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Old 06-18-2022, 06:18 AM   #1
Augenj
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Arrow Top Horse Analytics: 06/18/2022 Free Pick of Day - MTH

Image of today's Equibase/THA free race pick (avoiding morning line favorites)

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Old 06-18-2022, 05:16 PM   #2
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Image of today's Equibase/THA free race pick chart (results)

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Old 06-19-2022, 07:37 AM   #3
geroge.burns99
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thx for putting this up....

a question....

this is just a confirmation that the ML Fav is bad and does not give you the winner

correct?
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Old 06-19-2022, 07:59 AM   #4
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Actually I'm only posting races that over time have some value to them if they win. If the top THA pick is a morning line favorite in a certain race, it stands a better chance of winning than other morning line favorites in other races but the profit is minimal at best.
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Old 06-19-2022, 08:10 AM   #5
geroge.burns99
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Augenj View Post
Actually I'm only posting races that over time have some value to them if they win. If the top THA pick is a morning line favorite in a certain race, it stands a better chance of winning than other morning line favorites in other races but the profit is minimal at best.
thxs

btw...saw your website and the positive roi's ...nice

Last edited by geroge.burns99; 06-19-2022 at 08:23 AM.
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Old 06-19-2022, 08:44 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by geroge.burns99 View Post
thxs

btw...saw your website and the positive roi's ...nice
Thanks. The stats are a little deceptive because the calculation parameters are optimized every week since I've discovered over several years that keeping the data bases current produce better results. Every week, I programmatically add the current week to the (yearly) data base and drop off the oldest week. That explains the fluctuations from week to week.
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