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06-18-2022, 11:38 AM
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#1
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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Belmont Late Pick 5
Carryover of over $200k after some longshots in the Fri sequence.
This doesn't happen often and you're almost compelled to take shot as the payoff should be very good.
The sequence is daunting though, with the 7th and 9th being a bit wide open.
The 10th is no cakewalk either.
Do you risk it all in the first leg (the Poker) and single Brown's #1 and not use his other runner, #4 ?
I'm using both and going a bit deep in the 7th and 9th.
Tentative ticket is this:
R6: 1-4
R7: 1-3-4-9
R8: 4-5-6
R9: 3-4-5-6-8
R10: 1-5
If I'm lucky to be alive in the last it will be a white knuckler with only two runners in the 10th...the 7-8 scare me a lot.
Good luck if you're taking a shot.
The Pick6 carried also but that's too rich for my blood.
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
Last edited by PhantomOnTour; 06-18-2022 at 11:44 AM.
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06-18-2022, 01:47 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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06-18-2022, 03:11 PM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,861
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The last time I hit 5 at Belmont was 2008 - 2019.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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06-18-2022, 03:15 PM
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#4
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
R6: 1-4
R7: 1-3-4-9
R8: 4-5-6
R9: 3-4-5-6-8
R10: 1-5
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Played this ticket for $120, which is a above my normal outlay for a P5, but sometimes you gotta step out and swang for it...esp with a carryover and guaranteed huge pool.
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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06-18-2022, 03:16 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Good luck.
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06-18-2022, 03:26 PM
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#6
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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1) 1 / 134579 723456 / 563 / 135910
2) 1245 / 1 /7 /563 / 135910 **1245 NOT 3 , ERROR IN LEG 1
3) 1 / 1 /723456/ 563/ 135910
4) 1 /134579/ 7 / 563 / 1357910
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 06-18-2022 at 03:27 PM.
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06-18-2022, 03:37 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Well the good news is that I got a $10 super in that race, think that means I have a free roll in the pick 5
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06-18-2022, 03:50 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Well the good news is that I got a $10 super in that race, think that means I have a free roll in the pick 5
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lol nice.
I see there is no respect for the  Castle Leoch Wesley Ward here in r7
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-18-2022, 03:55 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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0
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06-18-2022, 03:55 PM
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#10
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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The  Fighter in the Win
- Euro Form looks strong , Obviously the  is Brown's 'A' and this is 'B' or worse, but looks generally good enough.
The thing I don't like is he was running 9, 10f in France ... Euros stretch best here, not cutting back or keeping the same distance.
84 TFUS last time = 104TFUS here, but probably wants more distance.
 Merci and  icarus can win if the Browns aren't able to run top performances
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-18-2022, 04:01 PM
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#11
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-18-2022, 04:05 PM
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#12
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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ANOTHER DIME
/ ALL / / ALL
/ / 23567/ ALL
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-18-2022, 04:07 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
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06-18-2022, 04:11 PM
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#14
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
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still Alive....
may go take a walk w/ wife and check back.
no great plays, just threw some tickets down
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-18-2022, 04:24 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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have a good walk.
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