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11-15-2018, 11:46 PM
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#1
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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R7 Del Mar OC$80Kn1x 11/16/18
Yes, the days are getting shorter, the temperatures are getting colder, and the playable races are getting harder to find.
This should be a really good wagering opportunity in a rather shitty Del Mar card.
Kodiak West: Her second time to run in the states and she'll take a ton of money just like last time. 7th of 10 last out without much of an excuse as the dead chalk. Tough to like at any price, much less a short one,.
Stradella Road: Somewhat lightly raced filly rolls in fresh off her Maiden victory. A very consistent runner that makes up ground late. A very interesting 20/1 ML that I see as a serious contender in here.
Don't Blame Judy: Always bet, but her last two are a bit troubling. Not sure she is better than almost any in here.
Retro: Connections have had high expectations for this one after she busted her Maiden at first asking. She fits in here, and can't be dismissed. Solid contender.
Sappho: Her 2018 season has been a disaster. 0 for the board in '18 in 4 tries. I'm really trying to find a reason to like this filly, but it is nearly impossible. While I think she may be good, I have to let her beat me.
K P Pergoliscious: A filly certainly on the improve. They took a big swing last out, and she didn't embarrass herself. Solid entry that has to be considered.
Nice Ice: A front-ender that kind of needs things to go here way. Last out wasn't one of those times. Not a whole lot of other speed in here, so she could sit a decent trip even with a bad post. Seems to really fit and should be a big part of the mix in here.
Pacific Strike: Runs a good race every now and again, but should be a deserving longshot. Tough to see.
WP
EX: Box
Tri: / /All
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11-16-2018, 02:52 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Last edited by jay68802; 11-16-2018 at 02:53 AM.
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11-16-2018, 02:11 PM
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#3
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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two from muscle beach and two reaches
1 should win...
unless the 4 runs big enough to beat him (leaving 1 at worst second).
7 is the pace-play exotics add to hope to run 2nd,3rd, or 4th in the superfecta.
I'll bunch the 7 with the 5 to beef-up that slot.
Ticket Cost =$8 (x20cents for the 1,4/1,4/5,7/all ticket, and a dime for the four other tickets)
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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11-16-2018, 02:30 PM
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#4
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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*her
unless her pronoun is 'he'
I know I'm handicapping late-season 3yo fillies, but I'm bad with horse pronouns when talking horses, unless I'm dealing with Zenyatta or something.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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11-16-2018, 02:33 PM
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#5
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
*her
unless her pronoun is 'he'
I know I'm handicapping late-season 3yo fillies, but I'm bad with horse pronouns when talking horses, unless I'm dealing with Zenyatta or something.
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You never know nowadays Robert. Maybe "she" wants to be recognized as a "he"?
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11-16-2018, 02:34 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
*her
unless her pronoun is 'he'
I know I'm handicapping late-season 3yo fillies, but I'm bad with horse pronouns when talking horses, unless I'm dealing with Zenyatta or something.
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11-16-2018, 02:45 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
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Am I allowed to root against K P Pergoliscious due to her ridiculous name?
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11-16-2018, 03:04 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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DRF FORMULATOR
anyone care to share any Formulator stats for Trainer Neil Drysdale concerning:
Turf Routes
Turf Routes 61-180 Days
Turf Routes w/ 1st Blinkers ?
Looks like this one has been training well(my opinion from videos) and figures to be more prominent at the stretch call.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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11-16-2018, 03:09 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
anyone care to share any Formulator stats for Trainer Neil Drysdale concerning:
Turf Routes
Turf Routes 61-180 Days
Turf Routes w/ 1st Blinkers ?
Looks like this one has been training well(my opinion from videos) and figures to be more prominent at the stretch call.
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Well, the guy won a BC Turf with Prized (making his first start on turf), so I would assume he knows how to train a turf router.
Last edited by dilanesp; 11-16-2018 at 03:13 PM.
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11-16-2018, 03:19 PM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
anyone care to share any Formulator stats for Trainer Neil Drysdale concerning:
Turf Routes
Turf Routes 61-180 Days
Turf Routes w/ 1st Blinkers ?
Looks like this one has been training well(my opinion from videos) and figures to be more prominent at the stretch call.
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I use Brisnet and Ragozin Sheets.
Drysdale stats:
11% 90+ days away
14% 1st Time Blinkers
10% 2nd start with Trainer
As for the s Sheet numbers? I will say this. There are 5 other horses in the field that have equaled or bettered her best Sheet number.
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11-16-2018, 03:22 PM
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#11
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
Well, the guy won a BC Turf with Prized (making his first start on turf), so I would assume he knows how to train a turf router.
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Yea, this Drysdale guy may know what he's doing.
If the , and weren't trained by such sharp guys, they'd be vulnerable on paper-form and length of the layoff.
I have a feeling that neither of these 'needs a race'.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
I use Brisnet and Ragozin Sheets.
Drysdale stats:
11% 90+ days away
14% 1st Time Blinkers
10% 2nd start with Trainer
As for the s Sheet numbers? I will say this. There are 5 other horses in the field that have equaled or bettered her best Sheet number.
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That's interesting.
Do the Sheets do numbers for her foreign starts, or just the one US race?
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 11-16-2018 at 03:24 PM.
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11-16-2018, 03:26 PM
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#12
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Yea, this Drysdale guy may know what he's doing.
If the , and weren't trained by such sharp guys, they'd be vulnerable on paper-form and length of the layoff.
I have a feeling that neither of these 'needs a race'.
That's interesting.
Do the Sheets do numbers for her foreign starts, or just the one US race?
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Her last 5 races have been "sheeted".
As a practice, however, I do subtract 2 to 3 points for Euro races compared to American races on turf. In this case, it doesn't make her numbers of any significant difference.
Last edited by Lemon Drop Husker; 11-16-2018 at 03:28 PM.
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11-16-2018, 03:27 PM
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#13
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Nice Ice.
Brian J. Koriner (the trainer) has four wins in six attempts.
Nice.
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11-16-2018, 03:58 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 161
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1-6 with
1-2-5-6 with
1-2-5-6
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11-16-2018, 05:28 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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