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09-15-2020, 06:16 PM
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#46
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,121
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
track has been relatively fair today, but the got to control the pace there.
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1:15 and 4?????????
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09-15-2020, 06:24 PM
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#47
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,121
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This last race is a very good betting race. Just look at the Trainer line up. Worst trainer is 15%.
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09-15-2020, 06:34 PM
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#48
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
This last race is a very good betting race. Just look at the Trainer line up. Worst trainer is 15%.
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these races are a good example of the 'field size' debate
Personally prefer these larger fields.
The biggest tradeoff is a higher difficulty. Unless you have a really strong opinion, more than a DD starts to be an expensive dice-roll. There are a few legit 'A's in almost every race, and several that appear to be 'A's in each race.
early 5 paid $148k...
the KIMARI is a heavy chalk in the last race. I don't really have 'knocks'.
Good filly, top connections and jock. Unless she's better than I can see, I do feel she is an underlay.
is fine as well.
is a nice horse, and seems to be overlooked on the Tote. had run in reserve last time at Saratoga (IIRC was 2nd to the in that race).
is a big price as well. I don't know that the is 'good' like I do the , but the was against the grain last time, and ran a pretty big 3rd.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-15-2020, 06:46 PM
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#49
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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thanks for the support
A-B-A-A-A = pays $5k (not much wiggle room considering how much I spread)
early 'ACDC' p5 was $148k ...
ex pays ~$200
the Miss J McKay was a very 'keyable' overlay
nice card, today
card tomorrow at Kentucky Downs as well... Probably take a break, but may play around with multis for practice
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-15-2020 at 06:49 PM.
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09-16-2020, 04:54 AM
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#50
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,121
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09-16-2020, 01:11 PM
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#51
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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EARLY PICK 3
tossing the rye guy from race 1. could be favored or co-fav...
Ticket Structure $ per
Bet
Ticket
Cost
All A's
1 4,5,6,9/2,9/2,3,4,8,9
10.00
400.00
A's with One B
3 1,3/2,9/2,3,4,8,9
2.50
50.00
4 4,5,6,9/3,4,7,8/2,3,4,8,9
3.00
240.00
5 4,5,6,9/2,9/1,6,7
2.00
48.00
A's with Two B
6 1,3/3,4,7,8/2,3,4,8,9
1.00
40.00
7 1,3/2,9/1,6,7
0.50
6.00
8 4,5,6,9/3,4,7,8/1,6,7
0.50
24.00
By using TicketMaker, you have bet your "A" opinions 800 times
Total Wager
$808
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-16-2020, 01:15 PM
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#52
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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early pick 5
5,6,9/2,9/2,3,8,9/5,6,7,8,10,12/1,2,4,6,7,9,10
0.50
504.00
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-16-2020, 01:16 PM
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#53
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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also r1 ex ky box 5/13689
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-16-2020, 01:31 PM
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#54
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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still alive A/B leg one
won race 1 , and was a public a or 'B' at 5-1.
9 close for 2nd. Rye was a non-threatening 3rd and went off a close second choice to the ...
In leg #2, I really like the (but so does the public)
has a race over the course and may be best. Footwork was fine, disregard the footnotes. Still has to run around the track, but the added distance should help protect this horse and allow for aggressive tactics.
1st claim Maker. Also last race over track. Was the only one really closing, and that makes him dangerous here.
= A's
= B's
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09-16-2020, 01:47 PM
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#55
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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$20 Win $60PLC $200SHW on
should be favored, but the will be the chalk.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-16-2020, 01:55 PM
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#56
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,121
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09-16-2020, 02:03 PM
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#57
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Leg #2 'B'
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
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Good luck, Jay
Leg #2 gets a 'B' home
Pick-5 is dead (went all 'A's)
alive to for $2.50
and for $2 (which I'm rooting for a 1,6,7 upset) (thus, probably not my best bet-sizing)
/////////////
race2
#2 ran well, a bit of a safe/passive ride, but it's not like he looked best.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
$20 Win $60PLC $200SHW on
should be favored, but the will be the chalk.
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Returns $394(+114)
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-16-2020 at 02:06 PM.
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09-16-2020, 02:37 PM
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#58
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
8 4,5,6,9/3,4,7,8/1,6,7
0.50
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$274.50 for the 50c, but still lost, overall.
Somewhat of a 'consolation', considering I had two 'b's in 3 races, but room for improvement.
If I'm going to lose on the investment, it's doubly silly to spread so much and go so heavy.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-16-2020, 04:26 PM
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#59
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2020
Posts: 4,423
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Late to the game today. Hope everyone is doing ok
Race 7
Cheap late p4
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