Of course this is just opinion but how I do it . You kind of have to handicap the race yourself and establish what a fair price is . Last year was an anomaly, in recent derbies I think you have to focus on 4 prep races first . The Florida Derby, the Santa Anita Derby , the Arkansas Derby and the Louisiana Derby . Chances are the winner and/or runner up ran very well in these races . So, right off the bat at the odds posted now you gotta look at Angel of Empire and Kingsbarns. If Angel if Empire is 8-1 or more , he’s almost a must use on tickets IMO . He’s run big on two circuits this spring and the last two weren’t close with an imposing late kick . For Kingsbarns you gotta hope for 12-1 or more . He’s sort of an unknown and untested but jumping through the conditions like that is not a deal breaker anymore . Of course Forte is the obvious one, you know his odds . So, out west, I am looking at Practical Move and Skinner as a possible live long shot . So, there’s 4 horses, Angel of Empire , Kingsbarns , Practical Move and Skinner that you’re looking for a fair price that doesn’t wander down much . You want the world to jump on Forte . Cause if he doesn’t get up and this race is open chances are one of these 4 will be the one. I know , some years this is out the window , it’s a crazy race but you have to apply some logic just to get a handle . Or just ask your girlfriend or wife which pretty horse she likes or name or number cause sometimes that works too
Wet Paint 5/2 
Botanical 4-1 
Southlawn 8-1 
