that their interests (in keeping their kids in school) diverged with those of the teachers and administrators. As Roberts, the Heritage Foundation president, put it to me, parents who were in many cases apolitical “became concerned about these overwrought lockdowns, and then when they asked question after question, there was no transparency about them, which led them to pay more attention when their kids were on Zoom. They overheard things being taught. They asked questions about curricula. They were just stonewalled every step of the way.” The battles regarding the covid lockdowns, Roberts told me, opened the way for everything that came after. “This is the key thing,” he said. “It started with questions about masking and other aspects of the lockdowns.”

Both parties right now are trying to answer the question of how fundamentally covid has changed politics. “From 2008 to 2020, elections were decided on the question of fairness—Obama ’08, Obama ’12, and Trump ’16 were all premised on the idea that someone else was getting too much, and you were getting too little, and it was unfair,” Danny Franklin, a partner at the Democratic strategy firm Bully Pulpit Interactive and a pollster for both Obama campaigns, told me. But the pandemic and the crises that followed (war, inflation, energy pressures) were not really about fairness but an amorphous sense of chaos. “People are looking for some control over their lives—in focus groups, in polls, once you start looking for that you see it everywhere,” Franklin said.

Both parties had shifted, in his view. Biden had sought to reassure Americans that the government, guided by experts, could reassert its control over events, from the pandemic to the crisis in energy supply. Republicans, meanwhile, had focused on assuring voters that they would deliver control over a personal sphere of influence: schools that would teach what you wanted them to teach, a government that would make it easier, not harder, to get your hands on a gun. A moral panic about gender identity might seem anachronistic, but it served a very current political need. Franklin said, “It’s a way for Republicans to tell people that they can have back control of their lives.”


SOURCE

The problem - for Biden, for AOC, for the New York Times, for all the people in Park Slope who went to the right schools and believe in the current thing and know paradise is just around the corner if only we raise our taxes a little more - is that “the government, guided by experts” hasn’t had a great couple of years.

To say the least.

The profound failure of lockdowns and now vaccines have woken many average folks to the dangers of bureaucratic overreach, expert overconfidence, and authoritarianism in the name of safety.

They took our rights. The media and public health authorities would like you to forget the closed playgrounds and shuttered malls and mask mandates of 2020. And the vaccine mandates of last fall. They want you to forget that for a while, the federal government tried to take the right to work from tens of millions of unvaccinated people. State and local governments went even further; and countries like Canada and Australia further still. UNTIL 10 DAYS AGO, CANADA DID NOT ALLOW UNVACCINATED PEOPLE ON PLANES - effectively curtailing their right to travel in a country that stretches more than 4,000 miles from British Columbia to Newfoundland.

And they took our rights FOR NOTHING.

You and I and they know everything they did failed.

The proof sits in super-cold freezers where millions of vials of mRNA shots, the greatest medical breakthrough since fentanyl, sit slowly decaying. The proof is in the hospitals and pharmacies that are not offering those jabs to kids under 5, because demand is near-zero… and maybe because some of the physician-administrators who make millions of dollars a year running those hospitals know in their hearts that the risk-benefit analysis for mRNA shots for kids is all risk/no benefit and actually want to do the right thing for once. Not enough to say anything publicly, let’s not get crazy, but enough to make the shots a little harder to get.

And Dr. Anthony Fauci - double-boosted Anthony Fauci - gave us some more proof today.

Fauci Suffers Covid Symptom Rebound After Course of Pfizer's Paxlovid

It couldn’t have happened to a nicer megalomaniac. (This is your excuse to retire, Tony! You got yerself the long Covid!)

So, no, I don’t plan to let Covid and the vaccines go anytime soon. Those of us on Team Reality can’t let the Faucis of the world run from their failure, we can’t pretend it didn’t happen. No mulligans here. Especially because the mRNA shots may have long-run risks we are still just beginning to see.

So the New Yorker frames the proposition the two parties are offering exactly right. The Democrats offer expertise, Ivy League brilliance, the smartest folks in the room; the Republicans personal control.

But why wouldn’t people trust their own judgment over that of “experts” after the disaster of the last couple of years? What the left cannot seem to understand is that I’m not the problem - which is why kicking me off Twitter didn’t save the mRNA shots or the mandates. Ron DeSantis is not the problem either.

Reality is the problem for the left. Reality wants a course correction, and in four months voters are set to deliver that message to the Democratic Party with a foghorn blast.


-jp

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Old 06-29-2022, 05:19 PM   #19
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Agree.

Interesting write up from Alex Berenson.

Alex Berenson Substack | 06-29-2022
On Covid, schools, and the death of the liberal expert class:
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/...th-of/comments






-jp

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I am predicting MANY replies to your Post, Jeff. That, of course, is a very good thing.

Thank you
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Old 06-29-2022, 08:24 PM   #20
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eugyppius | Substack | 06-28-2022
Omicron BA.5 Prefers Hypervaccinated Masking West Germans, Avoids the Former DDR:
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/omicron-...ypervaccinated

Quote:
Vaccine failure in one map
(clickable thumbnail showing cases heat map below)

Quote:
This is the Omicron BA.5 wave in central Europe, and it is attended by a curious phenomenon: Every day, you can see more clearly the borders of the old DDR in the district-level data. I’ve traced these in green just to make the phenomenon clearer.

Yes yes, there are systematic demographic differences between East and West Germans, and there are probably some differences in testing rates, but above all, there is an important difference in vaccine uptake. In this map of triple vaccination rates across my country, the old DDR borders are also evident:
(clickable thumbnail showing triple vaccination rate map below)

Quote:
East Germans have direct experience with government propaganda, and have proven more resistent to the vaccination campaign than Westerners. Their reward, after being much maligned by state media, is now higher levels of natural immunity and lower rates of BA.5 infection, which appears to prefer vaccinated populations.

As the effects of vaccine failure grow clearer, you have to wonder how long the pandemicists will be able to publish even simple infection statistics, without raising extremely awkward questions.


I've been following this anonymous writer's Substack since the beginning of the Pandemic.

Literally everything Covid this author has written about happening in Europe has also happened here in the US after a lag time of about 8 to 10 weeks. (The vaccines were rolled out over there first.)

If BA.5 is burning through the triple vaccinated in Europe right now but not hitting everyone else nearly as hard:

The same thing will happen here in the US 8 to 10 weeks out.

For anyone interested, here's a follow up that was penned several hours later by the same author:
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/sars-2-d...utm_medium=web


-jp

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Attached Images
File Type: jpg GermanyCases06282022.JPG (66.1 KB, 3 views)
File Type: jpg GermanyTripleVaxRates06282022.JPG (42.2 KB, 3 views)
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Old 06-29-2022, 09:34 PM   #21
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Interesting thread (in English) that sheds some light on why each new Omicron variant might be hitting the vaccinated in the Netherlands harder than the previous one:
https://nitter.net/rintrahradagast/s...90966511001602

Quote:
So what could possibly be the reason? Well, Urk is a perfect demonstration of my theory: Unvaccinated communities will have a big Omicron wave, followed by widespread immunity against Omicron, preventing waves of new Omicron variants.
Quote:
We can check this by simply looking at Urk's sewage concentrations over time. It becomes clear they had a big Omicron wave, followed by no additional waves. Their BA.1 wave caused widespread strong broad immunity against other Omicron variants.
Quote:
And if you look at a highly vaccinated & boosted and relatively well connected municipality like Voorschoten, you see a currently ongoing Omicron wave that is as big as the original BA.1 wave:
Quote:
What does all of this suggest? It suggests original antigenic sin, a process induced by vaccination whereby the body responds to BA.1 infections with an immune response that can be easily escaped by other Omicron variants through a small number of mutations.
Quote:
This doesn't just explain why the least vaccinated Dutch municipality has the least SARS-COV-2 RNA in its sewage. It explains why a ~15% vaccinated country like Algeria has not really seen any real COVID waves since march:

-jp

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Old 06-29-2022, 09:57 PM   #22
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Continuing...
https://nitter.net/rintrahradagast/s...90966511001602

Quote:
Is all of this a problem, if the Omicron infections are mild? Well, if we accept as a given the evidence that it takes the average person's body at least 6 months to fully recover its CD4+ T cell count from a mild SARS-COV-2 infection, constant reinfections are very disturbing.
Quote:
Only time will tell what the constantly ongoing high prevalence of Omicron variants in our communities will cause. But if populations of hundreds of millions of people now suffer ongoing CD4+ T cell depletion, I would expect big problems to emerge as a result.
Quote:
Scientists need to hurry up and take a honest look at this ugly question: Is mass vaccination induced antigenic fixation prohibiting entire populations from developing broad durable immunity against the Omicron family of variants after a BA.1 infection?
Quote:
When Algeria has had no COVID for the last three months, you can pretend they're just ignoring it. But when the least vaccinated community in a developed country like the Netherlands has the least SARS-COV-2 in its sewage, you need to pay attention and ask: What's going on here?

-jp

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Old 06-30-2022, 10:26 AM   #23
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Serious Adverse Events of Special Interest Following mRNA Vaccination in Randomized Trials:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=4125239

Quote:
22 Pages Posted: 23 Jun 2022

Joseph Fraiman
Louisiana State University - Lallie Kemp Regional Medical Center

Juan Erviti
Navarre Health Service

Mark Jones
Bond University - Institute for Evidence-Based Healthcare

Sander Greenland
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health

Patrick Whelan
University of California at Los Angeles

Robert M. Kaplan
Stanford University

Peter Doshi
University of Maryland - School of Pharmacy


Abstract

Introduction: In 2020, prior to COVID-19 vaccine rollout, the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations and Brighton Collaboration created a priority list, endorsed by the World Health Organization, of potential adverse events relevant to COVID-19 vaccines. We leveraged the Brighton Collaboration list to evaluate serious adverse events of special interest observed in phase III randomized trials of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines.

Methods: Secondary analysis of serious adverse events reported in the placebo-controlled, phase III randomized clinical trials of Pfizer and Moderna mRNA COVID-19 vaccines (NCT04368728 and NCT04470427), focusing analysis on potential adverse events of special interest identified by the Brighton Collaboration.

Results: Pfizer and Moderna mRNA COVID-19 vaccines were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events of special interest, with an absolute risk increase of 10.1 and 15.1 per 10,000 vaccinated over placebo baselines of 17.6 and 42.2 (95% CI -0.4 to 20.6 and -3.6 to 33.8), respectively. Combined, the mRNA vaccines were associated with an absolute risk increase of serious adverse events of special interest of 12.5 per 10,000 (95% CI 2.1 to 22.9). The excess risk of serious adverse events of special interest surpassed the risk reduction for COVID-19 hospitalization relative to the placebo group in both Pfizer and Moderna trials (2.3 and 6.4 per 10,000 participants, respectively).

Discussion: The excess risk of serious adverse events found in our study points to the need for formal harm-benefit analyses, particularly those that are stratified according to risk of serious COVID-19 outcomes such as hospitalization or death.

Note:

Funding Information: This study had no funding support.

This is a Preprint where the authors performed a secondary analysis of serious adverse events reported in the placebo-controlled, phase III randomized clinical trials of Pfizer and Moderna mRNA COVID-19 vaccines.

They found:

The excess risk of serious adverse events of special interest surpassed the risk reduction for COVID-19 hospitalization relative to the placebo group in both Pfizer and Moderna trials.

Their words not mine.

-jp

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Old 06-30-2022, 10:38 AM   #24
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Originally Posted by Jeff P View Post
Serious Adverse Events of Special Interest Following mRNA Vaccination in Randomized Trials:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=4125239




This is a Preprint where the authors performed a secondary analysis of serious adverse events reported in the placebo-controlled, phase III randomized clinical trials of Pfizer and Moderna mRNA COVID-19 vaccines.

They found:

The excess risk of serious adverse events of special interest surpassed the risk reduction for COVID-19 hospitalization relative to the placebo group in both Pfizer and Moderna trials.

Their words not mine.

-jp

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Quote:
This study had no funding support.
That's very important.
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Old 07-01-2022, 02:51 AM   #25
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Meaning, National Health Data System doesn't want people knowing about this?
Didn't you get the memo? When the shots were first made available we were told that availability was on a emergency basis and that tests and studies would normally take years. If you want to wait those years than that's your choice. Blaming those who are working on the vaccine is willful ignorance.
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Old 07-01-2022, 07:50 AM   #26
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Heart Inflammation Rare after Covid Vaccination

https://www.usnews.com/news/health-n...id-vaccination
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:12 AM   #27
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I vaccinated twice (Mar and Apr of 21) because at the time I trusted it would be effective and have few and rare side effects. As data started coming out of Israel in around August it was already obvious it was failing and they started talking about boosters. Then questions about safety started creeping into non mainstream sources via highly qualified people. Then the boosters in Israel started failing and the US government started changing definitions and moving the goal post for what "working" means. IMO, on an overall basis the whole thing was an epic failure even if there was some benefit to many, especially some higher risk groups. Even now I'm still not sure what the downside risks are and what damage has been done to my body. There is obviously an attempt to hide and downplay the risks by the mainstream and not all the anti-vax sources are reliable. But for me, not getting boosted was an easy decision. Why should I boost for a virus that was already gone (the original virus) when it didn't even work well for that one, let alone for all the new variants. And of course imo the risks are higher than they letting us know even if I don't know exactly how much higher.
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Old 07-01-2022, 07:19 PM   #28
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The US News and World Report article uses the phrases heart inflammation and Myopericarditis interchangeably.

The sixth word in the second paragraph of the article is "(myopericarditis)" and links to another article titled Understanding Myocarditis, Pericarditis, and Endocarditis here:
https://www.myocarditisfoundation.or...ToNcU0hcDDreMT

Yes, it's an article about understanding heart inflammation.

But the word "myopericarditis" (without the quotes) does not appear anywhere in the text of the article. Nor is myopericarditis discussed in the text of the article.

Imo, that's misleading.

Is this an oversight? Or is it intentional?

According to the NIH.gov site Myopericarditis is a specific subset of Pericarditis when both pericarditis (inflammation of the pericardium or heart sac) and myocarditis (inflammation of the myocardium or muscular layer of the heart) occur together.

Link here:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK534776/

Quote:
The terms pericarditis refers to inflammation of the pericardium and myocarditis. Both can occur together in clinical practice, and hence the term myopericarditis is used.
Further, the text at the above link goes on to list causes of Myopericarditis as:

Quote:
Etiology

The majority of cases of myopericarditis are idiopathic as no definitive cause is identified even after extensive work up. Causes are divided into infectious and non-infectious causes. Most of the infectious causes are viral, and they are often attributed to the following viruses:

Infectious Causes

• Viruses: Coxsackievirus, adenoviruses, herpes viruses, echovirus, Ebstein-Barr virus, cytomegalovirus, influenza virus, hepatitis C virus, parvovirus B19
• Bacterial: Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Streptococcus, Staphylococcus, Haemophilus, Legionella, Mycoplasma
• Fungal: Histoplasma, Aspergillus, Blastomyces, coccidioidomycosis
• Parasites: Toxoplasma, amebic, Chaga disease

Non-Infectious Causes

Drugs (cardiotoxic effects or hypersensitivity reactions): procainamide, isoniazid, hydralazine, alcohol, anthracycline, heavy metals

• Post-radiation to the chest cavity
• Systemic inflammatory diseases: Lupus, rheumatoid arthritis, scleroderma, Sjogren, mixed connective tissue disease
• Other inflammatory conditions: Granulomatosis, inflammatory bowel disease
• Metastatic cancers: Especially lung cancer, breast cancer, melanoma
• Primary cardiac tumors: Rhabdomyosarcoma
• Metabolic: Hypothyroidism, Renal failure/uremia
Vaccine-associated myopericarditis

Note that I emphasized influenza virus and vaccine-associated myopericarditis in the above text. I did that because both have been known causes of myopericarditis long before the arrival of Covid-19.

I think that's important given the context of the study cited by the authors of the US News and World Report article.

Here's the Lancet study cited in the article --

Myopericarditis following COVID-19 vaccination and non-
COVID-19 vaccination: a systematic review and meta-
analysis:

http://www.thelancet-press.com/embar...ricarditis.pdf

Here are the Methods and Findings as written by the authors of the study:

Quote:
Methods We did a systematic review and meta-analysis, searching four international databases from Jan 1, 1947, to Dec 31, 2021, for studies in English reporting on the incidence of myopericarditis following vaccination (the primary outcome). We included studies reporting on people in the general population who had myopericarditis in temporal relation to receiving vaccines, and excluded studies on a specific subpopulation of patients, non-human studies, and studies in which the number of doses was not reported. Random-effects meta-analyses (DerSimonian and Laird) were conducted, and the intra-study risk of bias (Joanna Briggs Institute checklist) and certainty of evidence (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approach) were assessed. We analysed the difference in incidence of myopericarditis among subpopulations, stratifying by the type of vaccine (COVID-19 vs non-COVID-19) and age group (adult vs paediatric). Among COVID-19 vaccinations, we examined the effect of the type of vaccine (mRNA or non-mRNA), sex, age, and dose on the incidence of myopericarditis. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021275477).

Findings The overall incidence of myopericarditis from 22 studies (405 272 721 vaccine doses) was 33·3 cases (95% CI 15·3–72·6) per million vaccine doses, and did not differ significantly between people who received COVID-19 vaccines (18·2 [10·9–30·3], 11 studies [395 361 933 doses], high certainty) and those who received non-COVID-19 vaccines (56·0 [10·7–293·7], 11 studies [9 910 788 doses], moderate certainty, p=0·20). Compared with COVID-19 vaccination, the incidence of myopericarditis was significantly higher following smallpox vaccinations (132·1 [81·3–214·6], p<0·0001) but was not significantly different after influenza vaccinations (1·3 [0·0–884·1], p=0·43) or in studies reporting on various other non-smallpox vaccinations (57·0 [1·1–3036·6], p=0·58). Among people who received COVID-19 vaccines, the incidence of myopericarditis was significantly higher in males (vs females), in people younger than 30 years (vs 30 years or older), after receiving an mRNA vaccine (vs non-mRNA vaccine), and after a second dose of vaccine (vs a first or third dose).
The study is about myopericarditis (BOTH Myocarditis and Pericarditus) across a wide variety of vaccines.

It is not about Heart Inflammation and mRNA Covid vaccines.

In my opinion, both the link in the second paragraph of the article text and the headline chosen by US News and World Report "Heart Inflammation Very Rare After COVID Vaccination" are misleading at best.

And that's being kind.

It isn't just heart inflammation. The list of serious adverse events is long.

Other studies, including this one, have found:

Quote:
The excess risk of serious adverse events of special interest surpassed the risk reduction for COVID-19 hospitalization relative to the placebo group in both Pfizer and Moderna trials (2.3 and 6.4 per 10,000 participants, respectively).
Thank you for reading,


-jp

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Old 07-01-2022, 08:09 PM   #29
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Thank you Jeff!
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Old 07-01-2022, 08:37 PM   #30
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Originally Posted by maddog42 View Post
Why post an article from over two months ago?

Your world is changing rapidly...best keep up
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