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07-27-2016, 01:49 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 1,362
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The Haskell
This race is loaded with talent. I think Nyquist wins based on the speed bias in this race and on this track. If i can get 2-1 or even 3-1 im going heavy on him. Exaggerator was aided by the Nyquist running the fastest 1/4 in Preakness history and the wet track. Gun Runner can't be slept on but my ultimate sleeper is American Freedom, Baffert knows how to win the Haskell. Brody's Cause has proven to be a cut below the top horses of this crop. Sunny Ridge is interesting as a back end bomber because they have been pointing him here since last fall. The Haskell has really become a great race at a nice track, very much looking forward to it.
Thoughts?
Last edited by PowerUpPaynter; 07-27-2016 at 01:50 PM.
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07-27-2016, 02:20 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: NJ
Posts: 5,851
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PowerUpPaynter
This race is loaded with talent. I think Nyquist wins based on the speed bias in this race and on this track. If i can get 2-1 or even 3-1 im going heavy on him. Exaggerator was aided by the Nyquist running the fastest 1/4 in Preakness history and the wet track. Gun Runner can't be slept on but my ultimate sleeper is American Freedom, Baffert knows how to win the Haskell. Brody's Cause has proven to be a cut below the top horses of this crop. Sunny Ridge is interesting as a back end bomber because they have been pointing him here since last fall. The Haskell has really become a great race at a nice track, very much looking forward to it.
Thoughts?
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I would count on a fast track but I wouldn't say the track will be speed biased until we see how they run beginning at 12 noon Sunday. Nyquist seems to be a logical choice.
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07-27-2016, 02:29 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,821
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Quote:
Originally Posted by onefast99
I would count on a fast track but I wouldn't say the track will be speed biased until we see how they run beginning at 12 noon Sunday. Nyquist seems to be a logical choice.
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Good chance of thunderstorms on Sunday---granted it's 4 days out---so we'll have to see about that fast track.
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07-27-2016, 02:59 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Exaggerator to Go in Haskell
In a strange move after being withdrawn from the Jim Dandy because he wasn't training well, Exaggerator will face Nyquist in the tougher Haskell instead.
Has Keith D taken up brother Kent's drinking habit ????
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...run-in-haskell
Last edited by bobphilo; 07-27-2016 at 03:03 PM.
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07-27-2016, 03:37 PM
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#5
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$2 Showbettor
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,578
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo
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This is a head-scratching move. Desormeaux didn’t like the way Exaggerator was working out at the SPA, even though the colt has a win there last year. He liked the track last year but not this year? hhhhmmmm, The workout times were ok ,I believe, but the gallop outs were disconcerting. It was my understanding that he planned to work him up to the Travers; maybe the bosses had second thoughts about that plan.
Looks like a toss to me.
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07-31-2016, 03:11 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Redboard
This is a head-scratching move. Desormeaux didn’t like the way Exaggerator was working out at the SPA, even though the colt has a win there last year. He liked the track last year but not this year? hhhhmmmm, The workout times were ok ,I believe, but the gallop outs were disconcerting. It was my understanding that he planned to work him up to the Travers; maybe the bosses had second thoughts about that plan.
Looks like a toss to me.
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I would pick Nyquist over Exaggerator even if both were in top form and now that Desormeaux didn't feel Ex was fit enough for the easier Jim Dandy I'm even more skeptical about his chances in the Haskell.
I agree with Redboard that this looks like an owner overruling the best judgement of the trainer.
Nyquist should win this and it looks like American Freedom presents the biggest challenge.
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07-31-2016, 03:20 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: New York, NY
Posts: 373
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I like Gun Runner...his odds can be higher than they should be.
You have the Derby & Preakness winners which makes them overly popular and both might be off form a bit...the latter will take a lot of extra play because of the sloppy track...I think that factor can be overdone.
Then you have Baffert - who won 5 of the last 6 renewals...if he entered the stable billygoat it might go 3:1 off of that history...maybe his charge is ok, but hasn't accomplished much yet.
I think Gun Runner is very good and might be sitting on a big race after an easy tune-up.
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07-31-2016, 03:31 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 547
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I just don't see a way to go against Nyquist in this spot. He'll be overplayed, but I still can't find enough value in the others.
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07-31-2016, 03:43 PM
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#9
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,787
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Nyquist not worth a look at any low odds.
He might win, but not with my money on him.
I'll be playing some nickel baten claimers somewhere else.
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07-31-2016, 03:57 PM
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#10
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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I have no idea of a value bet here.
Nyquist is a grade 1 horse
Exaggerator was starting to look better than Nyquist before his 'dud' in the Belmont
Both have question marks coming in
Nyquist and American Freedom have a good style for the Haskell
Just going to watch and hope to see a couple horses run big.
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07-31-2016, 03:58 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,207
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Go American Freedom!
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07-31-2016, 04:24 PM
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#12
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,787
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Late breaking news!
Crisi in the Nyquist camp.
They forgot to bring the silks.
Trying to get some down from Saratoga.
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Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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07-31-2016, 04:35 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Willamette Valley, Oregon
Posts: 1,622
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I'm going to take a little shot with Awesome Slew.
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07-31-2016, 05:24 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 387
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Exaggerator will pays have him 4th choice in DD, third in P3.
Toss him!!!!
It's GUN POWER!!!!!
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07-31-2016, 05:47 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 16,837
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Gun Runner should get a very nice trip. Exaggerator has always run well on the off going. We will find out shortly as they are now loading.
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