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Old 05-22-2020, 05:26 PM   #1
MDCnorthlands
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My remaining matchup bets for the day

Up a couple units so far today

SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100

CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190

GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155

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Old 05-22-2020, 07:44 PM   #2
MDCnorthlands
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Almost every single one of my wagers perfectly predicted how the market odds would stray from almost every place offering odds predictions.

Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless!

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Old 05-22-2020, 08:15 PM   #3
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Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless
I guess that comes down to how you use them
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Old 05-22-2020, 08:21 PM   #4
MDCnorthlands
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Any advice?
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Old 05-22-2020, 09:06 PM   #5
MDCnorthlands
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SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140 +140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100 -100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100 -100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100 -110
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135 -100
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100 +100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240 +240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100 +100

CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100 +100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190 -100

GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200 -100
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165 -100
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155 -100

-130 on day, finished OK
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Old 05-22-2020, 09:49 PM   #6
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My advice-if you are spending REAL money, don't rely on E-Ponies.

Good luck,

-NCG
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Old 05-23-2020, 01:04 PM   #7
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Who is more reliable then? If you had to make these matchup odds, whose odds would you use?

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Old 05-23-2020, 01:14 PM   #8
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some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?
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Old 05-23-2020, 01:42 PM   #9
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some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?
My local bookie

How do you figure which lines are terrible?

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Old 05-23-2020, 02:09 PM   #10
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Any advice?
Post in the "Selections" area?

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Old 05-23-2020, 02:26 PM   #11
MDCnorthlands
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Meanwhile the most popular thread in here is a daily "cap this race..." which is the same thing as asking for selections.

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Old 05-23-2020, 03:01 PM   #12
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No, it isn't - it is asking for handicapping.
But hey, what do I know?
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Old 05-23-2020, 03:11 PM   #13
MDCnorthlands
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True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.
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Old 05-23-2020, 03:17 PM   #14
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True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.
Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game

If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day

This race can't get hear fast enough lol

Last edited by CheckMark; 05-23-2020 at 03:20 PM.
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Old 05-23-2020, 03:25 PM   #15
MDCnorthlands
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Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game

If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day

This race can't get hear fast enough lol
That's not what I'm looking for. I'm just looking for a source that predicts reasonably well the final market odds. Any such source will be wrong a lot but if they're right as often as they are wrong, that works for me.

So far in 80-90% of my matchup bets, the final market odds strongly disagree with TrueStats, e-ponies, and the morning line.

My bookie likely has some other source it's using to make their matchup lines and I'd like to know what it is. There is no way they have some in house savant handicapper that is making 50 sharp matchup odds a day at 3+ tracks.

CheckMark you, like me, look like someone who enjoys a race track burger, fries, and a side of gravy.

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