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Old 06-11-2015, 05:58 PM   #46
badcompany
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Yeah, I guess we can take a bow, at least for time being. Even Ray Dalio got shaken out of Gilead. I looked at his SEC filings. He got on board too late and got tired of the recent tubulance..

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Old 06-30-2015, 05:07 PM   #47
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Halfway home...

The Contest:

1) What will the S and P 500 return in 2015?

A) Negative
B) 0-9.99...% 0.20%
C) 10-19.99...%
D) 20% or above

2) Which equity market will fare best in 2015?

A) U.S. (S and P 500) 0.20%
B) Emerging Markets (MSCI Index) 1.61%
C) Europe (Stoxx 50) 8.83%
D) Japan (Topix) 15.84%

3) Which of the listed S and P sectors will perform best in 2015?

A) Health Care 8.41%
B) Consumer Staples -1.67%
C) Energy -5.71%
D) Technology 0.02%
E) Financials -1.78%

4) Where will oil (WTI) finish in 2015?

A) Under $50
B) $50-$64.99 $59.37
C) $65-$90
D) Over $90

5) Where will the 30 year T-Bond finish 2015?

A) 2.499... or lower
B) 2.5-2.99...
C) 3-3.99... 3.09%
D) 4.0 or higher.

6) Where will Apple stock finish 2015?

A) Under $100
B) $100-119.99
C) $120-139.99 $125.43
D) $140 or higher

7) Name the best performing stock in the Dow Industrials (2 points)
DIS 21.18%

8) Name the worst performing stock in the Dow Industrials (2 points)
WMT -17.18%

Tiebreaker: Pick a U.S equity. Best total return (including dividend) wins.

SCTY 0.13%
GILD 24.21%
AVGO 32.15%
XLS (acquired by HRS for $16.625 plus .1025 shares of HRS. Deal closed 5/29. Calculation based on HRS June 30 closing price plus cash) 39.82%
PDI -4.98%
UNH 20.64%

Will do a status on the questions in 3rd quarter when it will begin to be meaningful.

Thought it was interesting that both Japanese and European indexes, which are dollar denominated, are so much higher than SP500 despite dollar strength. In local currency, they are even higher.

Last edited by _______; 06-30-2015 at 05:16 PM.
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