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09-21-2023, 08:06 PM
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#31
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,059
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
This week's underdog picks (all lines from Caesars NY as of this morning):
Saints +2
Titans +3
Bucs +5
Season record: 6-4
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Adding Panthers +6.5
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09-22-2023, 03:55 PM
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#32
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,059
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Also adding the Colts +8 to my underdog picks
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09-24-2023, 05:42 AM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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so far 2-3 - 1.5 units
changing strategies
week 3:
Chargers +1
Saints +1
Titans +3
Commanders +6
Falcons +3
Steelers + 2.5
Rams + 2.5
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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09-25-2023, 06:37 PM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2019
Posts: 4,064
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Cinci -6.5
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09-26-2023, 06:12 AM
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#35
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,059
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Saints +2 Win
Titans +3 Loss
Bucs +5 Loss
Panthers +6.5 Loss
Colts +8 Win
Was fortunate to get the Saints line at +2, so I'll take it, could have been worse.
Week's record 2-3
Season record 8-7
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09-26-2023, 06:13 AM
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#36
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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the Boys got beat bad by the Cards - they were 11.5 faves
I watched the Cards horrible performance against the Commanders - really, really bad
the talking heads were really pumping up the Boys as being great
not that unusual, but again shows how wrong the public and the talking heads are pretty often
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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09-26-2023, 09:08 AM
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#37
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Beaverdam Virginia
Posts: 12,795
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
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the Boys got beat bad by the Cards - they were 11.5 faves
I watched the Cards horrible performance against the Commanders - really, really bad
the talking heads were really pumping up the Boys as being great
not that unusual, but again shows how wrong the public and the talking heads are pretty often
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That Cowboy loss was a stunner. I did not bet but was watching the game and following the in game money line. Even with 7 minutes to go down 28-16
just receiving the kick off FanDuel still had the Cowboys favored. Going in I thought Arizona was the worst team in football.
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09-28-2023, 09:04 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,059
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This week's underdog picks, all lines with Caesar's NY
Washington +8
Tampa Bay +3
New England +6.5
NY Jets +9.5
NY Giants +1
Season Record: 8-7
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09-29-2023, 06:52 AM
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#39
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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I'll throw in an NCAA pick here -
going with Georgia State at home -1 over Troy
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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09-29-2023, 04:14 PM
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#40
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,817
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Falcons
Rams
Bears
Cowboys
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09-30-2023, 05:43 AM
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#41
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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so far 5-7-1 - 2.6
Week 4 picks:
Rams +1
Bucs +3
Ravens +1.5
Dolphins +2.5
Ravens/Browns - under 39___________glta
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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09-30-2023, 09:49 AM
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#42
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 593
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week 4 already well were 1-2 - a buck twenty this week try buff -3 nyg+2 nyj+9 and pitt +4 all for a dollar gl every 1 
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09-30-2023, 10:54 AM
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#43
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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one more NCAA pick for today - game in about one hour
James Madison - 2.5 over South Alabama
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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10-01-2023, 06:39 AM
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#44
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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gonna do a separate tracking of these picks - don't expect them to do very well but who knows
the linked site tracks the public consensus picks
I tracked the first 3 weeks of the NFL and when it's 65% or greater the public pick went 8-1 - proves nothing of course - but kinna interesting
here are the top consensus picks for today - 65% or greater - as you might guess all faves - let's see how the public picks do this week
Eagles - 9.5
Chiefs - 9.5
Vikings -4.5
Bengals -2.5
Jaguars -3
Chargers -6
https://www.wunderdog.com/nfl/public-consensus
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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10-02-2023, 05:02 AM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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the public picks of 65% or greater went 3-3
for the year they're 11-4
I'm not going to continue to track them - I'll post the total after the regular season
I don't think they have value - I think their good performance up to now was just luck
maybe good to fade them
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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