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Old 12-15-2018, 04:13 PM   #31
ReplayRandall
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Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds View Post
Yes, of course.
Dave's question was "Are they a pattern that can be expected to repeat?" or is it just a normal part of the experience?

My question is "Should we also be looking for the "Mirror" to show itself in said pattern as well?
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Old 12-15-2018, 05:31 PM   #32
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I believe what I'm saying may be something a little stronger.... that a run of 6 heads in a row in a string of 100 tosses IS NOT A STRANGE THING AT ALL.
LOL - Come on... Work with me here.
(Currently taking a course on diplomacy.)
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Old 12-15-2018, 06:30 PM   #33
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LOL - Come on... Work with me here.
(Currently taking a course on diplomacy.)
Work harder on that diplomacy Dave, I think you chased him off.
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Old 12-15-2018, 07:07 PM   #34
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I'm just jealous that I pointed out these kinds of errors by The Oracle and got all kinds of nasty messages and negative reputation points from him and his followers, yet he's willing to take it from you. Must be nice to be charming...
First of all Cast I have asked you several times to provide your expertise on my so called errors but you never respond maybe it’s because you cannot come up with anything on your own and this is a perfect example of you piggy backing off someone else’s work

Also, please don’t play the victim here I respond negatively to you because of your negative responses to me

So please do us all a favor and cut and run like you usually do
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Old 12-15-2018, 11:46 PM   #35
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Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz View Post
LOL - Come on... Work with me here.
(Currently taking a course on diplomacy.)
All Good....No Worries
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:06 AM   #36
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this is a perfect example of you piggy backing off someone else’s work
I can't take credit for this as my work...

It's actually Blaise Pascal's and Pierre de Fermat's work (and from the 17th Century no less)
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:23 AM   #37
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I can't take credit for this as my work...

It's actually Blaise Pascal's and Pierre de Fermat's work (and from the 17th Century no less)
Yeah but he's a coward that always ducks and runs when he's asked to provide something meaningful so how could he have possibly called me out on my so called errors

Last edited by TheOracle; 12-16-2018 at 12:25 AM.
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:27 AM   #38
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Yeah but he's a coward that always ducks and runs when he's asked to provide something meaningful so how could he have possibly called me out on my so called errors
Who are you talking about??..
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:30 AM   #39
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Who are you talking about??..
I am talking about this guy castaway

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Originally Posted by castaway01 View Post
I'm just jealous that I pointed out these kinds of errors by The Oracle and got all kinds of nasty messages and negative reputation points from him and his followers, yet he's willing to take it from you. Must be nice to be charming...
He's never provided me with any example of any so called errors that I have made

I have asked him repeatedly to provide me with his so called expertise on not just this but any matter and he has never been able to do so. Only cowards do that

Last edited by TheOracle; 12-16-2018 at 12:42 AM.
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Old 12-16-2018, 10:09 AM   #40
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Originally Posted by ReplayRandall View Post
Dave's question was "Are they a pattern that can be expected to repeat?" or is it just a normal part of the experience?

My question is "Should we also be looking for the "Mirror" to show itself in said pattern as well?
Yes, same with "mirror" tails
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Old 12-16-2018, 10:21 AM   #41
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Looks like today will be Sloppy surface at Aqueduct

We have these 5/2 Morning Line Claimers today

Code:
1	12-16-2018	2nd race	6	Monteleone (KY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
2	12-16-2018	3rd race	1	Big Thicket (NY)	Claiming	One Mile	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
3	12-16-2018	3rd race	1A	Fillet of Sole (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	J Servis	5/2#	Dirt
4	12-16-2018	5th race	1	Salty Smile (NY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
5	12-16-2018	6th race	5	Starship Zeus (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	C Baker	5/2#	Dirt
I am particularly interested in Rodriguez's horse in the 5th race
#1 Salty Smile

Let's see how he does today at the Big A!!!
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Old 12-16-2018, 11:38 AM   #42
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Have you kept records of all your recommendations to date?

How many races have you made recommendations?
What is the win percentage?
What is the ROI?

Has your win %/ROI been better or worse than mechanically:

1) Always betting the top M/L for every race; or
2) Always betting the top BRIS Power Prime rated horse for every race; or
3) Always betting the favorite for every race

In other words, what has been your track record compared to commonly available baseline metrics?
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Last edited by Wizard of Odds; 12-16-2018 at 11:46 AM.
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:18 PM   #43
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Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds View Post
Have you kept records of all your recommendations to date?

How many races have you made recommendations?
What is the win percentage?
What is the ROI?

Has your win %/ROI been better or worse than mechanically:

1) Always betting the top M/L for every race; or
2) Always betting the top BRIS Power Prime rated horse for every race; or
3) Always betting the favorite for every race

In other words, what has been your track record compared to commonly available baseline metrics?
I haven’t kept records of my recommendations but I believe it would be easy for me to gather doing a search in this forum under my handle

As for BRIS I wouldn’t have a record of their power ratings etc. versus my selections

I think I can get my records but would have a problem comparing against other selections since I don’t know their information

I’m sorry I hadn’t though of it sooner I didn’t expect to post as much as I did on this site when I first started

Last edited by TheOracle; 12-16-2018 at 12:22 PM.
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:45 PM   #44
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That's okay, because many have posted items 1), 2) and 3) over recent years/tracks so we can do the comparison after you gather the info for your picks.

I think it would be very impressive if you made over 300 picks and your picks resulted in an ROI above 1.05.

On the other hand, if your picks resulted in an ROI between .75 and .90, then I believe you might want to rethink your world view of horse racing gambling because you would not be significantly outperforming baseline metrics and (without rebates) your picks would have resulted in a substantial long term loss.
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Last edited by Wizard of Odds; 12-16-2018 at 12:57 PM.
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Old 12-16-2018, 12:55 PM   #45
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Looks like today will be Sloppy surface at Aqueduct

We have these 5/2 Morning Line Claimers today

Code:
1	12-16-2018	2nd race	6	Monteleone (KY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
2	12-16-2018	3rd race	1	Big Thicket (NY)	Claiming	One Mile	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
3	12-16-2018	3rd race	1A	Fillet of Sole (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	J Servis	5/2#	Dirt
4	12-16-2018	5th race	1	Salty Smile (NY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
5	12-16-2018	6th race	5	Starship Zeus (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	C Baker	5/2#	Dirt
I am particularly interested in Rodriguez's horse in the 5th race
#1 Salty Smile

Let's see how he does today at the Big A!!!
Keep on posting. I always like reading all your posts.
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