 |
|
02-26-2018, 11:05 AM
|
#46
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Since I just started doing this, going to keep things as they are for now. It's possible to add some longer term stuff, and I'll definitely consider it...but not right now.
Thanks.
|
|
|
|
02-26-2018, 04:09 PM
|
#47
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
With one pick left (a 2/5 M/L shot no less), here is how today turned out...hardly any plays, but a profit nonetheless:
|
|
|
|
|
02-26-2018, 08:02 PM
|
#48
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Last pick won...these chalks are getting way out of hand...
|
|
|
|
|
02-27-2018, 06:53 PM
|
#49
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Here's how today panned out...small profit...but a profit nonetheless
Become a VIP!
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 02-27-2018 at 06:57 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
02-27-2018, 10:06 PM
|
#50
|
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,686
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Here's how today panned out...small profit...but a profit nonetheless
Become a VIP! |
Rebate players kill for days like this. 
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 05:02 PM
|
#51
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Been wondering how I've been doing lately? Having another great day so far...here's my current record with picks posted in the VIP section.
Have hit 6 of 11 on top so far today.
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 05:51 PM
|
#52
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Hit two out of the next three while we were gone...so I have now hit 8 out of 14 top pick winners today...damn...I'm good
Go VIP
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 03-02-2018 at 05:53 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 10:23 PM
|
#53
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Here are the results of today and my current totals. Petered out a bit at the end, but all in all, a pretty solid day. 
Hit 13 of 28 top choice winners. Not too shabby...
Become A VIP today!
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 03-02-2018 at 10:26 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 10:46 PM
|
#54
|
|
Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NEW YORK CITY
Posts: 3,670
|
Whats your software of choice here?
Mike
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 11:35 PM
|
#55
|
|
Bombardier
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 4,015
|
I think PA has said that he uses TimeForm numbers. I also think that he uses the pace projector and then does some weighting using a Monte Carlo simulation. He may not do this any more, but I believe that is what he has done in the past.
PA, you definitely have got it GOING ON. Handicapping and playing like a BOSS.
__________________
Sucker #2
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 11:36 PM
|
#56
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
I exclusively use TimeformUS pace & speed figures...and use Excel to generate an odds line using the figures.
So I guess Excel is my software of choice?
I use a web scraping tool to generate a .csv file of the figures I need from the Timeform website for each race, so the process of inputting the figs is semi-automated...but not quite. But I can handicap a race in under a minute using my method.
I don't do trips. I don't look at jockeys, trainers or owners.
Pure figs. And my 158 race sample doesn't even consider overlays. It's just the performance of the top pick bet in each and every race.
The new 9/5 or higher sample is based on betting each pick at 9/5 or higher at 0mtp. As you can see, some of the winners got cut down drastically from 0mtp until the race went off, as is the plague of betting on horses these days.
But yet, I have overcome this handicap...to date...which shows you that you can WIN and WIN NICELY despite late odds drops, while using NOTHING BUT PACE AND SPEED FIGURES.
And they say it can't be done.
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 03-02-2018 at 11:40 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
03-02-2018, 11:57 PM
|
#57
|
|
Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NEW YORK CITY
Posts: 3,670
|
Nice going PA...
using your years of experiences and putting down to use in Excel is a rewarding experience....
Mike
|
|
|
|
|
03-03-2018, 12:29 AM
|
#58
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 117
|
Well done, sir. Congrats.
|
|
|
|
|
03-03-2018, 12:51 AM
|
#59
|
|
Pace Cappa
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Canada
Posts: 4,648
|
Outstanding !!!
__________________
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2hFZ8KnsSo
|
|
|
|
|
03-03-2018, 12:53 AM
|
#60
|
|
PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 86,733
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zaf
Outstanding !!!
|
Good stuff Zaf! Love the graphical accompaniment! 
VIP...anything goes! (within reason) 
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Thread Tools |
|
|
| Rate This Thread |
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|
