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Originally Posted by 5thstreetpicks
I just read the end of your article basically you rely on players and how they bet as the old saying goes a fool and his money will soon part ways . I look at it this way guy if I can get edge over the public and get a more accurate final time that will help me I'm in me personally I stopped trying to figure out who's going to the lead I don't believe in run styles but I do believe in the speed points it's a very sound system I would like to see brisnet keep track of the speed points besides the run styles but they don't do that because that's giving the public too much of an edge and they cannot do that. Race Tracks are in business to take your money not give you you have to earn it the hard way
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I commend you for making the effort but your approach is flawed imo. Do you really trust how Bris calculates speed points or interprets running styles? You want a more accurate final time? You need to time the races yourself. Another member here posted recently about times at GP. Good luck figuring out the timings there. Speed points? They are not new so I'm sure if they were the key to winning someone would have already done it. Pandy created a different approach to speed points so maybe there's something there. I have not researched that approach so I have no idea if it's better than the Quirin method or even as good. It's a place to start, though.
Pace and speed are obvious important factors in handicapping but trying to get an edge using those is going to be supremely difficult, so good luck. Dick Schmidt had a chapter in (The New) Pace is the Race book called "Goodenough Numbers". I subscribe to that way of thinking as there are many ways to approach handicapping, and the data and methods to create better figures are teeming with flaws. Get close enough --
good enough -- and incorporate those numbers into other approaches/factors. But go ahead and chase that elusive accuracy -- it's your time and money.