2018 Preakness Post Positions & ML Odds

[clicknow]

Originally Posted by MadVindication

Yes, good reason to bet him as any others. Better reason to bet him as an upset pick to beat GM or, for the hell of it, Justify. At least we've seen he can significantly improve, unlike more consistent runners. Hopefully his odds don't shorten much. It's funny to me that Quip is the mid odds horse here.

Not a big GM fan. But I've already covered him in my wet/pedigree tri/super box posted above..... but Tenfold is the horse who is Cherry Wine / Tale of Verve for me here....has certain things in common that I look for. Hopefully, Asmussen has worked on him a little bit since his last.

I will build some exactas around Tenfold

[GMB@BP]

Is Ortiz sending, he said he has a strategy in mind:

“I will have to turn it into a match race. It looks like a match race on paper. You can’t give Justify an inch.”

[clicknow]

When is the last time the Preakness was won by the favorite with the 2nd Favorite coming in 2nd?

Must be at least 30 years or so?

[Spalding No!]

Originally Posted by clicknow

When is the last time the Preakness was won by the favorite with the 2nd Favorite coming in 2nd?

Must be at least 30 years or so?

Not sure, but in the last 31 years, the Derby winner and runner-up repeated the same placings 5 times in the Preakness.

[Spalding No!]

Originally Posted by GMB@BP

Is Ortiz sending, he said he has a strategy in mind:

Is he taking advice from Victor Espinoza or something? Good grief.

[SharpCat]

Originally Posted by clicknow

When is the last time the Preakness was won by the favorite with the 2nd Favorite coming in 2nd?

Must be at least 30 years or so?

37 years to be exact. Pleasant Colony over Bold Ego in the 1981 Preakness.

[SharpCat]

Originally Posted by GMB@BP

Is Ortiz sending, he said he has a strategy in mind:

I think he's tries to get outside of Justify and goes for an aggressive early move at some point down the backside or as they enter the turn.

[Andy Asaro]

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[SecretAgentMan]

IMO, if Good Magic beats Justify, it will be because of Justify's bruise on his hoof......at least that's the excuse they might use.

[clicknow]

Originally Posted by SharpCat

37 years to be exact. Pleasant Colony over Bold Ego in the 1981 Preakness.

thank you, figured it was at least 30 years, but turns out closer to 40 years

[GMB@BP]

Originally Posted by SharpCat

I think he's tries to get outside of Justify and goes for an aggressive early move at some point down the backside or as they enter the turn.

thats going to be hard, I doubt Mike puts him anywhere near the rail given how that track played yesterday.

[SecretAgentMan]

Anybody have a link to live odds on the Preakness like they had for Kentucky derby the day before?

[MadVindication]

Originally Posted by clicknow

Not a big GM fan. But I've already covered him in my wet/pedigree tri/super box posted above..... but Tenfold is the horse who is Cherry Wine / Tale of Verve for me here....has certain things in common that I look for. Hopefully, Asmussen has worked on him a little bit since his last.

I will build some exactas around Tenfold

It makes more sense to me to bet against Good M finishing in second/third than it does Justify finishing first. Can have some decent odds with that. I will do both tho. Depends on the odds if I will use Quip and Lone Sailor more or just gamble with Sporting Chance more.

So far:

$2 Trifecta:

Bravazo/Justify/Tenfold, Diamond King, Sporting Chance

Justify/Bravazo, Tenfold, Diamond King/Bravazo, Tenfold, Diamond King, Sporting Chance

$1 super:

Bravazo/Justify/Tenfold, Diamond King, LS, Quip/Good Magic

Justify/Bravazo, Lone Sailor, TF/Bravazo, Lone Sailor, TF/Good Magic

[MadVindication]

To bet, or not to bet, on Good Magic not filling the super, that is my real gambling dilemma. But I'm enjoying it.

[Skanoochies]

With Winstar Farms and China Horse Group having ownership in Quip and Justify who knows how they are going to play it.
Send Quip to go after other early speed and let Justify relax early?