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Old 10-24-2016, 12:44 PM   #1
FakeNameChanged
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Parx 10/24

Race 1
W&P on 1
1/6

Last edited by FakeNameChanged; 10-24-2016 at 12:50 PM.
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Old 10-24-2016, 01:14 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 1
W&P on 1
1/6
Race 2
9/5/11/8/3
Agreeing with one of you on 9

Last edited by FakeNameChanged; 10-24-2016 at 01:21 PM.
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Old 10-24-2016, 01:49 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 2
9/5/11/8/3
Agreeing with one of you on 9
Race 3
5/4/6/7/3
Very tepid call
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Old 10-24-2016, 02:19 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 3
5/4/6/7/3
Very tepid call
Race 4
7/11/12/2
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Old 10-24-2016, 02:35 PM   #5
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Speed Improvement

Who's
Way to go.

Can you post the + next to your selections.

I am trying to follow. Thanks


B
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Old 10-24-2016, 04:54 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 1
W&P on 1
1/6
Results: 1A- 22.80-10.20-5.00
3- 5.60 plc
5- 4.00 shw
6- 4th

Just a side note: the 1A was a +20 Sp Improv play last race where he paid 27.00 at 10000. I mentioned him specifically in my first or 2nd post there. Today there was no standout SI play in this race. I based my selection on tote play and his previous race, which I saw. In my mind 15-1 ML was crazy. For Boulder's benefit. the 1A did show a +5 speed improvement is you're using the speed ratings with variant, 71 up to 76. But his equibase ratings were flat. The #6 was a +6 SI, which is why I made him my second pick.

Last edited by FakeNameChanged; 10-24-2016 at 04:56 PM.
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Old 10-24-2016, 05:19 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 2
9/5/11/8/3
Agreeing with one of you on 9
Results: 9-$12.20-5.20-3.60 (NorCalGreg also had this one)
5- 3.00 plc
11- 4.40 shw
2-
Ex 38.90 Trif 178.80

The #9 was a +9 SI, #11 a +4, and #5 had no SI but was 2nd high l.r. speed rating(9 was top). again talking to Boulder, there was a +11 SI in this race, but I only placed him 4th in my rankings based no action on the tote board by my methods. when I see lots of improving horses, I don't blindly just take the high number and let it ride, other factors get involved.
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Old 10-24-2016, 05:26 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 3
5/4/6/7/3
Very tepid call
Results: 5-$13.00-5.80-4.60
7- 6.00 plc
1- 6.40 shw
10- 4th
5/7 Exacta : 56.80
No real SI plays in this race. I used tote analysis and actually dutched the 5 and 4 with my heavier bet on the 5, both to win. The 4 caught my eye, when her first odds flash was 7-2 when she was a legit 8-1 ML. I leaned more heavily on the 5 due to 4 not running for 40 days.
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Old 10-24-2016, 06:14 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whosonfirst
Race 4
7/11/12/2
Results: 11-$25.00-10.40-5.80
9- 8.20 plc
6- 5.60 shw
3- 4th

This race had a lot of SI horses which isn't my preferred method for spot plays. for example, the #2+9Si, #3+11/8, #4+6, #6+2, #7+7, #11(winner)was +7. The 3 was tentatively highest SI, but no +5 advantage over the others. He was also 80-1 p.t. odds. I made my selections again using tote analysis based on exacta payoffs. Just too many sp improv horses to separate them.
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