*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[green80]

could be the track you are playing, I find DMR and Sar the most difficult in the country.

[oughtoh]

I gave up on Sar. and I play DM by doing the form. I have been using the form from Bris so I can also do the software the next day for research. It looks like the small tracks do better with Plat., Best 3 or Cons. just like you said. I am trying to work something up for the big tracks.

[green80]

you are beating your head against the wall, that $10 horse at ASD puts as much in your pocket as a $10 horse at Sar. When your bets get so large that the small tracks handle can't take it, then it's time to go to plan B

[oughtoh]

Going to plan B now. Just going to play the small tracks for fun and that is it. What I am trying to do isn't going to work for me, so just giving up on the idea and just going to have fun when I want to play. Should have just listened to you, but at my old age I have to try for myself, not like I don't have the time.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

I find consensus best when using all 3 horses like for doubles and pick-3,4 type bets. If you want a stand alone single horse you are best using 123 or Best 3. Still you have to filter these to win overall, you can't just bet all of them. I usually throw out maidens, usually the obvious winner is to chalky. I am showing the best results on conditioned races, NW2, NW3 and state bred. Most of the time the open races are too wide open meaning a number of horses could win them. This is another example of why you must keep records to see what kind of races you are doing best on .

Put up the PONYPICKERS 1-2-3 for Saratoga today---and did a complete WIFF job. Yeah it happens.

This isn't a do-over ....but that taught me a lesson---play it safe when posting in advance.

Like, posting the CONSENSUS instead. They tend to look better with 4 winners on top-- than no winners. It wont be the last time I wiff completely.

[NorCalGreg]

This one was so easy--I passed because I figured he'd probably go off @ 8/5 or less.

How in the world does BURN ME TWICE pay $10.00???

[NorCalGreg]

On my website I try to post up a "live" sample of one of my programs---usually the Tip Sheet from EXOTIC BETS! for a track the next day.

I'm kind of wondering if anyone takes advantage of the free reports....even if you have no intention of buying any software--it's still good, free info for a horseplayer.

I posted up the Tip Sheet from Presque for Monday's races. I generally put a check mark next to any horses that have nice low numbers--four "1's" is the obvious $4.00 payoff favorite.

Just wanted to let you know the COMPREHENSIVE REPORT (part of the Tip Sheet) had every winner from every race--even if only 1 horse for a race was listed--then that single won.

I checked off 6 horses I liked---some people have never seen the Tip Sheet before, so I try to give a little help.

2 of the 6 I checked won, including WILDNIGHTATTHEOPERA paying about $29.00 to win. That isn't the first longshot I've put a check mark on, either.

Whether you plan on purchasing anything or not---take a look at what's there. It's usually a major track---so help yourself to a copy. It's in the "free stuff" section----NCG

[broker81]

Norcal ı need yor Finger Lake details

[oughtoh]

I was wondering how you picked the horse in the 5th when it did not have any 1's by it. Was it from another program?

[Pensacola Pete]

Thistledown for Wednesday:

Race 3: #2 Walk Away Slow
Race 6: #8 Southern Mischief
Race 7: #3 May B
Race 8: #7 Superior Eye Q

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by oughtoh

I was wondering how you picked the horse in the 5th when it did not have any 1's by it. Was it from another program?

Using Platinum I figured BLACK TIE EVENT was going south...and 2nd best by numbers-- WILDNIGHTATTHEOPERA was clearly improving.

[green80]

123 method had a nice 19.80 horse in the 8th yesterday. Gotta bet any of these going off at decent odds.

[green80]

and the 123 method had a $30.60 in the 3rd today. I'll stay with it as long as it keeps working.

[NorCalGreg]

Something I look for when I have time to go through the day's cards. Remember...if it isn't a speed-heavy sprint---find an unusually high E-1, with a decent Late. With a route, you want a high Late fig--unless there is no speed at all in that race.

[NorCalGreg]

Del Mar longshots--some good looking numbers on some longshots. Check my website for today's EXOTIC BETS! Del Mar Tip Sheet--including as always, the HOT LIST & COMP REPORT.


Found these trolling for longshots @ DM:



3RD BESIDES THE POINT 15-1

7TH QUEEN BEE TO YOU 8-1

8TH ACCELERANT 12-1


Good Luck Today


-NCG