Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-22-2019, 08:17 AM   #1
sammy the sage
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: central fla.
Posts: 4,874
Traver's...2019

What no talk yet...anyways....will hard luck "Tacitus" finally get there again...working with blinkers ON I hear and doing much better...he's surely going to get over-bet...although if he wins...does that matter...???

Personally a couple of the new shooter's to THE stakes season for 3yr. olds look promising....now I'm NOT saying an "Arrogate" type...but they might have some potential...what say you...
__________________
got handed a lemon...make lemonade....add sugar or brown sugar or stevia or my personal favorite....miracle fruit....google it...thank me later...
sammy the sage is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 08:34 AM   #2
groupie doll
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Posts: 428
Haven't had the chance to look at this one yet; Tacitus is a decent choice for the ML (maybe a no-brainer), but I'm inclined to look elsewhere with the way most of this crop has taken turns beating each other.
groupie doll is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 02:05 PM   #3
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,513
trying to rally health to handicap the race

at a glance looks interesting maybe 4-6 contenders and a long shot or two

mucho gusto stands out as having both tactical speed and the closest thing this field has flashed to 'brillinace', i don't fully trust

tacitus is extremely good but also very obvious and will take money, forcing some creativity
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 06:38 PM   #4
f2tornado
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,617
I'm not at all excited with this field. I don't see any true tosses or standouts therefore will put most focus in the nice undercard. Code of Honor could be a nice fresh horse but the pace looks ho hum to offer a good setup for a closer. A 4-1 ML is only moderately enticing given the potential pace scenario. Just about anything could fill the gimmicks so I'll lean toward horizontal versus vertical plays with this race.
f2tornado is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 08:46 PM   #5
letswastemoney
Registered User
 
letswastemoney's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,207
Tax or Mucho Gusto, assuming there's no closer bias. On paper, the race lacks a significant pace presence.
letswastemoney is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 09:00 PM   #6
46zilzal
velocitician
 
46zilzal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 26,248
Look at the winning odds the last 4 or 5 editions and favorites hae not done well on top
__________________
"If this world is all about winners, what's for the losers?" Jr. Bonner: "Well somebody's got to hold the horses Ace."
46zilzal is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-22-2019, 10:58 PM   #7
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
when Game Winner defected, I lost interest
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 09:32 PM   #8
Parkview_Pirate
Registered User
 
Parkview_Pirate's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 1,951
Quote:
Originally Posted by sammy the sage View Post
...Personally a couple of the new shooter's to THE stakes season for 3yr. olds look promising....
Agreed - a slight improvement puts several of the newer shooters right in the mix.

I'm a bit intrigued by Chess Chief. Gets Mike Smith? Hmmm....
Parkview_Pirate is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 10:00 PM   #9
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,470
Baffert show up with the top fig horse. Duh.
Dances every dance, but so did Ginger Rogers. Needs to step it up a bit and git R done
Improving form, good stretch punch, should pass the rest
Shug and Johnny V make his a shot, but so far, not all the impressive, but neither is anything else in here.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 10:55 PM   #10
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
Looking at the race, my eyes tell me the obvious ones, Owendale, Code of Honour, Mucho Gusto, Tax, and Tacticus. I was also intrigued by the Endorsed. So I ran it through my computer and got a big surprise. I double checked everything and had no entry mistakes. So I going to play this race lightly and key on the Everfast.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 11:01 PM   #11
trifecta
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,513
I didn't see any Grade 1 winners in here, unless I overlooked one, so I'll look at the next tier, the Grade 2 winners:

Code of Honor
Tacitus
Tax


I'll go with Code of Honor for the win.

As far as the non-graded stakes winners are concerned, I believe Highest Honors has an outside chance.
trifecta is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 11:37 PM   #12
FantasticDan
gelding
 
FantasticDan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 8,883
Can someone tell me what the Travers has to do with the Triple Crown? Move this to General Racing where more people will see it
FantasticDan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-23-2019, 11:42 PM   #13
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
Quote:
Originally Posted by FantasticDan View Post
Can someone tell me what the Travers has to do with the Triple Crown? Move this to General Racing where more people will see it
You can eliminate every horse in here from winning a Triple Crown race next year, only about 19,547 more eliminations, and I will have a winner.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-24-2019, 12:25 AM   #14
horses4courses
Registered User
 
horses4courses's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,529
Baffert

Mucho Gusto

Ran lights out to finish second to the best 3yo in the country.
Beat him to win.
__________________
You're going to lose.
You know that, right?
horses4courses is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-24-2019, 12:44 AM   #15
ReplayRandall
Buckle Up
 
ReplayRandall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
At a 1-1/4 mile, Mucho Gusto will not last. Castellano on Looking At Bikinis, will force MG to a more quicker pace, not allowing a crawling first/second quarter. You then have Tax in position to press if need be, while sitting in a comfortable catbird seat, pouncing on the top 2 and taking it home for the win.

Travers Winner-- TAX
ReplayRandall is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:29 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.