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10-21-2013, 08:59 PM
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#31
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longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
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tdn, thistletown in cleveland oh
del, delaware park in northern delaware.
pn, penn national, nw of philly
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let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
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10-21-2013, 09:00 PM
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#32
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,178
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 Why? Plastic to dirt, rider that seems like he comes in to win. And I need bullets for wednesday.
Last edited by olddaddy; 10-21-2013 at 09:01 PM.
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10-21-2013, 09:03 PM
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#33
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longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
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I got the contenders 5/6/8/10.......the mountain is all about finding the bombs who run into the exotics.....if the price is there, the 3 is the one this race.
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let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
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10-21-2013, 09:04 PM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 3,550
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by raybo
The key is that those are win odds, and in superfectas it's the odds "rank" that matters, so as the 2nd ranked odds horse, the 5 on top will offer a much better payout than the 8 on top. And, I really think it's between the 5 and 8 for the win, so of those 2, the 5 offers more value for win, and the super.
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I agree with you wholeheartedly on this... unfortunately i don't play supers at mnr because they don't have the evil dime super yet...  were it LRL or TDN, game on!
Anyhow, at this point, I am just going to leave this race as a mental bet and not play any real money
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10-21-2013, 09:10 PM
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#35
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Registered Loser
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 2,633
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by parlay
The first question is can the  repeat that effort.
I will bet 2 scenarios,
1. he romps again
2. he doesn't lift a hoof
if he runs into the ticket i lose everything.
The  interests me.
New trainer got 2 of his 3 lifetime wins out of him
in his 2nd and 3rd start for him. The 1st was on a off track.
Both wins were on the engine.His next 3 efforts showed
early speed, the last of which was a turn back.
His next race he showed a new dimension, a huge of the
pace effort. This race makes him competitive with everyone
in the race save the of his last.
The trainer wheels him right back in 7 days at a route. He rates
off the early speed, takes a run and flattens. The big fave put away
the speed and won by many, the other positions were filled by runners coming from way out of it.
The spacing of this race, 7 days, was not the way the trainer had
been running him. I think this was a good effort.
So, i believe i have a runner that has changed his style. A style that should
be beneficial to him tonight. A runner that is competitive with the whole
field. A runner that has had proper rest since his last run.
How do i use him?
He should be a very generous price. I will make a win bet on him.
I will play him under the in a larger ex.
I will then combine him with others in exactors that should be large. |
I like your style!! Swing for the fences!! 
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10-21-2013, 09:23 PM
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#36
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iceknight
I agree with you wholeheartedly on this... unfortunately i don't play supers at mnr because they don't have the evil dime super yet... were it LRL or TDN, game on!
Anyhow, at this point, I am just going to leave this race as a mental bet and not play any real money |
I use the dimes as savers in big races only. I usually bet $1 supers on larger tickets and $2 in smaller ones.
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10-21-2013, 09:25 PM
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#37
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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I expect the 8 to go off at even money or lower and the 5 around 2/1, maybe a bit lower or higher depending on how low the 8 goes. I think everyone will see that 10 length win last time and get all over the 8.
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10-21-2013, 09:25 PM
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#38
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BC Canada
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 2,286
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$5 EXA 8-5
$5 EXA 8-6
$1 TRI 8 - 3 - 2,4,5,6,7
$1 TRI 8 - 2,4,5,6,7 - 3
$20 TOTAL
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10-21-2013, 09:33 PM
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#39
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longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
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the race is tough, decided on a 8/3 exact.
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
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10-21-2013, 09:35 PM
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#40
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Yeah, you have to try to find some value somewhere, or pass. So far the money is going about right, IMO.
Late money should go on the 8, I hope anyway.
Last edited by raybo; 10-21-2013 at 09:36 PM.
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10-21-2013, 09:37 PM
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#41
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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 is so smooth
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-21-2013, 09:39 PM
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#42
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Odds on 8 are a bit higher at 1MTP than I thought they would be. Maybe the last click will put it lower.
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10-21-2013, 09:41 PM
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#43
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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YES
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-21-2013, 09:41 PM
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#44
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Cool, 5 2 !
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10-21-2013, 09:43 PM
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#45
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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Great ride by the jock on 5!! Just what he needed to do. Honest pace and 2 led as she should have.
Now what were the show and 4th horses? 
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