I have a lot of respect for Thorograph and their team, but without understanding the methodology and how to read patterns, they are no better than any other figure. One thing that you need to know when using them is part of their adjustment relates to how wide they are on the turn, and thus the distance traveled. With that in mind, front runners who get the lead and stay on the rail never run as far as somebody caught wide on both turns, but if you are trying to handicap a race, you better know that the big figure horse that goes 4w4w won't get to the wire first.
They have a major weakness in that they discount pace. So do Beyer and Brisnet, but for somebody who claims their performance figures are more accurate and superior, they're missing that boat completely.
Their biggest advantage, from a wagering perspective, is not in their accuracy or superiority. They market themselves as such, but they just aren't. The advantage is that their methodology requires knowledge of how to interpret patterns and project improvements or bounces, which everyday Joe just doesn't know how to do. Therefore the horses they point to do not always get bet as heavily, and therefore have better odds/wager value.
Last edited by Thunder Gulch; 04-25-2015 at 03:41 PM.
|