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09-25-2020, 01:43 PM
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#1
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Race 8 Belmont Park (Kassa's Korner)
8
1 Mile. [NY-S]Alw 55000n1x Purse $55,000
Cool race. I have a light 'gimmick' exotic to oppose the 2nd-choice.
Short priced chalk  BLACKJACK DAVEY is a 'single',
but I want to beat the 2nd-choice  BOURBON BAYunderlay?
 Six Percent figures to chase.
 Unrelenting Force hopes to be pace aided @ 1-turn Mile.
 Dancers for Token $+back form, return to closing style.MDbug
 Beach Access $+ primed for big effort, would be 'key', IF footwork
$1 EXACTA /
$1 EXACTA /
$1 EXACTA /
$1 EXACTA / (Total =$8)
50c TRI / ALL/ & / / ALL
(Grand total =$20.00)
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-25-2020, 02:16 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
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 Perpetrate: Has a lot of improving to do. Gets a trainer change that will help. Only win came on the slop. Toss.
 Farragut: Took 8 try's to break his Maiden. Could it be the light switch got turned on? Do not think so, was the second choice in last in a weak race.
Dancers for Token: Late runner is in the wrong spot here.
Beach Access: Has a few races that can win here. At the odds could be used in a spread situation: Contender.
Unrelenting Force: The speed, and will be alone on the lead. That said, distance is a big issue with this one. Another one that can be used in a spread situation for the likely price. Contender.
Six Percent: Has shown the talent to win. Gets a new trainer who is good at this. Another one to consider and could be the best bet in the field.
Blackjack Davey: The vulnerable chalk. Can win but at the price you are going to get, not worth the risk.
Bourbon Bay: Has two races at this distance that win this one. Toss the last turf try and is a consistent runner. Gets it done today, the Pick.
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09-25-2020, 02:35 PM
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#3
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Blackjack Davey: The vulnerable chalk. Can win but at the price you are going to get, not worth the risk.
Bourbon Bay: Has two races at this distance that win this one. Toss the last turf try and is a consistent runner. Gets it done today, the Pick.
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We took opposite sides of the coin.
That's where any edge probably lies - a strong opinion on the Bourbon Bay
Good Luck. 
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-25-2020, 03:23 PM
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#4
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Six Percent: Has shown the talent to win. Gets a new trainer who is good at this. Another one to consider and could be the best bet in the field.
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is slightly scary if there is barn improvement. Certainly a solid type.
(not really, but) kinda needs to prove today that he's not a bestman/bride'smaid type who always runs 2nd when someone runs a fast race...
Could be wrong, but not a fan of your ... I've seen cheaper speed than carry on, but he's not really a big fear either....
will probably be overbet for his talent ceiling, but maybe really is much better than this field.
I wish the could change leads.
The feels like a real 'reach' here, but I'm a fan of the Maryland bug boy Marquez (hope i spelled name right!) , and I think the new face, and anyone reading the Form on the is going to consider a patient 'pass tired rivals' type ride to get back on track.
Could be really chalky or some combo,
Suppose i'm doing an inefficient job of picking 1/4/36 EX, TRI
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-25-2020, 03:44 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2020
Posts: 4,396
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I had it handicapped before I was this and unfortunately have little to add.
Too soon to dismiss the as a rat. Mile looks perfect and should sit the proverbial perfect trip behind the speedy and
should also get a nice trip but has shown tatty tenedencies, losing twice as chalk and 0-3 at the distance.
top choice 2nd choice
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09-25-2020, 04:01 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
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Double's to the 8th race:
 to the = 6/1
to the = 20/1
to the = 44/1
to the = 122/1
to the = 53/1
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09-25-2020, 04:15 PM
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#7
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Double's to the 8th race:
to the = 6/1
to the = 20/1
to the = 44/1
to the = 122/1
to the = 53/1 |
Set up well for both of our angles.
You'll get a bettable price on , and should be 2nd-choice for me to oppose...
oh no, the Pressure is on:
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-25-2020, 04:40 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,949
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BEL – Tote Analysis
Race #8 - 8-1 W/ 4-7-2 @ 3 mins to post
GL EVERYONE!
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09-25-2020, 04:45 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2020
Posts: 4,396
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Perpetrate: Has a lot of improving to do. Gets a trainer change that will help. Only win came on the slop. Toss.
Farragut: Took 8 try's to break his Maiden. Could it be the light switch got turned on? Do not think so, was the second choice in last in a weak race.
Dancers for Token: Late runner is in the wrong spot here.
Beach Access: Has a few races that can win here. At the odds could be used in a spread situation: Contender.
Unrelenting Force: The speed, and will be alone on the lead. That said, distance is a big issue with this one. Another one that can be used in a spread situation for the likely price. Contender.
Six Percent: Has shown the talent to win. Gets a new trainer who is good at this. Another one to consider and could be the best bet in the field.
Blackjack Davey: The vulnerable chalk. Can win but at the price you are going to get, not worth the risk.
Bourbon Bay: Has two races at this distance that win this one. Toss the last turf try and is a consistent runner. Gets it done today, the Pick.
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Good job!
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09-25-2020, 04:46 PM
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#10
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
:
Bourbon Bay: Has two races at this distance that win this one. Toss the last turf try and is a consistent runner. Gets it done today, the Pick. |
Great Call!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
BEL – Tote Analysis
Race #8 - 8-1 W/ 4-7-2 @ 3 mins to post
GL EVERYONE!
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__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-25-2020, 04:51 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Posts: 20
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Great call, GL
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09-25-2020, 04:58 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,949
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
BEL – Tote Analysis
Race #8 - 8-1 W/ 4-7-2 @ 3 mins to post
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Results:
Race # 8 = 8-7-4-5 = WIN - EX & TRI BX
Code:
POS # Horse Win Place Show
1st: 8 Bourbon Bay $6.90 $4.10 $3.00
2nd: 7 Unrelenting Force $7.80 $4.50
3rd: 4 Six Percent $3.00
4th: 5 Farragut
• $2.00 EXACTA 8-7 $42.80
• $2.00 TRIFECTA 8-7-4 $127.00
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09-25-2020, 05:02 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
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TY.
Good win, and the horse I sent you at CD ran second for a good exacta. At CD I need the 1,2,4,6,7,8 for the P 4.
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09-25-2020, 07:13 PM
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#14
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
TY.
Good win, and the horse I sent you at CD ran second for a good exacta. At CD I need the 1,2,4,6,7,8 for the P 4.
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Good call at CD... I didn't like that but she dusted my and almost looked like a winner.
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