2021 College Bowl Picks

[Inner Dirt]

Originally Posted by zico20

Alabama has beaten Georgia seven times in a row! Two of those it looked like Georgia was a sure winner and they blew it. Alabama has the third best rushing defense in the country and if they can stop Georgia from running the ball (again) it will all be put on Bennett and he had a horrible game last time.

Alabama couldn't run the ball at all in the SEC championship game. Robinson was playing at way less than 100% and it showed, gaining just 56 yards on 16 carries. He was dominant yesterday running for 204 against a very good Cincinnati defense. The key to the game will be Alabama's offensive line, which is considered its weakest link. In the SEC championship the offensive line played their best game all year. If they do well again and give Young time to throw that is the difference in the ball game. The QB's were the deciding factor last time and I wouldn't put my money on Bennett outperforming Young this time around either. It is said to never bet against streaks, yes Georgia will one day beat Alabama but it isn't smart to keep proving yourself wrong by picking them until they finally do.

TAKE ALABAMA +2 and the under 51.5

You have me sold, if Buffalo wins the AFC East, and that happens if they beat the Falcons, and Jets in Buffalo, as two TD favorites in each game, when I hit Charles Town to collect on a season bet, I will put Alabama money line with my first weekend NFL playoff games.


I remember the last time I played an over/under on any game, they were still racing horses at Agua Caliente.



I still remember that bet, it was a college football game with USC in it, I bet the over. USC was destroying the other team and by halftime just another 3 points would make me a winner. I drug a college football hating friend with me on a pretty large single game bet at the time. My friend was very happy and we celebrated with a nice high end lunch at halftime.



Long story short. USC cleared the benches in the second half which ended up scoreless till the opposition kicked a late FG to avoid a shutout.


Watching my friend's demeanor change as the game drug on was priceless.

[Marshall Bennett]

Ohio St. -4 Utah
Baylor +1.5 Ole Miss

[zico20]

Solid day yesterday! I went 4-0 ATS and 3-2 O/U with Kentucky pushing at -3. Grand total I am 17-10 ATS and 17-11 O/U.

I would be pissed if I bet Ohio St as they easily could have scored a touchdown on the final drive but chose to kick a field goal. The PAC 12 finished 0-5 including losses to the Mountain West and MAC!

Congratulations to the Big 12 on winning two NY6 bowl games. I have read several comments from idiots across the country that when conference realignment is finished the Big 12 should lose their status as a Power 5. Nothing could be further from the truth. The four newcomers are solid and will add value and strength. Realignment is done for two years but when the TV contracts start getting renewed expect another wave. The Big 12 needs to get to 14 teams, most likely Boise St. and Memphis. As of right now the PAC 12 is an Oregon away from being a complete joke and the ACC is a Clemson away from being totally irrelevant. Long live the Big 12!!!

TEXAS BOWL (Tuesday)

Kansas St. -3.5 and the under 48

LSU opened as a 2.5 favorite but injuries and opt outs have decimated the roster along with the coaching staff in upheaval.

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

Outback Bowl
SU Pick: Penn State
ATS Pick: Penn State+3

Playstation Fiesta Bowl
SU Pick: Notre Dame
ATS Pick: Notre Dame-1

VRBO Citrus Bowl
SU Pick: Iowa
ATS Pick: Iowa+3

Rose Bowl
SU Pick: Ohio State
ATS Pick: Ohio State-4.5

Allstate Sugar Bowl
SU Pick: Baylor
ATS Pick: Baylor+1.5

Outback Bowl
SU: LOSS
ATS: LOSS

Playstation Fiesta Bowl
SU: LOSS
ATS: LOSS

VRBO Citrus Bowl
SU: LOSS
ATS: PUSH

Rose Bowl
SU: WON
ATS: LOSS

Allstate Sugar Bowl
SU: WON
ATS: WON

SU Picks: 22-14
ATS Picks: 14-21-1

[CheckMark]

TaxAct Texas Bowl
SU Pick: Kansas State
ATS Pick: LSU+7

[zico20]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

TaxAct Texas Bowl
SU Pick: Kansas State
ATS Pick: LSU+7

Just curious, what spread would make you pick Kansas St. I got my bet in when Kansas St. was only -2. This is almost a 10 point swing from the original line. It is possible we both could be winners. I am assuming you actually bet LSU at +7, correct?

[zico20]

Word from sportsbooks in Vegas is the "sharp" money is all flooding in on Georgia and as a result the line has moved to -3. Experts say it is hard to win the rematch also, tell that Utah who destroyed Oregon twice in three weeks. Besides everything I posted earlier, going with Smart over Saban in a big game is foolish. As long as Alabama doesn't lose the turnover battle and the special teams department Alabama wins the game. Georgia needs to hope Alabama commits a couple of crucial mistakes and Georgia gets a huge special teams play or two to pull this off.

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by zico20

Just curious, what spread would make you pick Kansas St. I got my bet in when Kansas St. was only -2. This is almost a 10 point swing from the original line. It is possible we both could be winners. I am assuming you actually bet LSU at +7, correct?

I create power ratings and other offensive/defensive ratings for all College football FBS teams and it shows a pointspread and I compare it to the Vegas Line

I have Kansas State-1 so that is why I did LSU+7

If it were KS -7 or higher on my pointspread I would do Kansas State but for today I wouldn't

And yes I did get it when it was +7

Does that make sense?

[zico20]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

I create power ratings and other offensive/defensive ratings for all College football FBS teams and it shows a pointspread and I compare it to the Vegas Line

I have Kansas State-1 so that is why I did LSU+7

If it were KS -7 or higher on my pointspread I would do Kansas State but for today I wouldn't

And yes I did get it when it was +7

Does that make sense?

Yes it does, I make lines before I see point spreads and if it is off I bet more if it is in my favor. Usually I am pretty close so it doesn't make much of a difference. The big one this bowl season was MTSU V Toledo. I had MTSU a 3 point favorite and when the line opened at +10.5 I was stunned and made my biggest bet of all the bowls on that game both on the spread and the money line. It has been a good couple of weeks.

My two biggest screw ups that I wish I could take back were Maryland, should have known they wanted it more than Virginia Tech and Missouri. I never have a good read on Army or Navy in bowls. I can't figure them out. Air Force I have done okay over the years but the other two is a nightmare.

[zico20]

Won on Kansas St. but lost on the under. Record is 18-10 ATS and 17-12 O/U.

The line closed at -9.5. When a line constantly moves like this it almost always results in the team covering the bigger spread. LSU had no QB and their entire defense was second string. I knew real quick I was going to have a good night financially with a -2 spread.

Monday night is the championship! Alabama is +3. I bet them on the money line.

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

TaxAct Texas Bowl
SU Pick: Kansas State
ATS Pick: LSU+7

TaxAct Texas Bowl
SU: WON
ATS: LOSS

SU Picks: 23-14
ATS Picks: 14-22-1

[zico20]

So much for the experts picks for the bowl season. They went 12-23 ATS, maybe they should put together a 1-800 number and have bettors pay for their selections.

https://www.vegasinsider.com/college.../story/2036689

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by zico20

So much for the experts picks for the bowl season. They went 12-23 ATS, maybe they should put together a 1-800 number and have bettors pay for their selections.

https://www.vegasinsider.com/college.../story/2036689

I went 14-22-1 so I think people should call me

[Inner Dirt]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

I went 14-22-1 so I think people should call me

Did you get all the losing out of your system in time for the NFL play-offs?
I gave up trying to pick bowl games, I honestly could have made a killing in the past betting against myself.

[zico20]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

I went 14-22-1 so I think people should call me

Next bowl season it will be a miracle if you lose 10 of them!