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10-14-2017, 10:50 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Pottstown
Posts: 829
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throwing a few out there cause ya have to...all that dead $
4 / 3, 5 / 3, 5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 8, 9 / 3, 5, 8, 9-$2.40
4 / 5 / 3 / 2, 8, 9, 10, 11 / 2, 8, 9, 10, 11 -$4
4 / 3, 5 / 3, 5, 9, 11 / 3, 5, 9, 11 / 3, 5, 9, 11-$2.40
bol all and special thanks to Poindexter for posting his notes
one mo: 4, 5 / 4, 5 / 2, 11 / 2, 10, 11 / 8, 10, 11-$2.80
__________________
ok, so why isnt it called a, "superfector"?
Last edited by cecil127; 10-14-2017 at 11:04 PM.
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10-14-2017, 11:11 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: R.I.
Posts: 135
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10th race, track sloppy, looks like its raining pretty hard.
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10-15-2017, 12:07 AM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coachv30
Ticket 1- 4,7 / 1,4,5 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,4,7,10 / 2,5,7,8,10,12- $24
Ticket 2- 1,5 / 3,4,5 / 1,5,8,10 / 1,3,4,8 / 3,4,6,8,10- $15
GL Guys
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3/ $2446
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
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10-15-2017, 12:12 AM
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#19
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math/science # cruncher
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 180
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What a weak payout!
Over $2.3 million bet into the pool, chasing almost another million in the pot, with a huge bomb in 3rd and it only pays $2,446?
I passed the race, but OH I would be PISSED at that skinny payout (as a bettor) for whoever did hit it
3/4/2/7/5 the winning combo
winning odds
9-2 from a 10-1 ML
2-1
42-1
17-1
3-1
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10-15-2017, 12:16 AM
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#20
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Power User
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Markham, Ontario
Posts: 2,032
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EdZone
2 tickets
Race 12
$0.20 Superfecta-5: 4 / 3,5 / 3,5,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 Bets: 120 Total: $24
Race 12
$0.20 Superfecta-5: 3,5 / 4 / 3,5,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 / 1,3,5,7,8,9,11 Bets: 120 Total: $24
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Ran 3 / 4 / 2 / 7 / 5 No #2 No Pork Chop
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10-15-2017, 01:37 AM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,088
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sea Biscuit
Revising my ticket
45/2471358/2471358/2471358/2471358 $144 ticket
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45/2471358/2471358/2471358/2471358 $144 ticket
Finished 3-4-2-7-5
Close but no cigar.
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10-15-2017, 02:30 AM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: R.I.
Posts: 135
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I Think the whole pool was $ 3,354,309
Last edited by Mailman; 10-15-2017 at 02:33 AM.
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10-15-2017, 01:28 PM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,964
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NP regarding the analysis. I do well on this circuit so was more than happy to try to provide some insight on a big giveaway like that.
I also failed to knock this down. I played needing the 3 & 4 to win or the 4 to come 2nd, so I was good on that end. The only problem was I needed the 1, 5 or 10 to come 3rd (or even 4th had the 4 won). The 1 really stunk, the 5 stunk but managed 5th and the 10 ran into traffic isssues after taking back from the 10 hole(he went off at like 30-1 so I still feel he was a very good gamble). In hindsight, I failed to play the obvious 34/34/spread/1-5-10/spread and 34/34/spread/spread/1-5-10 cover tickets which of course would have brought down the prize. Hindsight is always 20/20 and as mentioned payoff sort of sucked, so not going to beat myself up over this one.
I think the lousy payoff had to do with the fact that the 3 favorites were in the top 5(including the top 2) AND post position. the 8,9,10,11 & 12 were all out of the super high 5. While 11 & 12 are 2nd tier, and may get away closer than say a 7 horse, they also have no chance to leave. Horses that draw inside can always get a piece fo the Super high 5(assuming they have any ability) because of position, so it is a lot easier to toss a horse from the 8/9/10 hole than the 2/3/4 hole. You multiply that bias by thousands of tickets being played and the payoff is certainly going to be skewed lower when the inside posts dominate the high 5 and higher when the outside post positions dominate the high 5. So while the 2 was 42-1 on the board, in the 3/4/5 spot of the high 5 I think he probably played closer to a 15-1 shot.
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