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Old 08-10-2018, 05:27 PM   #31
bobphilo
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Originally Posted by castaway01 View Post
Not changing leads is definitely an excuse but not sure how you use it as a handicapping factor when you can't predict if it's going to happen---unless you just avoid betting horses that continually have trouble changing leads.
I didn't mean that not changing leads is an excuse as the horse is the best judge as to if and when to do so. The only time it could be an excuse might be for a previous race if the jockey thought he knew more than the horse about how it felt on each lead and tried to force a lead change when the horse didn't want to. This could interfere with the horses' action and possibly be an excuse for poorer stretch performance in that race.
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Old 08-15-2018, 11:31 PM   #32
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Article from DerbyWars that came out the other day on the subject.

https://www.horseracingnation.com/ne...ed_to_know_123#
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Old 08-16-2018, 07:01 AM   #33
BIG49010
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Horses that don't change leads or are slow to change leads, quite often have an issue with a hock, knee or ankle in claiming races. Young horses it can be a show stopper, like poor conformation of some sort.



You do see a few that can run all day on wrong lead, but generally in this country it is a negative if they don't switch.
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Old 08-16-2018, 10:57 PM   #34
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The lead that the horse starts running on...is it because of "training", or "personal preference"? Do the horses habitually start running on a particular lead because such a running style is instinctively better for them...just as a human starts on a particular "lead" when swimming freestyle? Do horses favor a particular side of their body...as humans do?

Horses have a natural bend that in large part results from their being "curled up" while in the womb.


The lead taken is in large part due to that natural bend.



If a horse was perfectly straight in the spine and had equally developed muscles and bones then taking either lead would occur naturally.



However, no horse is perfectly straight nor do they travel perfectly straight. One leg will reach forward slightly more than the other, and, the weight is not perfectly distributed. The unequal distribution of weight and the way of going being influenced by that and the other factors will result in one hind leg reaching more towards the center line than the other. To see this, watch a horse going away from you in a straight line and you'll see the haunches slightly to one side.
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