Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 05-03-2018, 02:44 PM   #1
deathandgravity
Registered User
 
deathandgravity's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 379
Rayya

Just to throw this out there…
Any thoughts on how Rayya performance on in the Oaks can be used to gage Mendelssohn run in the Derby?
deathandgravity is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 04:56 PM   #2
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
Quote:
Originally Posted by deathandgravity View Post
Just to throw this out there…
Any thoughts on how Rayya performance on in the Oaks can be used to gage Mendelssohn run in the Derby?
she will be sent to the lead, I think she has a shot
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 05:10 PM   #3
GMB@BP
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet View Post
she will be sent to the lead, I think she has a shot
Feel like there is some real pace in that race, if she gets to the lead should make it even more interesting up front.
GMB@BP is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 08:21 PM   #4
TheGarMan
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 245
Yes.... And no....

Remember Rayya did not just travel in this week from Ireland like Mendy did.. If I understand, Rayya was shipped back with Baffert's string much earlier in April and spent time at Santa Anita.

Also, not sure how the 18 length win factors into Mendys exertion level versus that of Rayya's trip.

For these reasons, I don't think she is the best comparison.

Mendy did travel over this week with "Threeandfourpence" , "War Decree" and "Deauville" who will all run this weekend, so maybe those are the better horses to keep an eye on?
TheGarMan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 09:00 PM   #5
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP View Post
Feel like there is some real pace in that race, if she gets to the lead should make it even more interesting up front.
they took the blinkers off one of the other speed horses, hope they try to rate her(Classy Act) which could help Rayya on the lead. Still like the closers best
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 09:03 PM   #6
f2tornado
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
She ran a solid Bullet with Abel Tasman at SA a couple weeks ago. Not much would shock me in the Oaks.
f2tornado is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 09:10 PM   #7
GMB@BP
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet View Post
they took the blinkers off one of the other speed horses, hope they try to rate her(Classy Act) which could help Rayya on the lead. Still like the closers best
If they try to rate Classy Act they should have their license revoked, its clearly her best weapon and only chance to win the race. Tough spot being inside so if they try to rate her she would be a solid candidate to finish last.
GMB@BP is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-03-2018, 09:11 PM   #8
GMB@BP
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by f2tornado View Post
She ran a solid Bullet with Abel Tasman at SA a couple weeks ago. Not much would shock me in the Oaks.
when a baffert horse does not run bullets (or dam near) you can chuck em....he trains em like quarter horses, dont know why, lol
GMB@BP is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-04-2018, 06:51 PM   #9
deathandgravity
Registered User
 
deathandgravity's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 379
That wasn't impressive
Blew the start & basically eased in the stretch
deathandgravity is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2018, 11:39 PM   #10
davew
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,629
a troubled start and then rank is hard to compare with any horse that has been in more than 3 races
davew is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:44 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.