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Old 01-22-2017, 08:54 PM   #1
horses4courses
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Super Bowl LI

What will the line be on NE/ATL?

I'm guessing NE -7.....total 55
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Old 01-22-2017, 08:59 PM   #2
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That seems about right.

Z
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Old 01-22-2017, 08:59 PM   #3
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You're kidding. I'm thinking dead even. Nobody could have beat Falcons on this day. Who knows in two weeks.
If team stays healthy I'd take Falcons and x pts and run with it.
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Old 01-22-2017, 09:03 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
You're kidding. I'm thinking dead even. Nobody could have beat Falcons on this day. Who knows in two weeks.
If team stays healthy I'd take Falcons and x pts and run with it.
The Pats and Brady have to be favorite.
It's anywhere from 4 to 7.
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Old 01-22-2017, 09:11 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
You're kidding. I'm thinking dead even. Nobody could have beat Falcons on this day. Who knows in two weeks.
If team stays healthy I'd take Falcons and x pts and run with it.
I agree I would take the points if the spread was 4 or over. Falcons have come a long way they were 80-1 after week 1.

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Old 01-22-2017, 09:14 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by Zaf
I agree I would take the points if the spread was 4 or over. Falcons have come a long way they were 80-1 after week 1.

Z
Yeah.....4 is probably a more realistic number.
Atlanta has a lot of athletes in that team.
Brady and Bellichick always take a lot of money, though.
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Old 01-22-2017, 09:33 PM   #7
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Can the Falcons play some man-to-man defense?
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Old 01-22-2017, 09:45 PM   #8
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NE. -3. OU 57 1/2
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Old 01-22-2017, 09:54 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
You're kidding. I'm thinking dead even. Nobody could have beat Falcons on this day. Who knows in two weeks.
If team stays healthy I'd take Falcons and x pts and run with it.
I think you are underestimating the impact injuries in Green Bay's secondary had on this result. I expected Atlanta to score a lot of point today and they did. I expect they will score a lot less against New England.
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Old 01-22-2017, 10:07 PM   #10
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The line will probably open New England -3.5 and the points will be 59.5

No question that New England's defense is much better than Green Bays, but Atlanta's offense is sensational. The STeelers zone defense was horrible today.

The Falcon's defense is very young, not that big, but they're quick, and much improved. It should be interesting.

I don't think there's any question which team has more talent. The Falcons have considerably more talent and athletic ability. But, the Patriots routinely beat teams that have more speed and star players and have been ever since Belichick became their coach. Besides their amazing won loss record during that time span, one of the most amazing stats is that they are 14 and 6 when Tom Brady didn't play, and they won 8 games in a row with a second string QB (two different second string QBs, two different seasons) during the Belichick-Brady era. Concrete proof that the Patriots don't have to have the best players on the field to win.

Last edited by pandy; 01-22-2017 at 10:16 PM.
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Old 01-22-2017, 10:23 PM   #11
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NE. -3. OU 57 1/2
Just rechecked
NE. -3. OU Bet up to 59
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Old 01-22-2017, 10:27 PM   #12
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Typically doesn't move much if any till gametime. I'll take the 3.
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Old 01-22-2017, 10:36 PM   #13
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It's going to be interesting seeing how Belichick defenses Atlanta. He usually doubles the star, which in this case would be Julion Jones, but the Falcons aren't like most teams that have a superstar receiver, because they have a lot of other weapons. Normally with a team that has a powerful passing attack, Belichick will put more guys in coverage and tempt them to run. But the Falcons are 5th in the league in rushing. It could be that he'll try blitzing more. The blitz can be effective against both the run and pass. But the Falcons have one of the better offensive lines in the NFL.

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Old 01-22-2017, 10:46 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
It's going to be interesting seeing how Belichick defenses Atlanta. He usually doubles the star, which in this case would be Julion Jones, but the Falcons aren't like most teams that have a superstar receiver, because they have a lot of other weapons. Normally with a team that has a powerful passing attack, Belichick will put more guys in coverage and tempt them to run. But the Falcons are 5th in the league in rushing. It could be that he'll try blitzing more. The blitz can be effective against both the run and pass. But the Falcons have one of the better offensive lines in the NFL.
In the Superbowls against the Rams and the Bills he was practically begging those teams to run, and neither could resist showing off their high powered passing attacks.I agree it should be interesting..does he do the same thing again?...and if he does can the Falcons be patient?
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Old 01-22-2017, 11:03 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Maximillion
In the Superbowls against the Rams and the Bills he was practically begging those teams to run, and neither could resist showing off their high powered passing attacks.I agree it should be interesting..does he do the same thing again?...and if he does can the Falcons be patient?

I'm pretty sure I'm betting the Falcons, but I have to do a little more handicapping. I bet against the Patriots in the Super Bowl three times and won all three bets, although they won one of those games (won but didn't cover against the Eagles). It's not like you can't beat them, but any team that plays them has to limit mistakes.
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