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07-07-2011, 11:16 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,769
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the best tracks for me are the ones that i can figure out the bias of the track ahead of time. i seem to do very poorly at saratoga, arlington park, delmar and hollywood, and presque isle. delmar has some bigtime bias since the synthetic, but i have not been able to figure them out.
the reverse side that i have some luck with the way the tracks are playing are monmouth, mountaineer, penn national, charlestown, prarie meadows, sulfolk, parx and northlands.
the problem with playing bias tracks are that you must keep real good notes as to where the horses ran the race before.
alot of people think its easy to win at keeneland, saratoga, gulfsteam and saratoga. i have no chance at any of those tracks so i really don't bother playing them, but i wish all you guys that are good at it the best of luck.
Last edited by lamboguy; 07-07-2011 at 11:19 PM.
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07-08-2011, 02:17 AM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,144
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
the best tracks for me are the ones that i can figure out the bias of the track ahead of time. i seem to do very poorly at saratoga, arlington park, delmar and hollywood, and presque isle. delmar has some bigtime bias since the synthetic, but i have not been able to figure them out.
the reverse side that i have some luck with the way the tracks are playing are monmouth, mountaineer, penn national, charlestown, prarie meadows, sulfolk, parx and northlands.
the problem with playing bias tracks are that you must keep real good notes as to where the horses ran the race before.
alot of people think its easy to win at keeneland, saratoga, gulfsteam and saratoga. i have no chance at any of those tracks so i really don't bother playing them, but i wish all you guys that are good at it the best of luck.
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One must be select on what he plays, me at the Spa is the DD and spread
the rest, the pick 3 from Fla or Ky
__________________
igeteven says: When you tell the truth nobody believes you, when you lie, everyone believes you.
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07-08-2011, 02:27 AM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 2,815
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Does anyone else think that at Saratoga form is less important than class, jock and trainer. I just seems like the best trainers have their horse cranked up off of layoffs and a lot of horses with good form from Belmont are getting tired.
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07-08-2011, 10:31 AM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 13
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Hi all. New here.
I think that is very good advice, thaskalos.
I have gotten back into the game the past few months after a long hiatus from the early - mid 90's. Back then I only played the Maryland tracks, in person. Now, with the Internet, I can choose any tracks I want, and play them from the comfort of home (TwinSpires).
Currently, I am working Calder and Penn. The schedules suit me. Tried Delaware a few days ago. Might add it for a third track. Looking forward to Hawthorne returning. As for Maryland, racing financial woes have severely curtailed the schedules there (Laurel and Pimlico). They are my sentimental favorites. And I like Penn now. The $4,000+ Pick 3 Wednesday (Races 5-7) there suited me fine.
Not often are there three consective races at a track that I like well enough to invest in the Pick 3, but those three races at Penn were playable. From memory, the winners were 17-1, 4-1 and 7-1. I typically play three horses per leg, with a key horse in each, thus three tickets for about the same cost as crisscrossing, and I have a chance of winning it more than once. Wednesday though, my key horse won only the second leg (4-1), so only collected it once.
As for my own "edge", I have found that combining/overlapping several high probability factors produces good results. For me, those factors are Brohamer compound pace rankings, %E, Track Models, Hambleton Form Points, improving/declining TT and improving/declining form (Hall).
Thanks to the moderator for allowing me access here. I do enjoy reading everyones' posts.
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07-08-2011, 11:02 AM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,144
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Khanjar
Hi all. New here.
I think that is very good advice, thaskalos.
I have gotten back into the game the past few months after a long hiatus from the early - mid 90's. Back then I only played the Maryland tracks, in person. Now, with the Internet, I can choose any tracks I want, and play them from the comfort of home (TwinSpires).
Currently, I am working Calder and Penn. The schedules suit me. Tried Delaware a few days ago. Might add it for a third track. Looking forward to Hawthorne returning. As for Maryland, racing financial woes have severely curtailed the schedules there (Laurel and Pimlico). They are my sentimental favorites. And I like Penn now. The $4,000+ Pick 3 Wednesday (Races 5-7) there suited me fine.
Not often are there three consective races at a track that I like well enough to invest in the Pick 3, but those three races at Penn were playable. From memory, the winners were 17-1, 4-1 and 7-1. I typically play three horses per leg, with a key horse in each, thus three tickets for about the same cost as crisscrossing, and I have a chance of winning it more than once. Wednesday though, my key horse won only the second leg (4-1), so only collected it once.
As for my own "edge", I have found that combining/overlapping several high probability factors produces good results. For me, those factors are Brohamer compound pace rankings, %E, Track Models, Hambleton Form Points, improving/declining TT and improving/declining form (Hall).
Thanks to the moderator for allowing me access here. I do enjoy reading everyones' posts.
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Great Post.
__________________
igeteven says: When you tell the truth nobody believes you, when you lie, everyone believes you.
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