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01-25-2022, 05:07 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 226
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Something I've been fooling around with
The rules are:No maidens or turf
All selections must be from the top three on the ML
From those top three,bet only those who last race was between 30-40 days off.If more than one of those three,pass the race.
Today at PARX:4 horses qualified.Of those 4,2 won and 2 placed.
The prices for win $11.80 and $14.20.
Four places were:7.00,3.80,4.20,6.00.
It may be that the prices are that good due to most people will not bet a horse who hasn't raced in the past month.Or maybe the reason is that those today were cheaper horses.Or it could be just a one shot thing.
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01-25-2022, 06:00 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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There's so many horses winning off of various days away that I hardly pay any attention to that at all. I do take note of races and works in the last 40 days.
I also pay very little attention to the posted morning line.
Today, PRX had only 2 favorites to win and prices were pretty good. I had the last 7 exactas in my top 4 contenders.
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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01-25-2022, 07:19 PM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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Sounds similar to William Scott's Investing at the Racetrack.
You shouldn't have many losing streaks.
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01-25-2022, 07:38 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
Sounds similar to William Scott's Investing at the Racetrack.
You shouldn't have many losing streaks.
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Scott backed off of that some in Total Victory at the Track.
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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01-25-2022, 07:56 PM
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#5
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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My favorite version was the one in the middle, How Will Your Horse Run Today, the one with the 0,N, and + ratings.
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01-25-2022, 08:03 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
My favorite version was the one in the middle, How Will Your Horse Run Today, the one with the 0,N, and + ratings.
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Yes, if you know how to interpret the combinations of those ratings, they are pretty strong.
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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01-25-2022, 10:21 PM
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#7
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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I'm actually trying to update them using Dave's P&P2022 and the Skeptical Handicapper. Been an off and on project for a couple of years now, but the PP last month inspired me to get moving again.
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01-25-2022, 10:34 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 226
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Tonight at Penn NATL.
4 horses.
2 wins,3 places.
WINS were 5.60 and 5.00
PLACES were 3.60,6.00,3.00
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01-25-2022, 11:20 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I'm actually trying to update them using Dave's P&P2022 and the Skeptical Handicapper. Been an off and on project for a couple of years now, but the PP last month inspired me to get moving again.
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I only have the old version and i've really not given it as much of a look as I probably should have. Some of my more recent works suggests it is probably a sound basic concept.
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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01-26-2022, 04:51 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I'm actually trying to update them using Dave's P&P2022 and the Skeptical Handicapper. Been an off and on project for a couple of years now, but the PP last month inspired me to get moving again.
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What is The Skeptical Handicapper? Is that part of a product?
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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01-26-2022, 05:07 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,153
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NormanTD
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Thank you, Norman!
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Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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02-05-2022, 12:44 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 103
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aqueduct 2-5-2022
one horse for the day emperors cause in the second race.
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02-06-2022, 09:24 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,357
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I'm actually trying to update them using Dave's P&P2022 and the Skeptical Handicapper. Been an off and on project for a couple of years now, but the PP last month inspired me to get moving again.
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I am doing similar. I was surprised you mentioned that combo. We may not have much in common, but our Sartin backgrounds and handicapping are close.
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There are more things in Heaven and Earth Horatio, than are dreamed of in your philosophy.
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02-06-2022, 11:06 AM
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#15
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maddog42
I am doing similar. I was surprised you mentioned that combo. We may not have much in common, but our Sartin backgrounds and handicapping are close.
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Horse racing transcends politics.
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