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10-29-2017, 04:13 PM
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#1
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 980
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BC False Favorites
It's this time of the year when 'insiders' in racing look to set themselves up for the year: money for winter vacations, etc by touting false favorites so they can create tremendous value for their own bets.
I am ready to listen, read and watch to ferret out these false betting favorites.
Right now I am getting a bit of impression that FREE DROP WILLY is being touted, but, it's early.
What horses do you think are being advanced as false favorites?
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10-29-2017, 06:15 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
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I'm not sure what to do w/World Approval-think he is going to lose but don't know why
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10-29-2017, 06:24 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
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tried to register w/Betfair and was blocked, figured to be blocked, but was just curious
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10-29-2017, 06:27 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
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This is one of the worst Mile fields in a long time. Curious to see posts and who draws in but Heart to Heart could easily wire or sit a pocket trip at a big price. Numbers stack up very favorably.
Gun Runner, if he goes favored is "false". No logical reason he should be shorter than Arrogate.
Drefong will be overbet. Hope someone can put pressure on early.
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10-29-2017, 06:29 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet
I'm not sure what to do w/World Approval-think he is going to lose but don't know why
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Ribchester is a monster in that race.
Throw in all the other speed of Blackjackcat, Heart to Heart, Home of the Brave, and potentially Midnight Storm, and WA will have to pass more horses than he ever has in his entire life to win a race, or try to wire the best field he has ever faced. Can't see it happening.
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10-29-2017, 06:43 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Ribchester is a monster in that race.
Throw in all the other speed of Blackjackcat, Heart to Heart, Home of the Brave, and potentially Midnight Storm, and WA will have to pass more horses than he ever has in his entire life to win a race, or try to wire the best field he has ever faced. Can't see it happening.
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At least Heart to Heart will give you a thrill-you know he is going to the lead and will be big odds. Sudeois may be overlaid. Decorated Knight would be interesting here but probably goes in the turf
Last edited by Afleet; 10-29-2017 at 06:44 PM.
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10-29-2017, 06:46 PM
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#8
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet
At least Heart to Heart will give you a thrill-you know he is going to the lead and will be big odds. Sudeois may be overlaid
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Suedois paid me last out. I don't have to chase him this time after his perfect trip, perfect set up race last out. 
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10-29-2017, 07:17 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 263
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Ribchester is a monster in that race.
Throw in all the other speed of Blackjackcat, Heart to Heart, eatHome of the Brave, and potentially Midnight Storm, and WA will have to pass more horses than he ever has in his entire life to win a race, or try to wire the best field he has ever faced. Can't see it happening.
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I'm hearing nothing but good things about Ribchester. Thinkin he's the one to beat.
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10-29-2017, 08:03 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,190
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Interested to see how Mor Spirit gets bet. He will have the fastest Beyer and probably fastest sheets number of any horse running BC weekend, but w/a lengthy layoff
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10-29-2017, 08:17 PM
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#11
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet
Interested to see how Mor Spirit gets bet. He will have the fastest Beyer and probably fastest sheets number of any horse running BC weekend, but w/a lengthy layoff
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You're right. It is Practically a Joke.
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10-30-2017, 12:11 AM
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#12
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 980
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Take a look at Watchmaker's BC(snake) odds. He has Highland Reel at 5-1?  Collected at 6-1.
I bet he is already counting his money. 
http://www.drf.com/events/breeders-cup-classic
Last edited by linrom1; 10-30-2017 at 12:13 AM.
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10-31-2017, 10:09 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 930
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Quote:
Originally Posted by linrom1
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Watchmaker?
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10-31-2017, 10:14 PM
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#14
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Resurrectionist
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Cheyenne, Wy
Posts: 3,615
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LemonSoupKid
Watchmaker?
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Agree, typically I toss Watchmaker's picks. 
__________________
Battle is the most magnificent competition in which a human being can indulge. It brings out all that is best; it removes all that is base. All men are afraid in battle. The coward is the one who lets his fear overcome his sense of duty. Duty is the essence of manhood.
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10-31-2017, 10:19 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 930
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jocko699
Agree, typically I toss Watchmaker's picks. |
Seriously, not to pile on (though I did make a thread a while back on precisely this topic, lol) but I almost always toss his, too. Can't recall a big race he's ever won.
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