HONG KONG / ShaTin - SUN 9/25 - Page 2 - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

kevb · 09-25-2016, 02:59 AM

R1o:

Q Box

kevb · 09-25-2016, 03:31 AM

R6:

Surest thing to look through a bridle today.

W

kevb · 09-25-2016, 03:37 AM

R6:

a little hedge on the surest thing...

TRI

/

kevb · 09-25-2016, 04:09 AM

R7:

Oh Lordy, from liking the fave last race to my addiction-- horses at boxcar odds.

WP

Q Box

kevb · 09-25-2016, 04:39 AM

Ouch

R8:

WP

Blinkers off after a failed on-time experiment with them

Q

/

kevb · 09-25-2016, 05:14 AM

R9:

WP

Tracking the speed 3 back and 3 wide.

Nitro · 09-25-2016, 05:46 AM

Hi there Kev! Holding down HK?

I'm having quite a morning. This one looks wide open.

R# 10 – 5-6 W/ 1-4-8-14-10

Nitro · 09-25-2016, 06:11 AM

One of the HK announcers made an interesting comment before the last race:
“If someone just blindly followed the money today they would have done very well”

R#1 – 1200M (6F) Turf - 5-1 W/ 7-10-13-11......1:00 AM EST
Final: R#1 – 5-7 W/ 10-1-6-3
Results:
6-5-7-3 - QUIN (22.00) & TRI (262.00) BX – Winner got some late play

R#2 - 1600M (8F) Turf - 8-1 W/ 6-4-3-5............1:30 AM EST
Final R# 2 - 8-1 W/ 6-3-9-11
Results: (Top 3 Dutch Win – 4/1 – 3.7/1 – 3.6/1)
6-9-8-1 - TRI (289.40) BX– Placer got solid action

R#3 - 1400M (7F) Turf - 4-11 W/ 3-14-12-5.......2:00 AM EST
Final: R# 3 - 11-1 W/ 14-4-12-5
Results: (Top 3 Dutch Win – 13/1 – 4.3/1 – 45/1)
11-4-5-12 - WIN(8.60) – QUIN(61.70) – TRI (1360.80)BX – Winner got solid late action

R#4 - 1200M (6F) Turf – 7-4 W/ 3-8-10-12.........2:30 AM EST
Final: R# 4 - 7-12 W/ 8-10-4-13
Results:
8-7-12-10 - QUIN(9.40) – TRI (120.20)BX – Top 2 got solid action

R#5 - 1200M (6F) AWT – 11-9 W/ 6-4-2-1.........3:00 AM EST
Final:[ R# 5 - (11 Late Scr)-9 W/ 6-4-1-10-2
Results: (Top 3 BIG Dutch Win – 2.7/1 – 9/1 – 33/1)
4-7-9-12 - Nothing in that one – Not much action on the Placer

R#6 - 1400M (7F) Turf - 1-2 W/ 4-10-5-11.........3:35 AM EST
Final:[ R# 6 - 5-2 W/ 1-11-4-10
Results:
5-4-1-2 - TRI (272.00)BX – Top 1 got solid betting action throughout

R#7 - 1200M (6F) AWT - 3-2 W/ 4-5-8-11..........4:05 AM EST
Final:[ R# 7 - 5-11 W/ 1-8-10-2
Results:
10-5-2-6- QUIN(40.80) & TRI (626.60)BX – Winner got clobbered late 11.9/1 to 5.6/1

R#8 - 1200M (6F) Turf - 4-12 W/ 2-1-5-8............4:35 AM EST
Final:[ R# 8 - 12-4 W/ 6-2-1-3
Results: (Top 3 Dutch Win - 4.6/1 – 2.3/1 – 9.1/1)
12-10-2-8- – WIN (4.60 )Winner got solid betting action throughout

R#9 - 1600M (8F) Turf - 4-1 W/ 8-14-11-6..........5:10 AM EST
Final:[ R# 9 - 8-14 W/ 4-2-11-1
Results:
3-2-4-12- – Nothing in that one – Some late action on the LS Winner

R#10 - 1400M (7F) Turf - 5-1 W/ 6-4-14-10.........5:45 AM EST
Final: R# 10 – 5-6 W/ 1-4-8-14-10
Results: (Top 3 Dutch Win – 5.3/1 – 6.7/1 – 6/1)
1-14-5-12- – TRI BX (241.20) – Placer took all the late action & was fav.

It was another fun & profitable time at Sha Tin where the Tote was singing this morning !
I have to admit my faculties & concentration level was much better without doing the live posting.
Hope you all made some money!

Nitro · 09-25-2016, 11:49 PM

Update:
If someone decided to play Dutch Win bets using the Top 3 early picks these were the results:

R#1 - 5-1 W/ 7-10-13-11.............. Results: 6-5-7-3
Dutch – 5 ( 2.2/1 ) – 1 ( 18/1 ) – 7 ( 8.8/1 ) - ($57.00) – ($57.00)

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
2.2	8.8	18.0	BET	PRF	
$6	$20	$38			
$38	$12	$6	$57	$65	114%
$122	$122	$122

R#2 - 8-1 W/ 6-4-3-5................... Results: 6-9-8-1
Dutch – 8 ( 4/1 ) – 1 ( 3.7/1 ) – 6 ( 3.6/1 ) - $34.00 – ($23.00)

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
3.6	3.7	4.0	BET	PRF	
$9	$9	$10			
$20	$20	$18	$58	$34	59%
$92	$94	$90

R#3 - 4-11 W/ 3-14-12-5....... Results: 11-4-5-12
Dutch – 4 ( 13/1 ) – 11 ( 4.3/1 ) – 3 ( 45/1 ) - $350.00 – $327.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
4.3	13.0	45.0	BET	PRF	
$11	$28	$92			
$92	$35	$11	$137	$350	255%
$488	$488	$488

R#4 - 7-4 W/ 3-8-10-12......... Results: 8-7-12-10
Dutch – 7 ( 2.9/1 ) – 4 ( 10/1 ) – 3 ( 51/1 ) - ($149.00) – $178.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
2.9	10.0	51.0	BET	PRF	
$8	$22	$104			
$104	$37	$8	$149	$257	173%
$406	$406	$406

R#5 - 11-9 W/ 6-4-2-1......... Results: 4-7-9-12 (11 Late Scr)
Dutch – 9 ( 2.7/1 ) – 6 ( 9/1 ) – 4 ( 33/1 ) - $151.00 – $329.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
2.7	9.0	33.0	BET	PRF	
$7	$20	$68			
$68	$25	$7	$101	$151	150%
$252	$252	$252

R#6 - 1-2 W/ 4-10-5-11......... Results: 5-4-1-2
Dutch – 1 ( 2.9/1 ) – 2 ( 8/1 ) – 4 ( 12/1 ) - ($45.00) – $284.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
2.9	8.0	12.0	BET	PRF	
$8	$18	$26			
$26	$11	$8	$45	$56	125%
$101	$101	$101

R#7 - 3-2 W/ 4-5-8-11.......... Results: 10-5-2-6
Dutch – 3 ( 9.2/1 ) – 2 ( 11/1 ) – 4 ( 45/1 ) - ($95.00) – $189.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
9.2	11.0	45.0	BET	PRF	
$20	$24	$92			
$46	$39	$10	$95	$374	394%
$469	$468	$460

R#8 - 4-12 W/ 2-1-5-8............ Results: 12-10-2-8
Dutch – 4 ( 4.6/1 ) – 12 ( 2.3/1 ) – 2 ( 9.1/1 ) - $56.00 – $245.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
2.3	4.6	9.0	BET	PRF	
$7	$11	$20			
$40	$24	$14	$76	$56	72%
$66	$66	$66

R#9 - 4-1 W/ 8-14-11-6.......... Results: 3-2-4-12
Dutch – 4 ( 6.7/1 ) – 1 ( 13/1 ) – 8 ( 7.1/1 ) - ($70.00) – $175.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
6.7	7.1	13.0	BET	PRF	
$15	$16	$28			
$28	$27	$15	$70	$146	208%
$216	$216	$216

R#10 - 5-1 W/ 6-4-14-10......... Results: 1-14-5-12
Dutch – 5 ( 5.3/1 ) – 1 ( 6/1 ) – 6 ( 6.7/1 ) - $111.00 – $286.00

Code:

LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
5.5	6.0	6.7	BET	PRF	
$13	$14	$15			
$30	$28	$26	$84	$111	132%
$195	$196	$200

Again this was done using the preliminary picks and Dutching 3 entries in every race on the card. No matter how many races are played this positive result can only become reality when there's obvious value in the chosen selections (Note Profit % potential in each race). Hitting these 5 out of 10 races (50%) produced a hypothetical profit of $286 after betting $872 or a 33% profit margin.

Some might scoff at posting 6 selections per race (in fields of 12 to 14 entries), but when played and observed properly you can absolutely produce a positive ROI with a reasonable hit frequency and a combination of entries with decent odds.