NYRA- The Best Circuit to Play, Everyday

[PhantomOnTour]

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour

Race 7

Like the Flaxman runner, at 8-1

Nope


Race 8 - Saratoga Special
Always like to play Kelly Breen when he ships one in from Jersey to run on the big stage
Small play on the Vino at 16-1

ex w
win

[GMB@BP]

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour

Nope


Race 8 - Saratoga Special
Always like to play Kelly Breen when he ships one in from Jersey to run on the big stage
Small play on the Vino at 16-1

ex w
win

winner and place horses legit in that race

[Dahoss9698]

Originally Posted by GMB@BP

winner and place horses legit in that race

Geroux off strikes again for the winner. An angle to watch for sure. I should have crushed that race. I was too mesmerized by the favorites blowout debut.

Had a small saver exacta as those were my 2nd and 3rd choices, but missed opportunity.

[Robert Fischer]

can't be bothered until tonight or tuesday, when I go through the charts and replays.


a mix of the usual problems haunting NYRA (lack of full fields on the dirt(erroneously pretending that '7' is a full-field, dirt-route full-field is a blargin unicorn, card stretched-out with uninspiring turf races such as the 5.5f varieties) added to the reality of it being a Monday card in a race week better suited to using a monday's worth of entries instead on wed-sun to have a few less 6,7 horse fields from wed-sun.

There are two logical handicapping pattern races on the whole card. Both fairly cheap turf mile races, both have the same gimmicky pattern.

R6 = has possibility to be value. = You have to have enough interest to cap the race, and then if you are lucky it will match the 'overbet Pletcher in a turf clm' angle. If you are fortunate in that regard, then you get a decent price in r6.


R9 = basically the exact same thing. good luck.

[ReplayRandall]

Live plays for Monday, August 14th at Saratoga:

SAR-R3- Class Won (KY) 8-1 J R Leparoux - M A Tomlinson

SAR-R8- Super Allison (NY) 8-1 R Maragh - C F Martin

SAR-R9- Honor Thy Father (KY) 12-1 R Albarado - K G McPeek

[GMB@BP]

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer

can't be bothered until tonight or tuesday, when I go through the charts and replays.


a mix of the usual problems haunting NYRA (lack of full fields on the dirt(erroneously pretending that '7' is a full-field, dirt-route full-field is a blargin unicorn, card stretched-out with uninspiring turf races such as the 5.5f varieties) added to the reality of it being a Monday card in a race week better suited to using a monday's worth of entries instead on wed-sun to have a few less 6,7 horse fields from wed-sun.

There are two logical handicapping pattern races on the whole card. Both fairly cheap turf mile races, both have the same gimmicky pattern.

R6 = has possibility to be value. = You have to have enough interest to cap the race, and then if you are lucky it will match the 'overbet Pletcher in a turf clm' angle. If you are fortunate in that regard, then you get a decent price in r6.


R9 = basically the exact same thing. good luck.

Yup

I played a speed horse in race 3 (who did win but was not best with gold rail) but there is just is not much.

I like the 3 a bit in the 7th.

[Robert Fischer]

can irad get this favorite home?
action bet pick 3

4 / 1234 / 13 =$8


edit = nope, way too sluggish

[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by ReplayRandall

Live plays for Monday, August 14th at Saratoga:

SAR-R3- Class Won (KY) 8-1 J R Leparoux - M A Tomlinson

SAR-R8- Super Allison (NY) 8-1 R Maragh - C F Martin

SAR-R9- Honor Thy Father (KY) 12-1 R Albarado - K G McPeek

Results= Tough Day

Daily Plays= 3
Daily Winners= 0
Daily Net= -6.00

Total Plays/Saratoga= 52
Total Winners= 6
Strike Rate= 11 %
Running Total= +1.20

[Robert Fischer]

Both Pletcher underlays happened to lose (r6 and r9)

The pick-4 was an unplayable long-term loser, in what was just an awful sequence, even with two known underlays.

The exacta wagering for races 6 and 9 was playable.

[ReplayRandall]

Live plays for Wednesday, August 16th at Saratoga:

SAR-R2- Tarpon Bay Road (KY) 6-1 L Saez - B P Walsh

SAR-R5- Nolinski (NY) 6-1 I Ortiz, Jr. - J C Englehart

SAR-R7- Fear (NY) 15-1 D Davis - M A LeCesse

SAR-10- Giant Brownie (KY) 8-1 I Ortiz, Jr. - R R Rodriguez

[Dahoss9698]

Eric Cancel has been riding well but his ride in the 3rd seemed like he left his little brain in the paddock.

[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by ReplayRandall

Live plays for Wednesday, August 16th at Saratoga:

SAR-R2- Tarpon Bay Road (KY) 6-1 L Saez - B P Walsh

SAR-R5- Nolinski (NY) 6-1 I Ortiz, Jr. - J C Englehart

SAR-R7- Fear (NY) 15-1 D Davis - M A LeCesse

SAR-10- Giant Brownie (KY) 8-1 I Ortiz, Jr. - R R Rodriguez

Results= Empty Pockets

Daily Plays= 4
Daily Winners= 0
Daily Net= -8.00

Total Plays/Saratoga= 56
Total Winners= 6
Strike Rate= 10%
Running Total= -6.80

[ReplayRandall]

Live plays for Thursday, August 17th at Saratoga:

SAR-R1- Clairvoyant Lady (KY) 6-1 J L Ortiz - J T Toscano, Jr.

SAR-R2- Clonedsimmard (NY) 20-1 M J Luzzi - L Gyarmati

SAR-R3- Doyouknowsomething (KY) 8-1 M Franco - A C Avila

SAR-R6- Classic Cotton (FL) 8-1 R Albarado - T S Wismer

SAR-R7- Two Hot Betty (FL) 15-1 A S Arroyo - A C Adsit
SAR-R7- Never Grow Old (KY) 15-1 R Santana, Jr. - W A Ward

SAR-R8- Frosty Margarita (NY) 20-1 M Franco - R R Rodriguez

SAR-R9- Held Accountable (NY) 8-1 L Saez - P M Serpe

[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by ReplayRandall

Live plays for Thursday, August 17th at Saratoga:

SAR-R1- Clairvoyant Lady (KY) 6-1 J L Ortiz - J T Toscano, Jr.

SAR-R2- Clonedsimmard (NY) 20-1 M J Luzzi - L Gyarmati

SAR-R3- Doyouknowsomething (KY) 8-1 M Franco - A C Avila

SAR-R6- Classic Cotton (FL) 8-1 R Albarado - T S Wismer

SAR-R7- Two Hot Betty (FL) 15-1 A S Arroyo - A C Adsit
SAR-R7- Never Grow Old (KY) 15-1 R Santana, Jr. - W A Ward

SAR-R8- Frosty Margarita (NY) 20-1 M Franco - R R Rodriguez

SAR-R9- Held Accountable (NY) 8-1 L Saez - P M Serpe

Results= Held Accountable [8-1] 1st - 10.00 6.20

Daily Plays= 8
Daily Winners= 1
Daily Net= -6.00

Total Plays/Saratoga= 64
Total Winners= 7
Strike Rate= 10%
Running Total= -12.80

PS- SAR R9 winner broke a string of 0 for 25, yet only 6 units down....I'll get 'em tomorrow and this weekend, got some nice ones ready to go.

[Robert Fischer]

Friday's card has a full-field dirt route.

Apocalyptic, I know.

Granted they did schlep 3 longshots posts 7-9, which nullifies any potential advantage of knowledge of the post position bias. And it's a 16kn2L. Don't buy the farm just yet.