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Old 11-22-2017, 12:03 AM   #136
jay68802
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Originally Posted by Whosonfirst View Post
Great betting on your part. I always feel a little "dirty" when my horse loses and I still win thru decent bets or just dumb luck.
I always feel that it is mostly dumb luck.
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Old 11-22-2017, 12:56 AM   #137
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Got 2 for today:
Aqueduct Race #6:


True Charm 20-1

This one depends on scratches and track condition. If they run on the turf and its rated as good or soft then she is a play. Best figure is on a good track at this distance. "Carried speed further" in last and if the is out of the picture, could be very dangerous.

Aqueduct Race #8:


Altar Boy 8-1

Claimed back in last start by Maker is a good sign. Has been involved in some really good races lately. No speed in this race and that is a advantage for this guy, with his best figures have been in slower paced races.
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Old 11-22-2017, 11:11 AM   #138
Lemon Drop Husker
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True Charm runs in the 6th race tomorrow.

As for the 8th today, it is being run on the main track and the have scratched making this a 4 horse field.
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Old 11-22-2017, 11:31 AM   #139
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Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Got 2 for today:
Aqueduct Race #6:


True Charm 20-1

This one depends on scratches and track condition. If they run on the turf and its rated as good or soft then she is a play. Best figure is on a good track at this distance. "Carried speed further" in last and if the is out of the picture, could be very dangerous.

Aqueduct Race #8:


Altar Boy 8-1

Claimed back in last start by Maker is a good sign. Has been involved in some really good races lately. No speed in this race and that is a advantage for this guy, with his best figures have been in slower paced races.
Hey Jay

Code:
RowNum:	Date:	Race:	PgmNum:	Horse:	RaceCond:	Distance:	Trainer:	Odds:	Surface:
1	11-22-2017	1st race	2	Souperfast (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	S M Asmussen	8/5#	Turf
2	11-22-2017	1st race	6	Lewis Vale (ON)	Claiming	One Mile	D Jacobson	5/2#	Turf
3	11-22-2017	2nd race	1	Ouro Verde (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	D G Donk	5/2#	Dirt
4	11-22-2017	2nd race	6	Seam (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	R Handal	1/1#	Dirt
5	11-22-2017	3rd race	2	Littlemissbusiness (FL)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	M E Friedman	2/1#	Dirt
6	11-22-2017	4th race	3	Tap Tap Taparoo (KY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Turf
7	11-22-2017	5th race	1	Scarf It Down (KY)	Starter Allowance	One Mile	J C Englehart	6/5#	Dirt
8	11-22-2017	5th race	5	Shadow Rider (KY)	Starter Allowance	One Mile	J T Toscano Jr.	2/1#	Dirt
9	11-22-2017	6th race	1	Pauseforthecause (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One Mile	K P McLaughlin	5/2#	Turf
10	11-22-2017	6th race	3	Purely Lucky (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One Mile	B H Cox	2/1#	Turf
11	11-22-2017	7th race	3	One More Round (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	S Klesaris	5/2#	Dirt
12	11-22-2017	7th race	7	Alpha Team (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Jacobson	2/1#	Dirt
13	11-22-2017	8th race	2	Not in Charge (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And Three Sixteenth Miles	A E Goldberg	5/2#	Turf
14	11-22-2017	8th race	4	Shahroze (IRE)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And Three Sixteenth Miles	H G Motion	2/1#	Turf
Here are all of today’s entries with Morning Lines less than 3-1 I haven’t looked at scratches yet

If you can get by these today you will get some big prices

The good news is Favorites have been struggling on the Turf at Aqueduct if they keep the 6th and 8th races on the Turf you might have a shot at some nice prices!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 11-22-2017 at 11:41 AM.
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Old 11-22-2017, 11:08 PM   #140
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Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker View Post
True Charm runs in the 6th race tomorrow.

As for the 8th today, it is being run on the main track and the have scratched making this a 4 horse field.
Thanks LDH, my bad on True Charm. The amount of scratches had the effect of lowering odds on Alter Boy, who won but only paid $6.30. I think it was Randy Giles who wrote "sometimes a horse runs it race, sometimes the race runs the horse". Same thing happened today to bettors in this race, sometimes the odds dictate how you have to bet the race. At about 5 mins to post Alter Boy was 5-2 and with the short field, met my minimum odds to place a win bet. At post time the odds dropped to 2-1 and I canceled my bet. The short field, odds, and lack betting options ended up killing a winning pick, at least for me.
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Old 11-23-2017, 12:54 AM   #141
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[QUOTE=jay68802;2244110]Got 2 for today:
Aqueduct Race #6:


True Charm 20-1

This one depends on scratches and track condition. If they run on the turf and its rated as good or soft then she is a play. Best figure is on a good track at this distance. "Carried speed further" in last and if the is out of the picture, could be very dangerous.


Aqueduct Race #5:

Fielding Gold 12-1

4 yr old coming off a break, with two nice works, and has the back class and figures that win this. The favorite is going to be the , and you have to ask why the horse is being dropped in class?
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Old 11-24-2017, 12:03 AM   #142
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Aqueduct Race #8:


Dalarna 8-1 Still not getting respect after running good in 6 of 7 lifetime starts. Has handled the steps up the class ladder very nicely. Coming in with 3 in a row, I will bet he can do 4 in a row.
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Old 11-24-2017, 08:42 AM   #143
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You hit the Timeform (David Aragona) horse - a nice pick that I like, but we won't get the 8/1. Good luck today!
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Old 11-24-2017, 11:50 PM   #144
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Aqueduct Race #10


Unexplained 12-1


Midwest Thoroughbreds and Assmussen. I think this is by far the best closer here. With at least 3 early runners siged up, gets a good set up and can be there at the wire.
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Old 11-25-2017, 09:35 AM   #145
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I will hook yours up with mine, ACOUSTIC - pretty much the same analysis. Wide open race.
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Old 11-25-2017, 04:36 PM   #146
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Originally Posted by Ocala Mike View Post
I will hook yours up with mine, ACOUSTIC - pretty much the same analysis. Wide open race.
i had the in a contest. Boxed in, nowhere to go.
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Old 11-25-2017, 06:52 PM   #147
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Yeah, horror trip - totally blocked early stretch inside and couldn't recover.

Tab to follow. Jay's horse made a nice run. Winner an ex-Motion trainee; I stopped following. MY BAD!
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Old 11-26-2017, 12:42 AM   #148
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2 today
Aqueduct Race #5:

Full Of Joy 12-1

To break maiden she closed into a very slow pace. Last race is competitive in this field and if she improves off that she gets the win.

Aqueduct Race #9:

Silly Numbers 20-1

At her best distance and gets blinkers for the first time. Get a trainer and jockey that are at about 15 percent in this situation.
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Old 11-26-2017, 10:14 AM   #149
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Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
2 today
Aqueduct Race #5:

Full Of Joy 12-1

To break maiden she closed into a very slow pace. Last race is competitive in this field and if she improves off that she gets the win.

Aqueduct Race #9:

Silly Numbers 20-1

At her best distance and gets blinkers for the first time. Get a trainer and jockey that are at about 15 percent in this situation.
Race 5 Aq-Like your pick at 12-1. My LS pick at 20-1 would be Miss Aja Brown.

Race 9-Aq-The two "Heels" fillies look formidable in this race. I'll go with Nile Princess at 15-1. Good Luck.
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Old 11-27-2017, 12:13 AM   #150
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Parx Race #2:


T J Goodie 15-1

Drops in class and looks to be improving. Trainer does well and looks to be a lot of speed in here. Can sit in the clear about 5 off the lead.
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