Belmont Stakes

[BlueChip@DRF]

[MarylandMan]

Originally Posted by garywpt

Read an article about dosage and how it used to be a big handicapping factor but not so much anymore. Gave a nice stat for this Saturdays Belmont stakes. In the last 16 Belmont Stakes races only 1 winner had a dosage of 3 or higher the other 15 winners had a dosage below 3!!! Three horses have a dosage below 3 they are Known Agenda 1.44 Rombauer 1.86 & Rock Your World 2.20

HORSE
DOSAGE
BEST 3-YEAR-OLD SPEED FIGURE

Win prediction in bold!

1 Bourbonic
3.00
94

2 Essential Quality
3.00
102

3 Rombauer
1.86
103

4 Hot Rod Charlie
3.00
100

5 France Go de Ina
7.00
84

6 Known Agenda
1.44
101

7 Rock Your World
2.20
102

8 Overtook
3.29
95

[The_Turf_Monster]

1 across the board
1,8/1,7,8/1,5,7,8 in the tri

[garywpt]

In the past 23 years ONLY 5 post time favorites have won the Belmont Stakes.

15 of the Last 26 Belmont Stakes Winners Had the Raise A Native Sire Pedigree Line. Essential Quality & Rombauer do NOT have RAN

Long shots rule the Belmont Stakes with 8 of the last 13 winners paying $20 or more

[don]

I like Known Agenda here. Throw his last race out.

6-2-4-3

don

[taxicab]

Couldn't figure this race out.
FWIW...
In the FRI/SAT/P-6:
I wound up with Bourbonic/Essential Quality/Hot Rod Charlie to finish.
Of course I have to get through two difficult legs to get there.
I'll call it like this:
1) Bourbonic
2) Hot Rod Charlie
3) Essential Quality

[zico20]

Originally Posted by garywpt

In the past 23 years ONLY 5 post time favorites have won the Belmont Stakes.

15 of the Last 26 Belmont Stakes Winners Had the Raise A Native Sire Pedigree Line. Essential Quality & Rombauer do NOT have RAN

Long shots rule the Belmont Stakes with 8 of the last 13 winners paying $20 or more

Three of those winners were Baffert's horses. Last year it was run at a mile and an eighth so you really shouldn't count that one. The other one, Afleet Alex, was a total standout.

[Sparky13]

[Blenheim]

Known Agenda to win the Belmont Stakes.

~

[burnsy]

I like Known Agenda but I think Rombauer is the bet if he’s still at least second choice as it looks now. I listened to the Capital OTB and Nyra handicappers and the reality is they had to talk every horse up with the exception of Rombauer. That derby , some even admit was a merry go round bust. None of these horses made a move to threaten Medina . Hot Rod Charlie appeared to try to make a move but couldn’t sustain. This horse Rombauer ran dead nuts. The question is with these young horses. What if steps it up one more notch? That’s the question, the only worry is someone getting an easy lead . Then it’s tough. But I see him at least getting second if he maintains current form . If he gets a little bit better…………. Look out. Of course, you never know, but that was the race of this generation so far.

[Ribot Roboto]

I think Rombauer catches Essential Quality with about 1/2 furlong to go.

[delfman]

playing $20 ex
and
$40 ex

[rastajenk]

I passed on the Mott exacta in the sixth, but I'm not passing on a Pletcher exacta in this one: box

I may have other, more defensible plays than this one, but if it hits and I don't have it, I don't want to say "How easy could have that have been?"

[Vinnie]

#7 RYW on the Front or near the front end and coasting home if he can get the distance. Hoping for someone underneath. Never play supers, however, taking a shot with the

Super Key w/ for 24 bucks. Good Luck all.

[rastajenk]

Originally Posted by rastajenk

I passed on the Mott exacta in the sixth, but I'm not passing on a Pletcher exacta in this one: box

I may have other, more defensible plays than this one, but if it hits and I don't have it, I don't want to say "How easy could have that have been?"

Chad exacta in the Manhatten. I'm seeing a pattern.