Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnA
I had used that service for years and was using it when I threw in the towel.
It was always first rate and Ken Massa's help was great.
I was never into data mining with the Access Data Base program. The Robot had great functionality but you get into problems of "curve fitting." It's the concept that "if you torture data points long enough, they'll tell you anything."
Since you're a HTR subscriber, you know what we're dealing with. Betting every horse over a year, Massa's "all burger", should result in a loss of around 18% - the take. In reality, the loss is 25%. The extra 7% is the "rebate player tax." The other problem is that the "dumb money" has gone to lotteries and sports betting. You're competing against knowledgeable people and they don't miss much. F1 used to be a killer until these players figured it out, bet it, and took away the wager value.
Bottom Line: If looking for "logical" horses doesn't work anymore, why not try a different approach? Hence, my interest in Pizzolla's program.
P.S. Saw the K1 long shot at Lethbridge. The problem there is that the WPS pools on the race only totaled $4,192.00. Even a $20 bet could lower the win odds there. There's always a kicker in this game.
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Thx John......You absolutely hit it on the head !!
No-one is going to be a winner better power figures ...like HTR K Rating
no matter which way you go about it your not getting better than the .82-.86 ROI on the top choice that it gives you....that is why its best to go into it via situation handicapping which VC is geared to with Michael P's teachings.....
Like I've said before $1800 is a tough pill to swallow to find out that you could have done the same with another software for a lot less.
There is NO software that is the best ....and there should not be a price tag that high to pay for it....
The Robot is a good tool but I use Excel and its mathematical prowess to enhance my factors selections ....it gives a more scientific approach to things. I have produced a few spot plays using back data and tested them going forward ...like the one above......with good results...
I think you know this..... at the yearly NHC Contest there are 10-15 HTR users in it.....It is/has been written about it in many of Ken's HTR Newsletters over the years
Must be doing something right
Mike
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