Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-06-2021, 08:09 AM   #1
andicap
Registered User
 
andicap's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: White Plains, NY
Posts: 5,315
Fixed odds wagering at Monmouth Park

NJ governor signs bill allowing fixed odds wagering at Monmouth Park subject to regulatory approval. Story didn't mention it, but would this also include off-track sites or just at Monmouth?

So what's the upshot here? Seems to me we'll get a fairer look at favorites' odds as whales wont wait until the last minute to bet them down. If favorites are hit, say, five or 10 minutes before the race, does this creates more value on longer odds horses? 4-1 horses become 5 or 6-1? 10-1 become 15-1?

https://www.paulickreport.com/news/t...tory-approval/
__________________
andicap

Last edited by andicap; 08-06-2021 at 08:13 AM. Reason: typo
andicap is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 09:38 AM   #2
Gamblin4ever
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2020
Posts: 166
Quote:
Originally Posted by andicap View Post
NJ governor signs bill allowing fixed odds wagering at Monmouth Park subject to regulatory approval. Story didn't mention it, but would this also include off-track sites or just at Monmouth?

So what's the upshot here? Seems to me we'll get a fairer look at favorites' odds as whales wont wait until the last minute to bet them down. If favorites are hit, say, five or 10 minutes before the race, does this creates more value on longer odds horses? 4-1 horses become 5 or 6-1? 10-1 become 15-1?

https://www.paulickreport.com/news/t...tory-approval/
What exactly is fixed odds wagering? Is it where you wager on a horse you get those odds even if odds drop or go up?
Gamblin4ever is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 01:46 PM   #3
andicap
Registered User
 
andicap's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: White Plains, NY
Posts: 5,315
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gamblin4ever View Post
What exactly is fixed odds wagering? Is it where you wager on a horse you get those odds even if odds drop or go up?
Exactly.
__________________
andicap
andicap is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:16 PM   #4
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,548
Quote:
Originally Posted by andicap View Post
NJ governor signs bill allowing fixed odds wagering at Monmouth Park subject to regulatory approval. Story didn't mention it, but would this also include off-track sites or just at Monmouth?

So what's the upshot here? Seems to me we'll get a fairer look at favorites' odds as whales wont wait until the last minute to bet them down. If favorites are hit, say, five or 10 minutes before the race, does this creates more value on longer odds horses? 4-1 horses become 5 or 6-1? 10-1 become 15-1?

https://www.paulickreport.com/news/t...tory-approval/
It all depends. If you keep being victimized by the drastic late-second dropdowns that we so often see...then it will be a blessing to finally be able to lock in the price of the bets that you make. But if you have benefitted by these drastic dropdowns because they inflate the prices of the winning longshots that you bet on...then this new wagering innovation obviously won't be for you.

Speaking for myself, this is a godsend...and I hope it gets implemented nationwide.
__________________
Live to play another day.
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:28 PM   #5
VeryOldMan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 971
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos View Post
It all depends. If you keep being victimized by the drastic late-second dropdowns that we so often see...then it will be a blessing to finally be able to lock in the price of the bets that you make. But if you have benefitted by these drastic dropdowns because they inflate the prices of the winning longshots that you bet on...then this new wagering innovation obviously won't be for you.

Speaking for myself, this is a godsend...and I hope it gets implemented nationwide.
Do you want to play against the sharps who set the likely ever-moving fixed odd lines or play against the sharps who bet these horses to perfection in parimutuel fashion? My suspicion is that those trends will converge ultimately, but it would be fun to have the choice and see what happens.
VeryOldMan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:32 PM   #6
Inner Dirt
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Beaverdam Virginia
Posts: 12,665
I have a sneaky feeling like on most sports future bet pools if you will find the take out to be higher than your average win pool for a horse race. I think it will be a way for the house to take a bigger cut, just my opinion.
Inner Dirt is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:47 PM   #7
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,909
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gamblin4ever View Post
What exactly is fixed odds wagering? Is it where you wager on a horse you get those odds even if odds drop or go up?
No.
It is legal bookmaking.
(At least that would be my guess.)
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:50 PM   #8
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,909
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inner Dirt View Post
I have a sneaky feeling like on most sports future bet pools if you will find the take out to be higher than your average win pool for a horse race. I think it will be a way for the house to take a bigger cut, just my opinion.
Completely agree.
And, after the "share" they will get a bigger cut.
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 02:53 PM   #9
The_Turf_Monster
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 518
The house isn’t going to lose money on this. Sure you’ll feel better about knowing your exact odds, but your winners are going to pay less than the mutuels in the aggregate
The_Turf_Monster is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 10:06 PM   #10
iamt
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
There will be no sharps allowed here.

The legislation allows fixed odds accounts to be closed at the operators discretion, and there is no obligation to take any bets.
iamt is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-06-2021, 11:17 PM   #11
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,909
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt View Post
There will be no sharps allowed here.

The legislation allows fixed odds accounts to be closed at the operators discretion, and there is no obligation to take any bets.
So, we're in agreement, then?

Quote:
It is legal bookmaking.
(At least that would be my guess.)
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-07-2021, 02:57 AM   #12
iamt
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
Yes.

It is state based, and requires track agreement. So once implemented NJ residents (online) and physical bets can be made on any track that gives permission (at the moment, Monmouth only)
iamt is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-07-2021, 10:59 AM   #13
JohnGalt1
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,230
Do these bets go to the tracks to support the racing purses?

If not, then this is another nail in the industry's coffin.
JohnGalt1 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-07-2021, 11:32 AM   #14
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,740
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnGalt1 View Post
Do these bets go to the tracks to support the racing purses?

If not, then this is another nail in the industry's coffin.
don't get me wrong, I would love to go back the old days where you could walk up and down the Vegas strip and bet horses and the money never made it back to the track.. but those days don't exist any longer. the next best thing would be a secure pari-mutuel wagering pool where it is secure and no one gets in after the bell rings. i would say under secure conditions, there would be more action going into those pools and more possible money to be won.

the fixed odds and exchange wagering is all nonsense to me.
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-07-2021, 12:30 PM   #15
Dave Schwartz
 
Dave Schwartz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,909
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy View Post
don't get me wrong, I would love to go back the old days where you could walk up and down the Vegas strip and bet horses and the money never made it back to the track.. but those days don't exist any longer. the next best thing would be a secure pari-mutuel wagering pool where it is secure and no one gets in after the bell rings. i would say under secure conditions, there would be more action going into those pools and more possible money to be won.

the fixed odds and exchange wagering is all nonsense to me.
100%, Lambo.

Well, 95%, anyway.

I think there needs to be an ANNOUNCEMENT that the pools are closing in 90 seconds.
When that timer ends, all BET TRANSMISSIONS from all sources - including ADWs are rejected.

The TOTE BOARD should be ANNOUNCED as OFFICIAL.
(Like a roulette dealer who announces that there will be no more bets.)

All this should happen BEFORE the 1st horse enters the gate.
This would restore the POST TIME INTEGRITY and the odds will never change during the race.

It will not address the 5/1 to 2/1 issue after our bets are made. Nothing can be done with that in the parimutuel system.

Just my opinion.
Dave Schwartz is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:24 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.