Let's do this for fun.
Feel free to disagree, as I don't view this as an easy race.
Archival (20-1) - The drop to a maiden claimer and cutback to a sprint might help. Lukas pops up with a big one at times, but is statistically hard to trust.
Borsa Vento (7/2) - His races before the layoff were good enough to win this race. Unfortunately, his return effort leaves a lot of question marks. Nick Zito is hard to trust too, as BRIS shows him at 0 for 20 for the meet.
Irst (5/2) - This Todd Pletcher colt is the deserving favorite on the class drop. If he repeats the June 9 effort at Belmont, it would be good enough to win this race.
Presidential Bird (6-1) - It seems hard to believe he is only 6-1 off the last two starts. In both races, he lost by over 30 lengths. The April 21 effort is solid, but can he run back to that?
Britain (4-1) - What a fancy pedigree on this gelding. He should be a pace factor for Pletcher. Tends to quit in the lane though.
Schott (6-1) - The fade in his most recent effort might look better than it appears. Cutting a 22 and 45 pace for one mile is not easy. It would be great to see Lezcano employ the same strategy here and let the chips fall where they may.
Giant Brownie (8-1) - Well, he lost his dirt debut by 49 lengths and only ends up at 8-1 in this spot. It must be a sign of how weak this race is.
Headliner (20-1) - He lost both starts earlier this year by significant margins, but after another layoff and class drop into a maiden claimer perhaps there is a step forward coming. Again, a nice pedigree for a MCL 20k.
Dublin Express (30-1) - The 14-time loser comes out of the same race as Schott, and after showing brief speed, got drilled by 48 lengths. It is hard to imagine any sort of turnaround.
Conclusion
Irst is best.
For value though,
Schott might give the favorite a scare if he can secure an uncontested lead.