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Old 09-01-2023, 09:53 AM   #1
bisket
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Pacific Classic

I'm liking Katonah more and more as I research him. Answers the stamina question at better than 15 to 1? He has a strong case to be in every exacta and trifecta. A great card with full fields in every race. I'm sure I'll a few to play in earlier races.
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Old 09-01-2023, 06:46 PM   #2
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Old 09-01-2023, 09:04 PM   #3
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Yeah I read that a few hours ago. I thought he would be a good horse to add to a super, tri, and exacta box. A wild card that I like in a full field. I thought if he got an inside position on the turn he had a shot. Some racing luck could put him into the win or place, but heís a scratch. I think Defunded is the most likely winner here. Geaux Rocket Ride and Skinner fills out the tri. Defunded ran one of his best races when he hopped at the start of the Californian and came from off the pace. Arabian Lion sets it up for him. Geaux Rocket Ride or Skinner fills out the tri.
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Old 09-01-2023, 09:27 PM   #4
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I'm going longshot hunting in tomorrow's Pac Classic
Best of luck to all playing!

SLOW DOWN ANDY 8-1
PIROLI 20-1
TRIPOLI 20-1
STILLETO BOY 8-1

$10 W/P on =$20
$1 Exacta with $6.00
50c Trifecta with with $9.00
10c Superfecta with with with $5.40
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Old 09-02-2023, 01:41 PM   #5
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Good betting race.

Not sure the 2 3yo's should be 5/2 and 3/1. GRR certainly has a figure, and appears to have the talent to win this but rail and 10f, a lot to ask at that price.

Arabian Night, well sure he could go to the lead and Baffert style win as he has talent but thats just a ton to ask at 3/1.


Stiletto Boy and Defunded have figures and been running against the best horses. Not sure why Defunded ran soo poorly in his last race but think he is the best horse in here, unless the 1 takes another step forward.

Slow Down Andy could win but not real thrilled he could not take that candy trip to a win last out. Senior Buscador will probably find it harder to swoop the fied at this distance.

Win on Defunded anywhere around 4/1.
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Old 09-02-2023, 01:56 PM   #6
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Rocket had another horse to do the dirty work for him in the Haskell. I donít know if thatís the case here. I donít see him stopping in the stretch. The added furlong and probability that he has to pressure Arabian Lion might make him a good choice for place. Iíll be watching will pays but maybe a straight exacta Defunded and Rocket.. Might add Stilletto Boy and Skinner to tri and or super. Itís gonna depend on what the pools look like and analysis of the runners on the track. Tri and super will be a box if theyíre worthwhile to bet.
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Old 09-02-2023, 02:54 PM   #7
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The Pacific Classic (G1) is a 1 1/4 dirt race for 3-year-olds and up. This yearís rendition attracted a field of 11, including two each trained by Bob Baffert and Doug OíNeill along with four trying a dirt marathon for the first time. All runners exit dirt races Ė six at Del Mar, two at Monmouth and one each at Pleasanton, Ellis Park and Los Alamitos.

The field has combined for an in-the-money rate of one in two starts overall and at the distance.

The runners have combined for a lead at the second call one in every five starts. The pace should be moderate to fast, with the advantage to runners coming from off the pace.

The John Shirreffs trained no. 11 Skinner has had a couple of long breaks in his seven-race career. He has run very well when able to make it to the track, logging a win, second and three thirds after a mediocre debut. He has solid improvement potential as he tries a marathon for the first time and is 10-1 as your key runner.

No. 8 Senor Buscador ran huge last out at Del Mar, coming from way out of it to win the San Diego Handicap and will have to do the same this time for Fincher. The pace will be hot and he has a solid chance to make up ground late. He has logged six wins in 12 tries along with a third and is 10-1.

No. 3 Stiletto Boy is 17 of 22 overall on dirt with four wins and rarely runs a bad race. He should be off the lead and has won and finished third at the distance in five tries. He is 8-1.

No. 5 Defunded has come off some of his better tries, is always a presence and is a multiple time graded stake winner trained by Baffert. He has been in the money all three of his starts at the distance, includig one win, and is an overall 13 of 18 on dirt and is 4-1.

No. 1 Geaux Rocket Ride has never been worse than second in four starts, with three wins topped by a graded stakes last time out. The Mandella trainee tries a marathon for the first time and should be right there at odds of 3-1.

The play: 10-cent superfecta key using 11 with 1, 3, 5 and 8. Total wager: $9.60
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Old 09-02-2023, 04:40 PM   #8
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no bet for me

based on morning line and last race Slow Down Andy is mildly attractive. He ran much the best in the G2 San Diego but finished second. Now he's listed 8/1 morning line...

I don't have any real knocks against the favorites, although I seldom like a 3yo like the who won a 3yo race last time at about 13/1, Haskell being G1 or not he got a trip and now faces older horses.
In other words the cliche "last time was the time" applies here.
Still not a huge predictive 'knock' in terms of expected performance.

Even without it being a huge knock for performance (only for value), I would personally guess he'll be out of the exacta, but I don't really know.


I think that Arabian Knight will win impressively. He's a quality animal and worked well since the last race for a top trainer. He's far from a sure thing or else he'd be a bet at 2/1 or whatever he goes off as about co-fav w/ the . He could just as soon exit a contender for the Classic as he could exit about fourth or so...

I wish that I could see Tripoli's works since the San Diego.
He got a dream trip in that race, and so did today's Senor Buscador (who capitalized far more impressively and even won that dream trip), but I am wary of Tripoli 'improving' for team Sadler/Hronis as 2nd fiddle late flow last time or not, it was still some momentum. The 'paper' works and connections are enough for me to feel he'll dust Senor Buscador if any late flow happens, and if I could see the works on video, It's possible that I may think he'd have a chance to get 2nd or something if a horse like the wipes everyone out w/ a fast race.

If I was forced to waste $10 on this race, I'd key the Tripoli under a Tri and Super.
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Old 09-02-2023, 05:30 PM   #9
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Looks to be a competitive race, but I like Stilleto Boy. Looks to stay within striking distance and has the ability to seal the deal.
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Old 09-02-2023, 05:47 PM   #10
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I thinj slow down andy will prove the deal here. Its a big ask for the 3 year olds and they figure to take a bunch of money. I think slow down andy was up against it last out and could redeem himself today. Defended could bounce back here, so an exacta box with those two covers it for me.
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Old 09-02-2023, 08:54 PM   #11
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25$
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Old 09-02-2023, 08:59 PM   #12
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Whatever they announce, the attendance is terrible..The main parking lot, which isn't large, did not fill up, the infield is closed, and nothing is crowded.

Racing is dying here in paradise.
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Old 09-02-2023, 09:53 PM   #13
bisket
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Add 5$ tri box
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Old 09-02-2023, 10:27 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by dilanesp View Post
Whatever they announce, the attendance is terrible..The main parking lot, which isn't large, did not fill up, the infield is closed, and nothing is crowded.

Racing is dying here in paradise.

1st weekend of college football for most schools and there isn't a big dominant horse in the race like last year.
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Old 09-02-2023, 10:33 PM   #15
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Itís all about the 3 year olds in a few months. Congratulations to anyone holding winning tickets.
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