One of the biggest mistakes that people make when evaluating racehorses is to place too much emphasis on time. A 1:51 mile on a summer night at Mohawk, when never leaving the rail in a race that has fast fractions, doesn’t necessarily mean that much if the horse wasn’t asked to leave hard, park out at some point, or do any real work. Quite often, when down a class the following week and asked to actually race a little, you’ll see the same horse get beat at low odds in 1:53 or slower.
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