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Old 04-20-2018, 11:14 AM   #1
GMB@BP
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
My 100 point odds line

Here is my odds line for the race, not the ML set at whatever 130 point system that is not real but a true 100% line. I keep hearing this horse and that horses odds so I wanted to make my own realistic line. Only for horses in the to 20 as of today. I gave 7 horses zero chance of winning, you can see how hard it is to have a 100 point line.

Pnt Horse Win % Odds
10 Justify 17 4.9
7 Bolt d'Oro 14 6.1
3 Good Magic 10 9.0
4 Audible 8 11.5
9 Mendelssohn 10 9.0
2 Magnum Moon 8 11.5
6 Vino Rosso 8 11.5
8 Enticed 6 15.7
15 My Boy Jack 4 24.0
5 Noble Indy 5 19.0
13 Solomini 4 24.0
19 Hofburg 4 24.0
18 Lone Sailor 2 49.0
1 Gronkowski 0 0.0
11 Quip 0 0.0
12 Flameaway 0 0.0
14 Bravazo 0 0.0
16 Promises Fulfilled 0 0.0
17 Free Drop Billy 0 0.0
20 Firenze Fire 0 0.0
100
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Old 04-20-2018, 01:59 PM   #2
MNslappy
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Owatonna, MN
Posts: 791
Thank you for posting this. Setting a reality-based odds line is something I need to get better at, especially in fields of 12+ horses on big days where I get lost in the fog.

Also looking forward to seeing what Pace has his at too, he does very well setting lines for these big race days.
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