Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Contests + Other Interesting Racing Topics > Harness Racing


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 10-14-2017, 10:50 PM   #16
cecil127
Registered User
 
cecil127's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Pottstown
Posts: 829
throwing a few out there cause ya have to...all that dead $

4 / 3, 5 / 3, 5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 8, 9-$2.40

4 / 5 / 3 / 2, 8, 9, 10, 11 / 2, 8, 9, 10, 11 -$4

4 / 3, 5 / 3, 5, 9, 11 / 3, 5, 9, 11 / 3, 5, 9, 11-$2.40

bol all and special thanks to Poindexter for posting his notes

one mo: 4, 5 / 4, 5 / 2, 11 / 2, 10, 11 / 8, 10, 11-$2.80
__________________
ok, so why isnt it called a, "superfector"?

Last edited by cecil127; 10-14-2017 at 11:04 PM.
cecil127 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-14-2017, 11:11 PM   #17
Mailman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: R.I.
Posts: 135
10th race, track sloppy, looks like its raining pretty hard.
Mailman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 12:07 AM   #18
coachv30
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30 View Post
Ticket 1- 4,7 / 1,4,5 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,4,7,10 / 2,5,7,8,10,12- $24

Ticket 2- 1,5 / 3,4,5 / 1,5,8,10 / 1,3,4,8 / 3,4,6,8,10- $15


GL Guys
3/ $2446
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
coachv30 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 12:12 AM   #19
AstrosFan
math/science # cruncher
 
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 180
What a weak payout!

Over $2.3 million bet into the pool, chasing almost another million in the pot, with a huge bomb in 3rd and it only pays $2,446?

I passed the race, but OH I would be PISSED at that skinny payout (as a bettor) for whoever did hit it


3/4/2/7/5 the winning combo


winning odds

9-2 from a 10-1 ML
2-1
42-1
17-1
3-1
AstrosFan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 12:16 AM   #20
EdZone
Power User
 
EdZone's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Markham, Ontario
Posts: 2,032
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdZone View Post
2 tickets

Race 12
$0.20 Superfecta-5: 4 / 3,5 / 3,5,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 Bets: 120 Total: $24

Race 12
$0.20 Superfecta-5: 3,5 / 4 / 3,5,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 Bets: 120 Total: $24
Ran 3 / 4 / 2 / 7 / 5 No #2 No Pork Chop
EdZone is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 01:37 AM   #21
Sea Biscuit
Registered User
 
Sea Biscuit's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,088
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sea Biscuit View Post
Revising my ticket

45/2471358/2471358/2471358/2471358 $144 ticket
45/2471358/2471358/2471358/2471358 $144 ticket

Finished 3-4-2-7-5

Close but no cigar.
Sea Biscuit is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 02:30 AM   #22
Mailman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: R.I.
Posts: 135
I Think the whole pool was $ 3,354,309

Last edited by Mailman; 10-15-2017 at 02:33 AM.
Mailman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-15-2017, 01:28 PM   #23
Poindexter
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,964
NP regarding the analysis. I do well on this circuit so was more than happy to try to provide some insight on a big giveaway like that.

I also failed to knock this down. I played needing the 3 & 4 to win or the 4 to come 2nd, so I was good on that end. The only problem was I needed the 1, 5 or 10 to come 3rd (or even 4th had the 4 won). The 1 really stunk, the 5 stunk but managed 5th and the 10 ran into traffic isssues after taking back from the 10 hole(he went off at like 30-1 so I still feel he was a very good gamble). In hindsight, I failed to play the obvious 34/34/spread/1-5-10/spread and 34/34/spread/spread/1-5-10 cover tickets which of course would have brought down the prize. Hindsight is always 20/20 and as mentioned payoff sort of sucked, so not going to beat myself up over this one.

I think the lousy payoff had to do with the fact that the 3 favorites were in the top 5(including the top 2) AND post position. the 8,9,10,11 & 12 were all out of the super high 5. While 11 & 12 are 2nd tier, and may get away closer than say a 7 horse, they also have no chance to leave. Horses that draw inside can always get a piece fo the Super high 5(assuming they have any ability) because of position, so it is a lot easier to toss a horse from the 8/9/10 hole than the 2/3/4 hole. You multiply that bias by thousands of tickets being played and the payoff is certainly going to be skewed lower when the inside posts dominate the high 5 and higher when the outside post positions dominate the high 5. So while the 2 was 42-1 on the board, in the 3/4/5 spot of the high 5 I think he probably played closer to a 15-1 shot.
Poindexter is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:26 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.